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Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Saudi Arabia claims to have intercepted drones that were launched by Iraq and targeted oil facilities

Saudi Arabia announced 'on Tuesday' that its air defenses intercepted and destroyed a number of drones that were launched from Iraqi territory in an attempt to 'target?oil?installations in the kingdom’s Eastern Province. This was the second attack of this kind in less than a week, and it raises the stakes as Riyadh tries to pressure Iraq to stop its territory being used as a launching pad against Saudi oil installations. Turki al-Maliki, a spokesperson for the Saudi Defense Ministry, said on X that drones had been 'launched by militias backed by Iran from Iraqi soil. Al-Maliki stated that Saudi Arabia...

Oil & Gas

Wall Street Journal, July 28,

These are the top stories from?the Wall Street Journal. These stories have not been?verified and we cannot vouch for their accuracy. Johnson & Johnson, a manufacturer of babycare products, has agreed to pay $5.5 Billion to settle outstanding lawsuits alleging that the company's Talc products cause ovarian cancer. The agreement is conditional on 95% participation by the remaining claimants. Iran and Oman have worked to achieve an agreement for the safe passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz amid a lull between fighting between the U.S. -Kuwait Petroleum signed a $16billion pipeline lease agreement with Kuwait Oil, involving the...

Oil & Gas

European chemical earnings will test the recovery of demand after conflict-driven pricing boost

Investors are increasingly interested in whether this temporary boost can offset weak demand and the mounting competition of Asian producers. The Middle East conflict has tightened supply conditions, which have helped to support pricing. This has given breathing space to Europe's chemical sector. However, weak demand, overcapacity globally and increasing competition from Asia are still weighing on the long-term outlook of the industry. Investors are also interested in whether the companies have reported sustained volume gains or only temporary price increases, as well their outlooks for second half of the calendar year. Brenntag, BASF, and Evonik are among the chemical...

Oil & Gas

Sources say that Pakistan and Kuwait are discussing an expanded defence pact.

Five sources familiar with the talks claim that Pakistan is negotiating a broader?defence agreement with Kuwait, in exchange for energy investment and cooperation. All sources agreed that the talks are still in a 'early stage' and could be complicated by the heightened tensions between Iran and the United States, according to one source. According to a report on Thursday, there are growing concerns in Islamabad about the possibility that the mutual defence agreement signed with Saudi Arabia last year could drag Pakistan into a war between Iran and the United States. Pakistan, a nuclear-armed country, told Iran that it would...

Oil & Gas

Sources say that Iran has told the Houthis they must close their Red Sea Gateway if US strikes power grid.

Three sources said that Iran had asked the Houthi movement in Yemen to be ready to shut down the Red Sea Oil Route if?the United States struck Iranian power infrastructure. This poses a powerful new threat to global oil supplies. Two senior Iranian sources, as well as a'regional source' familiar with the issue, said that the idea was discussed within the Islamic Republic leadership and the message had been'sent' to Iran's Houthi ally. Sources said that the Houthis were recently informed of Tehran's request. This was not previously reported. They didn't give any further details about how the message was...

Oil & Gas Refining

Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.

Industry sources say China's fuel demand will take a long time to recover after its imports hit a record low. Refiners reduced production and opted for cheaper crude as a result of the U.S. - Iran war. China's low demand for high-sulphur oil (HSFO), one of Asia’s largest importers, is expected to limit prices. This is despite the fact that the market has strengthened after Washington and Tehran intensified their attacks on the Middle East disrupting Gulf supply through the Strait of Hormuz. LSEG data show that the Asian refiners' margins for 380 centistoke HSFO rose to a discount of...

Oil & Gas

What are the Houthis and their allies, Iran in Yemen?

Yemen's Houthi group fired missiles on Saudi Arabia, accusing it of bombing a Saudi airport that was under their control. This broke a four-year ceasefire in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the Iran-aligned movement. This move marks the end of the de-escalation period and is a sign that Iran may now use its Houthi allies in order to shut down the Bab el-Mandeb entrance to the Red Sea. It would be the second 'global /shipping chokepoint disrupted since the Strait of Hormuz. WHO ARE HOUTHIS? Abdul Malik al-Houthi is the leader of Yemen’s Houthis. He is a highly secretive...

