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Valero refiner buys Venezuelan crude oil from three authorized sellers
Valero Energy announced on Thursday that it had 'purchased' Venezuelan crude oil from authorized sellers. The company expects this grade to be a major part of the heavy oil diet for its refineries as soon as next month. U.S. refining companies are expected to gain from President Donald Trump’s efforts to increase oil production in Venezuela and to rebuild the country’s deplorable oil sector after the capture of Nicolas Maduro this month. Valero said that it had engaged with all three authorized sellers, and bought barrels from each of them. This was in an email sent to customers on Thursday following a conference call. "As we stated in the conference call, we anticipate that Venezuelan crude will account for a significant share of heavy crude consumption as we move into February and March." The refiner refused to identify the sellers. Washington has authorized the oil major Chevron, trading houses Vitol, and Trafigura to export Venezuelan crude to the U.S. Valero, Phillips 66 and others bought Venezuelan crude oil earlier this month. They are among the first U.S. Gulf Coast refining companies to enter into deals as part of Washington’s agreement with Caracas for exports of up to '50 million barrels. Randy Hawkins said, "We evaluate Venezuelan crude as we do with all of our alternatives," during a conference call with investors. Hawkins stated that the company was able to refine up to 240,000 barrels of Venezuelan heavy crude per day in its system prior an expansion of its 435,000 bpd Port Arthur, Texas refinery,?in?2023. This would have significantly increased its ability of processing heavy crude oil. He said that "we expect our Venezuelan oil processing capacity to be significantly higher than this number."
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Worries about US attack on Iran send oil prices soaring 3% to a five-month high
On Thursday, oil prices rose 3%, reaching a five-month peak. This was due to growing concerns about the disruption of global supply if the U.S. attacked Iran, one OPEC’s largest crude producers. Brent futures gained $2.31 or 3.4% to settle at $70.71 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate gained $2.21 or 3.5% to settle at $65.42. This pushed both crude oil benchmarks into technical overbought terrain, with Brent closing?its?highest level since July 31, and WTI closing its highest level since September 26. Multiple sources claim that U.S. president Donald Trump is considering options against Iran, including targeted strikes on leaders and security forces to inspire protesters. Israeli and Arab officials, however, said that air power alone will not be enough to topple Tehran's clerical ruling class. Plainclothes security officers in Iran have arrested thousands of people as part of a mass arrest and intimidation campaign to discourage further protests. Two U.S. officials familiar with the talks said that Trump was looking to create conditions for a "regime-change" following a crackdown on a nationwide demonstration movement earlier this month which killed thousands of people. PVM analyst John Evans said: "The immediate concern (for the market) is the collateral damages that could be caused if Iran strikes at its neighbors, or even more importantly, if it shuts down the Strait of Hormuz for the 20 million barrels of oil per day that pass through it." According to U.S. Energy Information Administration data, Iran will be the third largest crude producer within the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries in 2025 behind Saudi Arabia. The European Union's foreign ministers imposed new sanctions against Iran on Thursday, targeting those involved in the violent crackdown of protesters. Separately the EU has designated Iran's Revolutionary Guards as a terrorist group. Citi analysts wrote in a recent note that the possibility of Iran being hit had increased the geopolitical premium on oil prices. RUSSIA KAZAKHSTAN VENEZUELA The Kremlin announced on Thursday that Russia has invited Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to come to Moscow to hold peace talks. This comes as U.S. led efforts to reach an agreement to end the nearly 4-year-old war in Ukraine intensify. A peace agreement that allows Russia to export more crude oil would increase global supply and lower energy prices. According to EIA, Russia is the world's third largest crude oil producer after the U.S.A. and Saudi Arabia. Carlyle Group, a U.S.-based private equity firm, has reached an agreement to purchase most of Lukoil’s foreign assets. The second largest oil company in Russia is forced to sell these assets due to U.S. sanction. Kazakhstan announced that U.S. oil giant Chevron will take steps to ensure reliable and safe operations of the facilities at Kazakhstan's "giant Tengiz" oilfield. The aim is to reach full production within a week. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo stated that disruptions in Kazakhstan (CPC Terminal, Tengiz Field force majeure), have removed a large number of barrels off the market. Exxon Mobil executives and Chevron executives will likely be asked more about their investments in Venezuela than their quarterly earnings on Friday. The U.S. crude production recovered on Thursday following a severe winter storm that ravaged the production. Losses peaked at 2 million bpd during the weekend. DOLLAR RESISTS PRESSURE On uncertainty about U.S. policies, the dollar has held at its lowest level since February 2022 compared to a basket other currencies. Oil prices can be boosted by a weaker dollar, as it makes dollar-priced crude oil more affordable for global buyers. Overnight, the U.S. Federal Reserve adopted a more optimistic tone regarding inflation and U.S. employment. This led investors to believe that interest rates may be held for longer. Lower interest rates could reduce borrowing costs for consumers and boost the economy and oil demand. Trump wants to see the Fed lower interest rates and he said that he will announce next week his choice to replace Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed. Analysts have noted that Brent futures are more expensive than WTI. The price of oil has risen to its highest level since April 2024, at $5.30 a barrel. Analysts say that when Brent's price premium is over $4 per barrel, energy companies will send ships to the United States to buy crude oil. This should lead to an increase in U.S. imports. Reporting by Scott DiSavino and Robert Harvey, in New York, Sam Li, and Trixie Yap, in Singapore. Additional reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar, and Enes Tunagur, in London. Editing by Emelia, Sithole, Donovan and Rod Nickel.
