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Brazil authorities target organized crime in the fuel sector for billions of dollars
The Brazilian federal police and the revenue service said that they launched operations against money laundering and fraud schemes related to organized crime and fuel sectors on Thursday. According to authorities, the operations are aimed at dismantling schemes that have allegedly moved billions of dollars using investment funds and financial services firms to hide illicit gains, while also undermining Brazil’s fuel industry. Since years, multinational energy companies have struggled to eradicate organized crime from their Brazilian distribution networks. The "Hidden Carbon Operation", raids by the Tax Revenue Service, which the service claimed was the largest action ever against such crimes. Authorities served 350 search warrants in eight states to try and block assets worth over 1 billion reais (184.46 millions dollars). In a press release, the revenue service claimed that these schemes involved fuel imports of more than 10 billion reals, gas station transactions worth 52 billion reals and fintechs transactions worth 46 billion reals between 2020 and 2024. According to a recent court ruling, REAG Investimentos is one of the companies targeted by the warrants. REAG stated in a filing that it "fully cooperated with the competent authority, providing the requested information and documents" as part "of the ongoing investigative procedure." In a separate announcement, the federal police announced that they had launched simultaneously the "Quasar", and "Tank", operations. These were also meant to crack down on schemes allegedly moving more than 23 billion reals in the fuel industry. The government announced that Justice Minister Ricardo Lewandowski and Finance Minister Fernando Haddad, as well as the Chief of Federal Police Andrei Rodrigues, would be commenting on the operation at a later press conference on Thursday.
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Sibanye Stillwater reduces losses on restructuring and US production credits
Sibanye Stillwater announced a smaller first-half loss Thursday as credits from its U.S. Palladium business, and restructuring of its South African Mines partially offset large writedowns in its U.S. The Johannesburg-based mining company posted a loss for the six-month period ending June 30 of $211 millions, down from $372 million the previous year, when it booked an impairment of $407 million on its U.S. operation after cutting its palladium price forecast. The U.S. will offer credits to encourage the production of palladium and other critical minerals in the United States under the Inflation Reduction Act, which is set to be enacted by 2022. In a press release, Sibanye stated that the Section 45X credits under the Inflation Reduction Act had boosted the positive financial results from solid operations management and the restructuring of the company. Sibanye reported that a combined estimate of $285 million in credits for the financial year 2023 had been recognized, which boosted profitability for the first six months of 2025. It added that cash payments will be made in 2026. The company stated that the credits for production would be phased-out from 2031, and then terminated in the year 2034 as part of President Donald Trump’s signature spending bill. Sibanye had to write off 3.8 billion rand of its U.S. operations due to the anticipated decrease in cash flow. Sibanye has also written down 5.4 billion rand in value from its Keliber Lithium project in Finland. The company cited a decline in the price forecasts for lithium battery minerals over the long term. The diversified mining company said that record-high bullion prices helped boost its income, even though its South African goldmines recorded a 14% drop in production primarily due to increased earthquakes and infrastructure problems at its Kloof Mine. Sibanye's South African Platinum operations, which were closed due to loss-making shafts last year, are now in a position to benefit from a rebound in metal prices.
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Global MARKETS - Global shares stable, dollar falls as focus shifts to Fed policy
The dollar fell as traders bet that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in the next month. Equity futures indicate a steady start to the S&P 500, and tech-heavy Nasdaq, despite a sway in Asian and European stocks after Nvidia reported its results. Nvidia shares fell around 1.5% during pre-market U.S. trading, as concerns over the company's China operations clouded an otherwise better-than expected revenue forecast for next quarter. Semiconductor shares in Europe fluctuated as investors analyzed the company's outlook, which also affected tech stocks in Asia. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company shares fell 2.5%. Nvidia's forecast was higher than the consensus of analysts, but disappointed investors used to big results. The Stoxx 600, the pan-European stock index, was down 0.3% and reversed early gains. Futures that track the rate-sensitive Russell 2000 index of small-caps in the United States were up by 0.7%. Money markets have priced in a probability of over 85% that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next month. This month, the rate-cut bets have caused the dollar to fall 2% against other currencies. Last seen at 97.9, it was down 0.2%. Lee Hardman is a senior currency analyst with MUFG. He said, "Unless we have a very robust report on employment in early September, the Fed will start cutting rates." Donald Trump announced earlier this week that he was firing Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook. This accelerated his campaign to exert influence over the central bank, which worried some investors about the political influence. Cook will file a The following are some of the reasons why you should consider hiring someone else A lawyer for the embattled official of the central bank said that she was trying to stop President Donald Trump from dismissing her. Philip Marey is a senior U.S. Strategist at Rabobank. He said that this week's events confirm his view that FOMC will continue to resist the rate cuts President Trump wants for this year. But next year, it will become increasingly difficult to separate White House influence from rate decisions. Concerns over France's fiscal trajectory are likely to remain in the forefront of regional markets after Prime Minister Francoise Bayrou's gamble on winning support for his deeply unpopular plan to reduce debt via a vote of confidence next month. The yield on France's 10-year Government Bonds eased a little bit Thursday, but it remained near its highest level since march. The spread between the benchmark 10-year bund and the French counterpart has eased after reaching a seven-month high of almost 83 basis points during the previous session. Hardman stated that the developments in France "put a little damper on the upside potential of euro-dollar, but for us, the bigger story was what could happen at the Fed." The euro rose 0.2% to $1.1667 on Thursday while the pound sterling gained 0.1% to $1.3515. The dollar fell 0.3% against the Japanese yen to 146.93yen. The interest-rate-expectation sensitive 2-year U.S. Treasury yield was at 3.6290%, down 6 basis points on the week and hovering close to its lowest level since late-April. On the commodities market, spot gold remained near its two-week high on Thursday, and last rose 0.2% to $3,405.56.
