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US-China trade agreement boosts industrial metals
Prices of industrial metals rose on Monday, as fears about growth and demand eased. This was after China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce their reciprocal import duties and to end their trade war. By 0922 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), rose by 0.8%, to $9,518 per metric ton, while aluminium gained a 2.1%, to $2,464. After talks with Chinese officials U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent stated that the two sides agreed to a 90-day suspension of measures, and that tariffs will be reduced by over 100 percentage points down to a baseline rate of 10%. One copper trader stated that "people are hopeful but still nervous" about the tariff situation. U.S. president Donald Trump has increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. This is in addition to the duties he levied on Chinese goods in his first term and those imposed by the previous administration. In a note, Societe Generale analyst said that although the U.S. China relationship and global economy are less hostile now, there is still significant uncertainty for businesses and households. In the next 90 days, there will likely be a significant up-fronting of the trade flows between China and the U.S. Concerns about the supply of lead on the LME have led to a premium or backwardation around $5 per ton over the three-month contracts for other metals. . The traders said that the premium was due to falling lead stocks In LME-registered storage, there are large amounts of warrants (0#LMEWHL>) and one long position that holds more than 40% lead contracts along with several short positions (0#LMEFBR>) due to mature in this month. Lead warrants that were cancelled, or metal earmarked to be delivered, made up 52% of the total stock at 251,800 tonnes. This indicates that more lead is about to leave LME. Lead for three months was up by 0.8%, at $1,998 per ton. Zinc rose 1.8%, to $2702, while tin climbed 1.3%, to $32,300, and nickel fell 0.2%, to $15,775.
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CTK reports that the EU has asked Czechs to delay signing contract for nuclear power plants.
Czech news agency CTK, citing an official letter sent to the Czech industry ministry, reported that the European Commission had asked the Czech Republic not to sign a contract for the construction of new nuclear power plants with South Korea's KHNP. CTK stated that the postponement will give the European Union executive time to investigate if KHNP received foreign subsidies which could distort EU's internal market. A Czech regional court temporarily stopped CEZ, a company in which the Czech government holds a majority stake, from signing an 18 billion dollar contract with KHNP, until it heard the complaint of the losing bidder EDF, a French firm. After the Czech antimonopoly office refused to accept its bid, the French group went to court in this month. EDF has complained to the Commission after losing the tender in last year. After the approval of the anti-monopoly agency, the Czech government wanted to sign a contract with KHNP in this month. State and CEZ insisted that KHNP was offering a better deal than EDF. CEZ and Industry Ministry didn't immediately respond to comments. CTK quoted CEZ CEO Daniel Benes, who said that the letter from the Commission was dated May 2, and that the French company was interested in stopping the construction of the plant.
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India's PVR Inox reports wider quarterly loss due to a tepid movie slate and sluggish spending in urban areas
PVR Inox reported a larger quarterly loss on Sunday, as the lacklustre lineup of new films and low urban spending dampened attendance. The company formed by the merger between PVR and Inox Labels reported an adjusted consolidated Loss of 1.06 billion Rupees ($12.48 Million) in the Fourth Quarter, compared to a Loss of 901 millions rupees one year earlier. PVR blamed the poor performance on an "uneven release calendar" for fiscal 2025, with March being a weak month. This lack of content was a major factor in the overall decline of admissions and revenues. Only the historical action film, "Chhaava", delivered a strong performance at the box office during this quarter. Subdued urban demand is a result of a combination of sluggish wages and high living costs, combined with a moderate inflation rate. The average ticket price increased 10.5% in one year, but the per-head expenditure on food and beverage dropped by 3.5%. This led to a 7.8% drop in revenue for the food and beverage segment. PVR Inox is rereleasing older films and offering weekday discounts to encourage audiences. Even so, occupancy dropped by 208 basis point to 20.5% and total admissions fell 6.3%, to 30.5 millions. PVR Inox’s total revenue decreased marginally, to 12,50 billion rupees.