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Valero Energy Q4 profit beats estimates; shares surge
U.S. refining company Valero Energy kicked off earnings season in the U.S. on Thursday with strong profits for the?fourth quarter,? thanks to a rebound of margins and a higher volume. Fuel manufacturers have made unexpected profits in the third quarter. Product margins, largely driven by the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, recovered from multi-year lows that were seen in 2024, when earnings dipped from their post-pandemic peak. The San Antonio-based company reported that its refining margin increased by over?61% compared to a quarter ago, reaching $13.61 per barrel. Its average throughput volume also rose, from 2.9 million barrels per days a few years earlier, to 3.1 million. Valero shares were up by?over 3 percent shortly after Thursday's conference call. LSEG data shows that the adjusted net profit for the quarter came in at $3.82 per share. This compares to analysts' expectations of $3.27 per shares. The company returned $1.4 Billion to its shareholders in the fourth quarter. VENEZUELA DEALS: BENICIA Refinery Closure Investors wanted more information about Venezuela on Thursday's conference call. The U.S. Energy sector is preparing to increase output in the Latin American nation after the Trump Administration outlined a plan that urged companies to invest $100 billion to revitalize the country's petroleum industry. Randy Hawkins, vice president of crude and raw materials supply and trading, said that it was great to have Venezuelan crude back in our system. The crude is expected make up approximately 10% of the total crude oil supply. Valero's "heavy crude" diet accounts for a significant portion As early as February. Manav Gupta, UBS analyst, said that Valero was the refiner best positioned to profit from the influx of Venezuelan barrels into the U.S. The Venezuelan regime could change, resulting in a wider differential in crude oil prices. Gupta said that a $3 increase per barrel in the heavy-light differential would lead to an earnings boost of at least $600,000,000 for Valero. The refiner provided an update on its refinery located in Benicia, California. It is expected to cease operations by the end April. Rich Walsh, executive vice-president of the refinery, said that it will start idling all its process units by February. He added, "We will continue to provide the California market from Wilmington."
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Consumer group files complaint after infant milk recalls
Foodwatch, a consumer rights group that advocates for consumers' rights, filed a criminal complaint on behalf of 8?families on Thursday. The group claims the babies fell ill from consuming contaminated infant formula. Nestle, Danone, and Lactalis have all withdrawn batches from the market in the last month due to concerns over possible contamination. The toxin, cereulide, can cause nausea and vomiting. Foodwatch, a non-profit organization based in Berlin that works?against the food corporations and regulatory agencies of Europe,' said that babies developed vomiting, diarrhea, fever, and abdominal pain. Some required hospitalisation prior to the recall. The complaint asks for a criminal investigation of possible offenses committed by manufacturers, and alleges that authorities failed to act quickly. Foodwatch noted "silent withdraws" and delayed consumer warnings in certain countries. Nestle said it had acted'responsibly and transparently, proactively in taking actions. Nestle's spokesperson stated that "when we confirmed the oil used in our products was the cause, we acted quickly to alert authorities, to proactively alert industry and to inform consumers, customers, partners, and most importantly, to adhere to?our values of prioritizing the safety and well-being of babies worldwide." Danone, Lactalis Hochdorf Granarolo, and Vitagermine were named in the complaint following the recall of products. However, they did not respond to comments made immediately. Last week, the local food safety authorities confirmed that a baby from Flanders in Belgium was sickened by contaminated Nestle infant formula. They said the 'baby recovered fully. Nestle has said that it has received no medical reports to date confirming any link between its products and illnesses. French investigators are investigating whether there is any link between two infant deaths and the recall of formula products.