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After Nvidia, copper prices rise on increased risk appetite
The copper price edged up on Thursday. This was supported by the weaker dollar, and an increased appetite for risky investments after Nvidia's results reassured the markets about AI boom. The benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.3% in open-outcry official trading to $9,789 per metric ton after falling 0.8% the previous session. LME copper has gained 11% in this year but has been stuck in a range of $9,500 to $9,900 since early July, when it failed to break through the $10,000 barrier. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank, Copenhagen. He said: "Metals are currently in a holding pattern, but today's main driver is probably heightened risk appetite after the Nvidia announcement last night." It highlights the impact of the AI craze on the market, and the wider appetite for investment. European and Chinese stocks rose, in part because Nvidia’s strong results eased concerns about a cooling of artificial intelligence demand. The market also benefited from a weaker US dollar, as traders increased their bets on the Federal Reserve of the United States cutting interest rates next month. Dollar-priced goods are cheaper for foreign buyers when the dollar is weaker. The market was weighed down by rising inventories, particularly on the U.S. Comex. The price of copper has nearly tripled in the first half of this year. Copper poured into the U.S. in large quantities before the announcement last month of 50% tariffs on copper. Hansen stated that there is a large overhang of supplies in the U.S. It really depends on if the demand outside the U.S. will be strong enough to cause this to begin to shift. LME copper inventories Data released on Thursday added an additional 1,850 tonnes to the three-month record of 157.950 tons. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract eased by 0.5%, to 78.930 yuan (11,034.69) per ton. Other metals such as LME aluminium, zinc, lead, and nickel all saw increases in official activity. Nickel rose by 0.4%, while tin increased by 0.4%. Click here to see the latest news in metals.
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Chinese lithium prices fall to almost three-week lows on the back of easing supply concerns
The prices of lithium carbonate in China fell to their lowest level in almost three weeks on Friday, as concerns about possible production suspensions were eased after a miner in Yichun, in the south of China, obtained a safety licence. The Guangzhou Futures Exchange's most active futures for lithium carbonate reached their lowest level since 8 August at 75,740 Yuan ($10589) per metric ton. The price of lithium, the material used in electric vehicle batteries, has risen this month. This is because Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL), halted its production at a mine located in Yichun after a mining license expired on August 9. This stoked concerns of a wider suspension of production in the hub of lithium production of Yichun, in Jiangxi Province, where other mines are facing licence issues. According to Qichacha, a company that tracks information about companies, and Mysteel, a consultancy, a lithium mine owned by Yongxing Special Materials, has secured a renewal of a licence for safe production. The original licence was due to expire September 6. The market was previously skeptical that the mine would be able to renew its licence. A success, and especially one which came earlier than anticipated, exceeded expectations, temporarily alleviating supply concerns, said Jinyi Su. Analyst at consultancy Fubao. Analysts warned, however, that the supply risk persists and market participants are monitoring whether seven additional mines will be forced to halt production after September 30, 2010. Mysteel analysts stated that the risk of production being suspended in Jiangxi is not eliminated, as the mineral type approved remains ceramic clay. Analysts said that some mines which had obtained licences for ceramic clay but produce lithium in fact could be uncertain about their licence renewal.