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13 dead in explosion during Indonesian ammunition disposal
Officials from the Indonesian army told local media that 13 people were killed in an explosion during the disposal of expired military ammo in West Java, Indonesia, on Monday. This is the second such incident in Indonesia in less than a year. Kristomei Sianturi, a military spokesperson, told Kompas TV that nine of the victims are civilians and four are military personnel. The military is also investigating the incident's cause. Wahyu Yodhayana, another army spokesperson, stated in a television address that the explosion occurred when officers were completing their disposal of ammunition. He added that the investigation would include how civilians could have been so close to detonation sites. Kristomei stated that the area where the explosion occurred is a field in which such detonations take place routinely. He said that local residents usually gather to collect the scrap left behind by detonations. He added that the area had been cleared in order to guarantee safety in case there were any further explosions. The explosion on Monday is the second involving Indonesian ammunition in less than a year. A massive fire broke out in March of last year at an Indonesian depot that stored expired ammunition near Jakarta. This caused a series explosions. (Reporting and editing by Alasdair Pala)
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French nuclear waste project could cost as much as $42 billion, according to agency
The National Nuclear Waste Agency said that the new French nuclear waste storage project will cost between 26 billion euro ($28.93 billion), and 37.5 billion euro, an increase from the earlier estimate of 25 billion euros. Cigeo is a project located in the Grand East region of eastern France, between Reims, a wine producing city, and Nancy. It is expected to be the first long-term nuclear waste storage facility for France. Residents in the area have protested against plans to store 500 metres underground, due to begin development in 2027. The waste agency Andra said that a decree from the Ministry of Industry is expected to be issued by the end the year, finalising the cost, which will act as a guide until the next assessment. The cost of the project and the location will be reviewed again, at least by 2026. The construction could start by 2027, if the French nuclear authority approves of the application. The first waste packages will be received in 2050 and are expected to last for a century. $1 = 0.8986 Euros (Reporting and editing by Kirsten Doovan; Forrest Crellin)
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Gulf Stock Markets extend gains following US-China Trade Agreement
The Gulf stock markets were up early Monday morning, buoyed both by the rising oil price and progress in U.S. China trade negotiations. This was a positive sign as U.S. president Donald Trump prepared to visit this region. On Monday, the United States and China announced that they had reached an agreement to reduce reciprocal tariffs in order to end their trade war which has caused global economic disruption and shaken financial markets. A fragile ceasefire between India and Pakistan also seemed to ease geopolitical tensions. In the meantime, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy declared his willingness to meet Russian president Vladimir Putin for talks in Turkey on Thursday. The oil prices, which are the main source of income for the region and the key driver of markets, have risen on the expectation that a trade agreement will reduce the risk of an economic downturn. Brent crude futures rose 2.63% to $65.59 per barrel at 0858 GMT. Saudi Arabia's benchmark index rose by 1.4%. Financial sector stocks led a rise in most other sectors. Al Rajhi Bank (the kingdom's second largest lender in terms of assets) grew by more than 1%. Saudi Aramco has reported a 2.4% increase in its first-quarter profits, despite a drop of 4.6%. Sahara International Petrochemicals (Sipchem), which reported a net profit increase of more than 7% in the first quarter, rose by 2.9%. National Industrializations (Tasnee), on the other hand, rose by 2.3%. It posted a profit after reporting a gain of 895.8 millions riyals (US$238.84m), reversing its loss for the previous-year period. The main index of Dubai's shares rose by 0.7% due to strong performance in the financial and real estate sectors. Emirates NBD Bank increased by nearly 1,4%, while blue chip developer Emaar Properties rose 1.5%. Abu Dhabi's benchmark Index gained 0.5% thanks to a 1.6% increase in developer Aldar Properties. Qatar's benchmark stock index rose 0.6% for a third straight session, while Qatar National Bank, which is the largest Gulf lender in terms of assets, gained 0.8%. ($1 = 3.7507 Riyals) (Reporting and editing by Rachna uppal in Bengaluru)
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China tightens control on strategic mineral exports
China announced on Monday it would tighten controls on the entire supply chain of strategic mineral exports in an effort to maintain its dominance over materials that it considers vital to its national interests. China, which is the largest supplier of strategic minerals in the world, started imposing export restrictions on 2023. Minerals The sector is vital for sectors such as chipmaking, energy transition and defence. China's Commerce Ministry said that strengthening control over the entire export chain was the key to ensuring national security. A government meeting was held in Changsha, China, on Monday. The statement stated that representatives of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), the Ministry of Public Security, and the State Security Ministry were present. It added that these entities must adhere to the principle "prevention before anything else" in order to track strategic minerals flows and prevent any illegal outflows. Beijing has launched a special crackdown on the smuggling strategic minerals, including gallium and germanium. The announcement on Monday came just a few hours after the United States announced that it had reached a deal with China. Tariffs are being slashed They are trying to put an end to a trade conflict that has shook the financial markets and disrupted global economic growth.