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Danone recalls batches in Germany of Aptamil Baby Formula, letter shows
A letter sent to a wholesaler on Thursday revealed that Danone has recalled three batches of Aptamil infant formula in Germany. The French food manufacturer is scrambling to quell a panic over toxin contamination, which began with Nestle products. Danone Deutschland, in a letter dated 26 January, asked Alliance Healthcare to remove some batches of Aptamil manufactured between May and 2025. The letter was published by online pharmacy Shop Apotheke. It stated that the wholesaler had little or no stock remaining, given that it received new deliveries. Danone announced on Friday it would be recalling certain baby formula batches from targeted markets. It did not mention which brands, countries, or volume of products were affected. But it stressed that its products are safe, and meet all safety regulations. Danone did not immediately respond to Thursday's?request? for a comment. Nestle announced in January that it would be withdrawing certain batches of infant formulas including SMA, BEBA, and NAN due to possible contamination by a toxin called cereulide, which can cause nausea and vomitus. Since then, the recalls have been expanded to include other French producers Lactalis and Vitagermine. The combined loss could exceed $1 billion. Danone shares have fallen almost 13% over the past two weeks. French investigators are investigating whether there is any link between two infant deaths and the recall of formula products. The German Federal Office for Consumer Protection and Food Safety announced on Thursday that certain batches of Danone product were being withdrawn. An official recall could only be issued when it is known the products have been consumed by consumers. The recalls show how an 'ingredient compromised can spread throughout the highly regulated infant food sector, prompting swift action by regulators and causing market jitters. A supplier detected Cereulide in a product. This?toxin is produced by Bacillus cereus. France's Agriculture Ministry has stated that the product was made in China. The Food Safety Authority of Ireland has also confirmed that cereulide had been detected in arachidonic oil manufactured in China.
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Eskom South Africa increases wage offer during ongoing union negotiations
Eskom, the state-owned South African power utility, has increased its offer of a salary increase to trade unions from 3.5% last year. A?document seen showed that this is still 'well below what unions demand. Eskom's electricity cuts and financial problems have been a drag on Africa’s largest economy for a long time. A sharp improvement in its coal-fired electricity stations allowed Eskom to stop the nationwide "blackouts". Last year, it reported its first profit for the full financial year in eight years. In a second round pay talks, the revised wage offer was made to three major unions that it negotiates salaries with. The document showed that Eskom had proposed the 5.5% wage increase to come into effect on July 1, one day after the expiration of its current three-year wage deal. This offer also includes adjustments for other benefits such as housing. A spokesperson for Eskom confirmed that the utility had offered a 5.5% salary increase. Unions want pay increases of up to 15 percent, which is far higher than South Africa's inflation rate. In December, it was 3.6%. The central bank believes that the rate may have peaked. The National Union of Mineworkers' energy sector coordinator,?Khangela Baloyi said that a third round of wage negotiation is planned for February. Eskom's three year agreement, reached in 2023, saw the salaries of non-managerial staff increase by 7% per annum. Former state monopoly generates the majority of South Africa's power and would like to?agree another multi-year salary deal. Previous wage disputes have led to power blackouts as a result of unions going on strike. The impact of a possible strike on Eskom operations this time around is more difficult to assess, as its recent improvements in its generation fleet mean it has excess capacity. (Reporting and editing by Alexander Winning & Kirby Donovan; Additional reporting by Wendell Roelf)
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Copper prices soar to record highs above $14,000, as investors pile in
The copper price spiked up to $14,000 per metric ton, a new record, on Thursday, as speculators continued their buying spree. They were encouraged by the expectation of high demand, and backed by a weaker dollar and geopolitical worries. Copper spiked with 'the biggest one-day increase in over 15 years, then lost most of its gains. Other metals also surged, before sliding into the negative. Benchmark three-month Copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 11%, reaching an all-time record high of $14,527.50 per metric ton. By 1700 GMT it had fallen to $13,612.50, which was a gain of 4%. Bulls, mostly in speculative funds ignored warnings from analysts that high prices could chill physical demand among industrial consumers, and were not supported by current supply/demand principles, creating a quandary for investors. In a note, Neil Welsh of Britannia Global Markets stated that "Copper's biggest one-day increase in years was driven by intense speculative trades by bulls in China." Investors are dumping base metals in anticipation of stronger U.S. economic growth and more global spending on data centers, robotics, and power infrastructure. Copper is used for power and construction, but inventories monitored by the global exchange are high, particularly in the U.S. After setting a new record, the most active copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange ended daytime trading 6.7% lower, at 109.110 yuan (15,708.77 dollars) per ton. The gains were made despite a weak physical demand in China, the largest consumer market. The Yangshan Copper Premium The Chinese demand for copper fell to $20 per ton on Tuesday, the lowest level since July 2024. It was $55 in December. Traders said that copper is also on the rise due to an interest in hard assets. This has led to gold and silver reaching record highs partly because of geopolitical tensions. A weaker dollar index also supported metals. The index was near multi-year lows and made commodities priced in U.S. dollars cheaper for buyers who used other currencies. The erratic trading of other LME metals was also a factor. LME surged to another record high?of $59 040 a ton despite weak fundamentals and then fell 2.5% to $54,540. LME aluminium rose 3% to $3356 per ton, its highest level since April 2022. Then it fell 1.1%, to $3222. Zinc rose 1.4% to $3.412 per ton, after reaching its highest level since August 2022. Lead fell 0.3% to $2,000 and nickel rose 0.5% to $18,355, down from the intraday high of 19150.
