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Oil prices drop as the market awaits EIA Report

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, as traders awaited a short-term outlook report from the U.S. Government following a bullish OPEC report on supply and demand. Brent crude futures fell 20 cents or 0.3% to $66.43 per barrel at 10:36 AM CDT (1536 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell by 39 cents or 0.61% to $63.51. Phil Flynn is a senior analyst with Price Futures Group. He said, "We are still in a range as we await the Energy Information Administration's report this morning." Flynn stated that traders were waiting to see if EIA's report would match up with a report released earlier by OPEC about its outlook for demand and production. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has raised its forecasts for global oil consumption next year, and trimmed their forecasts for supply growth from the United States as well as other producers outside the broader OPEC+ Group. This indicates a tighter outlook for the market.

In its monthly report, OPEC said that global oil demand would rise by 1,38 million barrels a day in 2026. This is an increase of 100,000 bpd over the previous forecast. The 2025 forecast was not changed. The U.S. president Donald Trump extended the tariff truce between China and the United States until November 10. This will prevent triple-digit duties being imposed on Chinese products as U.S. retail stores prepare for this critical holiday season.

It raised the hopes of a possible agreement between the two world's largest economies to avoid a virtual embargo. Tariffs could slow global growth and lower oil prices. U.S. consumer price increases were the highest in six months in July, as rising import costs due to tariffs drove up prices. Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet in Alaska this Friday to discuss the end of Russia's war against Ukraine. This could also have an impact on the oil markets. Trump has increased pressure on Russia in order to end the conflict. He set a Friday deadline for Russia to accept peace in Ukraine, or face secondary sanctions. He also pressured India and China into reducing their purchases of Russian crude oil.

Commerzbank wrote in a report that if the meeting on Friday brings about a ceasefire in Ukraine or even a peace agreement, Trump may suspend the secondary tariffs against India imposed last week. They would then be suspended for two weeks.

If not, sanctions could be imposed on other oil buyers, such as China.

(source: Reuters)