Oil & Gas

UK bans two Iranian groups for antisemitic acts in Britain

After a series of antisemitic attacks on British streets, the British government used powers similar to proscriptions in order to combat state-backed threats. This power would effectively ban support for these groups, and give police and intelligence agencies?new powers to combat any threats related to them. Keir starmer, the Prime Minister of Britain, said that "these 'new powers' will make it easier for anyone to be prosecuted and jailed in Britain who is doing their dirty work." Since its establishment in 1979, the IRGC has been an elite military force loyal the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic. The Islamic...

Oil & Gas

The IEA warns that escalation between the US and Iran could threaten oil surpluses in 2027.

The International Energy Agency said on Friday that the recent escalation of hostilities between the U.S., Iran, and other countries could change its forecast of an oil surplus next year. Global supply increased in June after the Strait of Hormuz was reopened, but it still lagged behind pre-war levels. Last month, global oil markets were given some relief as a peace deal between the U.S.A. and Iran allowed the opening of Strait of Hormuz. The closure of this strait had effectively cut off up to 14 million barrels of crude per day during the height of the biggest oil supply...

Oil & Gas

Trump on Iran: US likely to strike them again Wednesday night

U.S. President Donald Trump warned Iran the United States would likely launch additional strikes on Wednesday night, following the attacks of the previous day. "I'll give a little warning. We're going hit them hard tonight," Trump said to reporters before his meeting with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskiy at the NATO Summit in Turkey. Trump had said to reporters in Ankara that a memorandum-of-understanding between the United States & Iran, which served as an initial ceasefire agreement, was "over". He did not say that Washington would go back to full-fledged warfare, and it was not clear if the negotiations to turn...

Oil & Gas

IMF cuts 2026 global growth to 3%; sees rebound in 2020

The International Monetary Fund lowered its global growth forecast for 2026 again on Wednesday, to 3.0%. It warned of the ongoing risks caused by the Middle East war, trade fragmentation, and possible corrections in the market expectations regarding AI. Global lender said the war had prevented a more severe downturn in the global economy, and that the demand-driven growth in the tech industry helped?to _offset the drop in energy supply caused by the war. Growth is expected to rebound in 2027 at 3.4%, which is below the 3.5% average seen in 2024-2025. The IMF increased its headline inflation forecast for...

Oil & Gas

NATO chief: New US strikes on Iran are absolutely necessary

Mark Rutte, NATO Secretary General, said that the?new U.S. attacks on Iran? were "absolutely needed" The?U.S. The?U.S. Rutte said to reporters in Ankara, before the NATO summit. "When there is a ceasefire and Iran basically violates the ceasefire I think that it is absolutely crucial that the U.S. react forcefully." The European leaders will try to persuade Donald Trump to commit to the alliance after he renewed his disagreements with them regarding the Iran War and Greenland. Rutte stated that there was no doubt about the "complete commitment" of the United States to NATO, which he added also worked to...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

US claims to have intercepted Iranian missiles that were launched at US forces in the Middle East

Washington said that the U.S. military intercepted multiple missiles fired by Iran at U.S. forces based in the Middle East on Tuesday, in what Washington called "a surprise attack" by Tehran. The U.S. Central Command statement did not specify the exact location that it claimed Iran tried to target. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said later that they fired several missiles in response to U.S. action against Iranian interests. Axios had reported earlier, citing an official from the United States, that Iran "had launched ballistic rockets towards a U.S. military base in Jordan, and the missiles have been intercepted." The Islamic Revolutionary...

Fossil Fuels

The price of Russian oil has dropped due to the new Middle East crisis

The head of finance for Indian state refiner Bharat Petroleum Corp stated 'on Thursday that traders have stopped offering discounts to Russian crude sold to India due to disruptions in Middle -Eastern supply, which has boosted the demand for alternative grades. As Middle East oil supplies have been disrupted, refiners in India have increased their purchases of Russian crude oil. Vetsa Ramakrishna said that BPCL had secured crude supplies through August, and was looking for cargoes for September delivery. He said the company has received offers from traders for Russian oil cargoes to be delivered in September. He added, "But...