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ArcelorMittal claims $2 billion against Italy over steel plant dispute
ArcelorMittal is a multinational steelmaker that was the former owner Acciaierie d'Italia, an Italian steel company. On Thursday, it announced that it filed a 1.8 billion euro claim ($2.2 billion) against the Italian Government over losses?linked with its investment in ADI's factories. This filing is a 'tit-fortat' move after Italy's state appointed administrators of ADI (formerly known as ILVA) sought around 8 billion euros in damages from ArcelorMittal alleging it mismanaged ADI’s steelworks. Early in 2024, the government assumed control of ADI after ArcelorMittal. ADI has struggled to maintain its production due to high energy costs and low demand. In the government's ?case, Luxembourg-headquartered ArcelorMittal said in a statement on Thursday that ADI's government-appointed commissioners had served it ?with a summons to appear before a Milan court. It rejected all accusations, including that it had pursued a'strategic approach of running down the 'plants, destroying ADI’s business, and extracting profit from Italy. ArcelorMittal announced that it had invested around 2 billion euros to "turn around a structurally-challenged business." Much of this money was dedicated to meeting the environmental standards set forth by the government. It claimed that the government had made "omissions" and "illegitimate legislative intervention" which affected the terms?under which it purchased the plants, and caused the company to lose its investment. In December, sources close to the issue said that 'Italy selected U.S. Investment Fund Flacks as the exclusive buyer for ADI. The?government tried before to sell ADI’s steelworks to a consortium of Azeri companies Baku Steel, and Azerbaijan?Business?Development?Fund but could not reach an agreement. ILVA Taranto?steel was once Europe's biggest steel plant, but it has been hampered since 2012 by judicial investigation and asset seizure?related to its environmental impact. The future of ADI has become a key political issue for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Melons, since a shutdown could have significant effects on the manufacturing sector in Italy.
Oil prices drop as the market awaits EIA Report
The oil prices fell on Tuesday, as traders awaited a short-term outlook report from the U.S. Government following a bullish OPEC report on supply and demand. Brent crude futures fell 20 cents or 0.3% to $66.43 per barrel at 10:36 AM CDT (1536 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures fell by 39 cents or 0.61% to $63.51. Phil Flynn is a senior analyst with Price Futures Group. He said, "We are still in a range as we await the Energy Information Administration's report this morning." Flynn stated that traders were waiting to see if EIA's report would match up with a report released earlier by OPEC about its outlook for demand and production. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries has raised its forecasts for global oil consumption next year, and trimmed their forecasts for supply growth from the United States as well as other producers outside the broader OPEC+ Group. This indicates a tighter outlook for the market.
In its monthly report, OPEC said that global oil demand would rise by 1,38 million barrels a day in 2026. This is an increase of 100,000 bpd over the previous forecast. The 2025 forecast was not changed. The U.S. president Donald Trump extended the tariff truce between China and the United States until November 10. This will prevent triple-digit duties being imposed on Chinese products as U.S. retail stores prepare for this critical holiday season.
It raised the hopes of a possible agreement between the two world's largest economies to avoid a virtual embargo. Tariffs could slow global growth and lower oil prices. U.S. consumer price increases were the highest in six months in July, as rising import costs due to tariffs drove up prices. Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin will meet in Alaska this Friday to discuss the end of Russia's war against Ukraine. This could also have an impact on the oil markets. Trump has increased pressure on Russia in order to end the conflict. He set a Friday deadline for Russia to accept peace in Ukraine, or face secondary sanctions. He also pressured India and China into reducing their purchases of Russian crude oil.
Commerzbank wrote in a report that if the meeting on Friday brings about a ceasefire in Ukraine or even a peace agreement, Trump may suspend the secondary tariffs against India imposed last week. They would then be suspended for two weeks.
If not, sanctions could be imposed on other oil buyers, such as China.
(source: Reuters)