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Prices of EUROPE GAS have fallen by over 10% following the news that Iran and Israel had reached a ceasefire

Prices of EUROPE GAS have fallen by over 10% following the news that Iran and Israel had reached a ceasefire

The wholesale gas prices for the Dutch and British front months fell by more than 10% Tuesday morning, following the news that Iran had agreed to a ceasefire with Israel. This removed the risk premium that the market had built in due to potential disruptions of oil and gas supplies.

LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract for the TTF hub dropped by 4.61 Euros to 36.63 Euros per megawatt hour (12.41/mmBtu) or 12.41 euros/MWh by 0818 GMT.

The contract has fallen to its lowest price since June 12, the morning of the first Israeli strike on Iran.

A trader explained that Tuesday's decline was due to the news from Israel that it had agreed to U.S. president Donald Trump's proposal of a ceasefire between Iran and the United States.

The daily market report by consultancy Auxilione stated that "at the open today, we have seen a tremendous sigh relief as more than 10% of the price levels were eroded."

They warned that any breach of the ceasefire by either party would immediately bring back concerns to the market.

Israel said that Iran had already violated the ceasefire, and it would be responding.

Gas prices were at an 11-week high before due to fears that hostilities would lead to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and lock in 20% of the global supply of liquefied gas (LNG).

The oil price also fell sharply on Tuesday.

Arne Lohmann, GRM's chief analyst said that the talk of a Hormuz Strait closing and a broader war threat has faded completely for the moment.

A trader stated that gas prices could fall even lower, to levels not seen before the war, due to the high LNG supply, and the need to unwind some long positions by market participants.

The Dutch day-ahead contracts fell by 5.25 euros, to 35.92 euro/MWh. Meanwhile, the British contract dropped 10.75 pence, to 84.50 pence per therm.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was up 0.31 euros at 73.58 euro per metric ton. Nora Buli, OSLO, and Nina Chestney edited the story.

(source: Reuters)