Fossil Fuels

McGeever: 'Stagflation' in the war on Iran is quietly increasing.

A dark cloud of Middle East conflict is once more looming above the financial markets. Geopolitical risks are back on the radar of investors, despite the fact that 'the shock of initial U.S. - Israeli strikes on Iran will not be repeated, barring a shocking twist such as a U.S. invasion on ground. The relief from falling oil and inflation pressures that followed the US-Iran truce struck in April has now evaporated. Investors, however flimsy the ceasefire may have been, took it as an opportunity to re-position themselves for economic growth and to re-expose to risk. Washington and Tehran have...

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Jet Fuel

IIR note: Saudi Aramco closes Jizan oil refining after attack

Saudi Aramco closed its Jizan oil refinery, which produces 400,000 barrels per day in Saudi Arabia, on July 27, following an attack on the facility by Yemeni Houthi militants. A note seen by revealed that this was due to an attack on Saturday by Yemen's Houthi terrorists. The market is already constrained by the tight fuel supply in the world, as well as disruptions from the Middle East and Russia's ban on diesel exports. The outage has also had a significant impact on the refinery profit margins, which have reached'record highs' in certain regions. The note stated that the attack...

Refined Products

Russell: Crude oil futures prices are a measure of market adaptability and not a sign of Iran peace.

Since the beginning of the Iran War, there has been a debate about whether crude oil futures accurately reflect?the stress in the physical markets for oil and refined products or if the are blindly 'optimistic' that peace is on the horizon. The Iran War between the United States of America and Iran continues on its volatile and unpredictable course, with renewed hope that there is a chance for a new pause in the?reverse strikes. This flicker of optimism led Brent futures to fall in the early Asian trading on Monday. The price fell by nearly 5%, reaching around $92.06. The...

Oil Refineries

Quotes-Russian Nabiullina, Zabotkin and Zabotkin discuss the key rate, fuel shortage and sanctions against Russian banks

Elvira Nabiullina, the Governor of the Russian Central Bank and Alexei Zabotkin, her deputy, held a press conference on Friday following a 25 basis point cut in its key rate to 14.00%. Nabiullina, Zabotkin and others spoke Russian. The?quotes that follow were translated by. NABIULLINA ON RATE DECISION "We carefully considered two options: Keeping the rate at its current level and cutting it to 0.25%. We discussed these two options, despite a few isolated suggestions to increase the rate. NABIULLINA ON FUEL SUPPLY CRUNCH "We analysed the fuel situation's development. This is primarily about what's known as supply-shocks. Such shocks...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon's battery recycling and the Kill Zone

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly feature that highlights what the Open Interest team has been reading, watching and listening to. The Open Interest team shares what they've been watching, listening to and reading. This week's selections include the emergence of drone warfare, Europe's AI ambitions and Jamie Dimon's worries about long-dated bonds at JPMorgan Chase. This weekend we are reading... RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist. He has produced an amazing, frightening and visually stunning piece on Ukraine's "kill zone" with drones, which has changed the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine. CLYDE RUSSELL is a ROI...

Refined Products

ECB survey shows that euro zone firms are struggling to increase consumer prices following the Iran shock

A European Central Bank survey released on Friday showed that companies in the euro zone are finding it difficult to increase prices for consumers who are already facing a 'rise in fuel costs. The ECB held interest rates at a 'hold' level a day earlier. It said it was unable to see any evidence that the higher fuel prices were affecting consumer prices, wages, or long-term expectations. The ECB left the door open for another rise in September. The quarterly exchange between 76 large companies in the euro zone outside of the financial sector confirmed the absence of these second-round...