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Harmony's profits jump on record gold prices and copper plans
Harmony Gold reported a 26% increase in its annual profit, which was largely boosted by the record high prices of gold. The company reported headline earnings per share ($1.33) for the year ending June 30, and said that a 27% rise in average gold prices along with better grades at their South African mines helped offset a drop of 5% in production. Harmony Gold reported that the company's gold production fell to 1.48million ounces during the 2025 fiscal year due to poor weather conditions and safety-related stops. The company announced a dividend per share of 1.55 rand, up from 0.94 last year. This is a record return to shareholders, 2.4 billion rand. Harmony has increased its plans to diversify its business into the copper sector, which has seen its outlook boosted by its significance in the global shift to cleaner energy technologies. Harmony announced in May that it had agreed to purchase Mac Copper, an Australian miner. The deal was worth $1.03billion. Harmony anticipates that the Australian company's shares will vote on this transaction on August 29, which Harmony hopes to close in October of this year. Mac Copper is Harmony’s second copper acquisition after buying the Eva Copper Project in Queensland in 2022. The mine will produce 55,000 to 60,000 metric tonnes per year by 2028. In an interview, Harmony CEO Beyers Nel said: "We see copper as a catalyst to ensure that we are sustainable and add higher margin products to our portfolio." Mac Copper's CSA Mine, located in New South Wales produced 41,000 tonnes of copper last fiscal year. Harmony said that acquiring this producing asset would result in immediate cash returns. Copper brings counter-cyclical diversity to Harmony's portfolio. We know that gold has a cycle, so copper provides this protection." Nel said.
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Indonesia cracks down on illegal mining in the forests
An official revealed on Thursday that Indonesia's task force for forestry is planning to crackdown on illegal mines in forest areas covering 4,27 million hectares (10.55 millions acres) starting on September 1. In March, the task force had already begun what they called a "disciplinary action" against illegal palm production. They sent military personnel to seize 3.3 million hectares. Agrinas Palma Nusantara, a new state-owned company, has taken over some of the plantations. Febrie Adriansyah is a senior prosecutor in the Attorney General's Office and an official of the task force. She said that owners of illegal mines and plantations would be required to return a portion of their profits to state. Febrie stated that "for the information of the general public, the enforcement of law on forest areas turned into plantations by miners is not... the start of criminal prosecution." He added that if the state takes back control of forests, the criminals will be forced to pay all profits illegally gained to the state or to return them. Febrie stated that, as in the palm oil industry, the mines confiscated by the taskforce will be given to the State-Owned Enterprises Ministry, for temporary management. Febrie, however, said that the task force, consisting of prosecutors, police officers, military personnel and civil servants, could conduct criminal investigations in some specific cases. The Task Force has not specified what types of minerals are produced in the mines that it has identified as illegal. In his first address to the nation in the parliament, delivered earlier this month, President Prabowo vowed a wider crackdown on illegal exploitation. Indonesia is one of the world's major producers of nickel, copper, tin, and thermal coal. The country is the largest producer and exporter in the world of palm oil. (Reporting and writing by Bernadette Cristina; editing by David Stanway).
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Aster Chemicals declares Force Majeure at Singapore naphtha Cracker, sources claim
Aster Chemicals & Energy, a Singaporean company, has declared force majeure for petrochemicals from its naphtha cracked on Bukom Island. This was revealed in a letter that sources who were directly involved with the matter saw on Thursday. The letter attributed force majeure to "unexpected events" at the ethylene cracker plant, which had been scheduled for maintenance since August 1. In the letter sent to customers, it was not stated which products were affected. The company didn't immediately respond to our request for a comment. It remains unclear how long the 1.1-million-ton-per-year (tpy) unit will be shut, though sources with direct knowledge of the matter said the original restart date was the first half of September. Steam crackers typically convert naphtha to petrochemicals such as ethylene or propylene. These are both building blocks of plastic materials. Two sources who have direct knowledge of this matter confirmed that the crude distillation units at Bukom will continue to run at a slightly reduced rate due to this problem. All sources requested anonymity because they were not authorized to speak to the media.
The oil market is set to suffer its steepest weekly loss since June due to tariffs that cloud the demand outlook
Investors expressed concerns about the impact of tariffs on the global economy, which went into effect on Thursday, on the oil prices.
Brent crude futures fell three cents at 0050 GMT to $66.40 per barrel, and are on course to fall more than 4% from week to week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell six cents or 0.1% to $63.82 per barrel. They are expected to drop more than 5% weekly.
The U.S. increased tariffs on a number of its trading partners. In a note, ANZ Bank analysts expressed concern that the tariffs would lead to a weaker economy, which could affect demand for crude oil.
The oil prices are already in a downward spiral after the OPEC+ group announced last weekend that it will fully unwind its biggest tranche of production cuts in September, several months before target.
WTI futures fell for six straight sessions at Thursday's closing, matching the longest losing streak since December 2023. If prices fall on Friday, this will be the longest losing streak since August 20,21.
The Kremlin confirmed on Thursday that Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet U.S. president Donald Trump within the next few days, raising hopes of a diplomatic resolution to the conflict in Ukraine.
The addition of U.S. duties against India due to its purchase of Russian crude oil has helped limit the drop in oil prices. StoneX analysts told clients that the move is unlikely to have a significant impact on the flow of Russian crude oil to other markets.
Trump said on Wednesday that China, which is the biggest buyer of Russian crude, may also be subject to tariffs, similar to those imposed against Indian imports. (Reporting and editing by Tom Hogue in New York, Shariq Khan is reporting from New York)
(source: Reuters)