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Gold drops 3% after US and China agree to reduce reciprocal tariffs
Gold fell 3% on Monday, reaching a new low of more than a week after the U.S. announced that it and China had agreed to cut reciprocal tariffs. This boosted the dollar and weakened the appeal of the metal as a safe haven. As of 0812 GMT on May 1, spot gold had fallen 3% to $3,224.34 per ounce. U.S. Gold Futures fell 3.5% to $3228.10. The de-escalation in tensions between China, the U.S. and tariff reductions for 90 days is reducing demand for safe assets such as gold, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. Near-term prices will likely remain volatile. The higher tariffs will still weigh on the economy and force central banks, later in the year, to lower interest rates. Central banks may also use this price drop to increase their exposure." The U.S., China and other countries have reached an agreement to reduce reciprocal tariffs in a bid to end the trade war which has impacted the global economy. After talks with Chinese officials, U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent informed reporters that the two sides reached an agreement for a 90 day pause in measures. Last month, the U.S. imposed tariffs of equal value on China. This triggered a trade conflict that fueled fears of a global recession. The dollar index rose more than 1% versus its rivals. This made gold more expensive to other currency holders. Jigar Trivedi is a senior commodity analyst with Reliance Securities. He said that gold could fall as the dollar may appreciate, and the reduction of geopolitical risks could "hurt haven demand... The yellow metal could decline to $3.200/oz within the next few months. Traders will also be watching the U.S. Consumer Price Index on Tuesday to get a fresh look at the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Spot silver fell 2.3% to $11.96 per ounce. Platinum dropped 1.2% to $983.44, and palladium declined 0.9% to $967.35.
Russell: China's rebound in crude oil imports has more of a bearish tone than a bullish one.
China's crude oil imports have been positive for the first few months of this year. However, rather than being a sign that fuel demand is improving, the improvement has more to do with rising inventories.
Customs data released Friday show that the world's largest crude importer, Saudi Arabia, recorded an average of 11,69 million barrels a day in April. This is down from the 12.1 million bpd it had in March, but up 7.5% from the 10,88 million bpd for the same period last year.
The imports in March were the highest since August 2023, and April's relatively strong performance brought the arrivals of the first four month to 11,83 million bpd. This is up 0.5% compared to the same period last year.
The strength of imports in April and March was largely due to the availability discounted cargoes coming from Iran and Russia. Both countries are now under new US sanctions.
According to commodity analysts Kpler, China's seaborne exports from Russia reached 1.38 million barrels per day (bpd) in April, and 1.22 millions bpd during March. These were the two strongest months since 1.51 million bpd was recorded in October of last year.
Kpler estimated that imports from Iran fell to 743,000 barrels per day (bpd) in April. This was down from 1,39 million barrels per day in March which was the highest monthly figure since October.
Imports from Iran were likely under pressure in April as the U.S. administration of President Donald Trump increased pressure on Tehran to curtail its nuclear program.
Last week, it was reported that sanctions imposed on two Chinese refiners in March andApril for purchasing Iranian crude had led to problems in sourcing oil. This is because the companies Shandong Shouguang Luqing Petrochemical (SSH) and Shandong Shengxing Chemical were unable to source oil.
The sanctions against the smaller operators have also deterred the larger independent refiners to buy Iranian barrels. This has led to the fall in imports for April.
How long will Chinese buyers be wary about buying Iranian oil? Or, to put it another way, will they find ways to get around the latest sanctions to resume importing from Tehran?
China's imports of Russian crude dropped sharply in January after new sanctions were imposed by the departing administration of former U.S. president Joe Biden against vessels transporting Russian crude.
Kpler estimated that China's seaborne exports to Russia fell to their lowest level in 26 months during February.
Since then, they have recovered as refiners worked around U.S. restrictions.
STORAGE FLOWS
Understanding why refiners buy more oil from Russia or Iran is important.
As Chinese refiners try to take advantage of the discounted prices, they are storing the increased quantities in strategic or commercial storage. At the same time, they are worried that the United States will increase sanctions on the Russian and Iranian oil flows.
China does not reveal the volume of crude oil flowing in or out of its strategic and commercial stockspiles. However, an estimate of surplus crude can be calculated by subtracting the amount processed from the total crude oil available from both imports and domestic production.
According to calculations based upon official data, China's crude surplus in March was 1.74 million barrels a day (bpd), the highest since June 2023.
In the first two month of the year oil imports were low due to the high prices at the time of cargo arrangements. This led to the swing in March from a shortage of crude oil available.
Analysts Vortexa say that the average increase in inventories in the five-week period ending May 4 was over 1.1 million bpd.
China's continued purchases of crude oil to build up its inventory is a question that arises as global crude prices are under pressure due to increased OPEC+ production and global demand concerns sparked by Trump’s trade war.
The deteriorating economy may make refiners more cautious, given that periods of low oil prices tend to lead to higher imports.
These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
(source: Reuters)