Jet Fuel

China's refined oil product exports in June are up from May despite export restrictions

China's refined oil product exports in June improved over May but fell from the same period in last year, amid export restrictions that began in mid-March in order to protect domestic supply after the Iran War. China is Asia's biggest fuel exporter, and the increased export allowance will ease tight supplies because regional refiners have curtailed production due to war-related oil shortages. China's refined product exports to Hong Kong and Macau, including gasoline and diesel, totaled 643,712 tons. This is a slight increase of 4% from last June. Exports of refined oil products from China to other regions than Hong...

Refined Products

Syria's state news agency reports that it has foiled an attempt to smuggle arms to Hezbollah in Iraq.

The Syrian authorities announced on Thursday that they had foiled a smuggling attempt of advanced weapons and missiles from Iraq across the border. According to an Interior Ministry official quoted by the state news agency SANA, the shipment seemed to be destined for the militant group Hezbollah. General Authority of Ports and Customs in Syria said that the shipment of drones and rockets was hidden inside one of the oil tanker trucks heading to Baniyas. The shipment was discovered during routine inspections at the al-Tanf crossing between Syria, Iraq and Syria. Customs officers then conducted a thorough search of the...

Refined Products

The fourth day of rising oil prices as a result of US strikes against Iran has raised fears about wider conflict

The price of oil rose on?Thursday for a forth consecutive day after a wave of U.S. strikes?on Iranian installations fueled fears of a full-scale conflict and supply?disruptions? in the Strait of Hormuz. After reimposing its naval blockade, the United States hit?Iran?s?coastal defenses and missile sites, on Wednesday. Iran, meanwhile, threatened to cut off regional energy exports by saying that it was in a "existential conflict" with America. Brent crude futures were up 33 cents or 0.4% to $85.28 a barge by 0026 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate futures were up 42 cents or 0.5% to $80.02 a barrel. Both benchmarks...

Refined Products

Oil reaches a one-month high after US and Iran intensify attacks on Strait of Hormuz

The price of oil rose 2% to its highest level in four weeks on Tuesday as the U.S. reimposed a naval blockade of?Iran and the U.S. and Iran intensified their attacks in the Strait of?Hormuz. This increased uncertainty over?energy flow. Brent crude futures rose $1.68 or 2% to $84.98 a barrel at 0051 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude gained $1.65 or 2.1% to $79.79 a barrel. Brent crude gained 9.6% during the previous session. This was its largest daily gain since May 2019. The oil prices have reached their highest level since June 17, when the two countries signed...

Refined Products

Tajikistan has enough fuel to last 60 days, despite Russian shortages

The local RFE/RL branch reported that Tajikistan has 60 days worth of fuel reserves. It is also in discussions with nearby countries to secure future supplies. This comes amid acute fuel shortages in Russia, a major trading partner. Radio Ozodi quoted the minister Daler Juma as saying "The export of some types?of petroleum products is still continuing from Russia to Tajikistan." At the same time, some difficulties continue. The broadcaster quoted the minister as saying that Tajikistan worked with Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Iran to ensure it had the fuel it needed. Tajikistan is a small country with a population of...

Refined Products

Weekend Reads: Drones and Messi

Are you looking for inspiration? Weekend Reads is a weekly roundup of what the Open Interest team was reading, watching, and listening to. This week's picks include the impact of war on?energy security and food, China's ability to leverage critical minerals, and World Cup drama. We'll be reading RON BOUSSO's ROI Energy Columnist's paper, which examines the global impacts of Ukraine's drone attack on Russia's oil refinery infrastructure. The analysis provides great detail about the extent of the damage. CLYDE RUSSELL is a columnist for ROI Asia 'Commodities and Energy. The Iran War threatened to cause a food shortage. The...

Refined Products

Oil prices rise after US strikes on Iran

Oil prices rose on Thursday, after the U.S. launched new?strikes in Iran. This dented hopes of an end to the Iran war, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Strait of Hormuz is a chokepoint that supplies one-fifth of the world's oil supply before the war. Brent crude futures were up 78 cents or 1% at $78.8 per barrel as of 0054 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 74 cents or 1.01% to $74.26 per barrel by 0054 GMT. WTI and Brent crude prices rose by more than $1 in the post-settlement trading on Wednesday,...