Saudi Arabia








Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Goldman Sachs predicts a 410,000-bpd increase in OPEC+ supply for June

Goldman Sachs said on Friday that it expects OPEC+ will announce a second consecutive supply increase for June on July 1 due to the modest compliance of Kazakhstan, lower than expected OECD inventory levels, and Saudi Arabia’s ability to deal with lower oil prices. The Wall Street bank expects the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) to announce a 410,000-barrel-per-day (bpd) increase in supply for June in its meeting on Saturday, from its prior estimate of 140,000 bpd, according to a note. Three sources said on Friday that the OPEC+ summit was moved from Monday to...

Oil & Gas

Saudi Arabia's GDP expanded 2.7% in the first quarter

Saudi Arabia's economy expanded in the first quarter thanks to activity in non-oil sectors as the country continues its diversification away from hydrocarbons. Flash estimates released by the government's statistics authority on Thursday showed that the kingdom's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as measured in dollars, increased 2.7% from the previous year. The government agency updated and expanded their data collection, and stated that its nominal and real GDP series had been revised accordingly. When we met with people, they always wanted more information, more statistics and more data. The local demand for more data is what drives this, said...

Oil & Gas

Saudi Arabia announces record non-oil imports of $137 Billion in 2024

Saudi Arabian non-oil imports will reach a record high of 515 billion Riyals ($137.29 Billion) by 2024, according to the official news agency. The kingdom is continuing its efforts to diversify away from its oil-dependent economy. The world's largest oil exporter invests billions of dollars in its Vision 2030 plan. This plan focuses on reducing the country's reliance on crude oil and increasing infrastructure spending to boost industries such as tourism, sports, and manufacturing. Saudi Arabia also works to attract more investment from outside to ensure that its ambitious plans remain on track. State news agency SPA reported that non-oil...

Oil & Gas

Saudi Arabia outperforms Gulf counterparts in early trade, as Trump pauses the tariffs

Saudi Arabia's stock exchange led its Gulf counterparts higher on Thursday morning, following global shares. This was after U.S. president Donald Trump made the unexpected decision to suspend most of his recently implemented tariffs. Trump announced on Wednesday a 90-day suspension of many of his new tariffs. However, he increased the tariff rate on China from 104% to 125%, effective immediately. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index rose 4% on its way to the biggest intraday gain since March 2020. The increase was boosted by Al Rajhi Bank's 3.8% and Saudi National Bank's 3.9% increases. Saudi Arabia is currently subject to...

Oil & Gas

OPEC+ panel seen not making any policy changes after unexpected output hike

Two delegates said that the top OPEC+ Ministers meeting on Saturday will not make any new changes to oil output policy. This is after this week's unexpected decision by the group to increase production further sent prices to pandemic levels. At 1200 GMT, a joint ministerial monitor committee (JMMC), or Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus allies, led by Russia will be held online. The JMMC is a group of oil ministers that includes Saudi Arabia, Russia, and other major producers. It meets about every two months, and it can make policy recommendations. On Saturday, two sources stated that...

Oil & Gas

The Trump tariffs have caused a drop in the price of Bourses in the Gulf

The Gulf stock markets fell on Thursday morning, amid concerns that the U.S.'s reciprocal tariffs could worsen trade tensions globally and tip the world towards recession. On Wednesday, U.S. president Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff as a baseline on all imports and increased duties on dozens countries, including its largest trading partners. Saudi Arabia's benchmark stock index fell by 0.4% after the return to trading following a four-session Eid holiday. Saudi National Bank, the country's largest lender, fell 1.5%. Saudi Aramco, the oil giant in Saudi Arabia was down by 0.8%. Oil prices, which are a major factor in...

Oil & Gas

Owner Stroll: Aston Martin will continue to be in F1 for many decades.

Lawrence Stroll, the team owner of the Silverstone-based outfit, said that the Aston Martin brand would be present in Formula One for many decades to come. Aston Martin has announced that it will raise more than 125 millions pounds ($161.9million) from Stroll, the company's chairman, as well as the sale of the stake in its F1 team, which is controlled and owned by the Canadian. The billionaire stated in a press release that "these moves demonstrate Aston Martin's position on the Formula One Grid is as secure and ever." Aston Martin and its British racing-green colours will continue to compete...

Oil Refineries

Russell: China and India's reaction to Trump's Russia oil-tariff threat is crucial.

The threat by U.S. president Donald Trump to impose secondary duties of 25 to 50 percent on buyers of Russian crude is so outrageous and bold that it may achieve his stated goal of a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia. What is important now is how the other key players react to the latest move of this mercurial, inconsistent U.S. president. Do Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister NarendraModi, as well as Chinese President Xi Jinping, believe that Trump is going to follow through on his promises? If so, what will this mean for the energy situation of...

Oil & Gas

Investors in the Gulf are gaining as they wait for US tariff clarity

Investors are waiting for clarity about U.S. president Donald Trump's policy on trade ahead of the looming tariffs. Trump's recent comments have given traders hope that trade policies can be flexible. He hinted on Monday that not all tariffs will kick in until April 2, and that certain countries may receive exemptions. However, he did not provide any details. Trump escalated his trade conflict by introducing secondary tariffs of 25% on countries who buy oil or natural gas from Venezuela. The move caused oil prices to rise initially, but its impact was mitigated later by the relief brought about by...

Oil & Gas

Chinese Premier warns of "rising instabilities" at key business conference

At a Beijing business forum on Sunday, Chinese Premier Li Qiang called for countries to expand their markets in order to combat the "rising uncertainty and instability" as China prepares to face further U.S. trade tariffs. State media reported that Li said, "In an increasingly fragmented and uncertain world, with rising instabilities and uncertainties, it's more important for countries to open their markets and enterprise... to resist challenges and risks." He was speaking to dozens of visiting U.S. Republican senator Steve Daines and dozens other foreign CEOs at the China Development Forum. Sources previously said that foreign CEOs, including Tim...

Oil Exploration

Saudi Aramco-backed Cognite taps India in AI expansion bet

Cognite, a Saudi Aramco-backed software company for industrial applications in Bengaluru in southern India, opened its AI service center on Wednesday and announced that it was exploring possible contracts with the top conglomerates of the country. The company declined to give further details, but said that it had signed agreements with two major automobile companies and a large industrial-cement company. Hakon Bjerke, chief strategy officer at Cognite, said that the company is "betting on India" and investing millions of dollars in India. Cognite produces software to help companies improve the safety and operation of industrial installations such as oil and...

Oil & Gas

S&P raises Saudi Arabia’s rating due to its sustained economic shift away oil

S&P, a global ratings agency, raised Saudi Arabia's credit rating from 'A to 'A+ with a stable outlook' on Friday. This was based on the ongoing social-economic transformation of the country. Fitch stated that the Vision 2030 project of the country provides flexibility in managing capital spending and debt issuance. This report stated that the sustained momentum of this project could help boost activity in the construction, manufacturing, and mining sectors to spur GDP growth between 2025-2028. The ratings agency said earlier this week that it expected the Saudi government to reduce capex, and current spending associated with them in...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

OPEC+’s 'healthy crude oil market' looks like catching a flu: Russell

The OPEC+ group's increased supply is not based on the reasons they claim. On May 3, the eight OPEC+ member countries who have agreed to voluntary production cuts decided to relax their curbs for June. This time, they added back 411,000 barrels a day (bpd). Calculations show that the June increase will bring the combined April, May, and June increases to 960,000 bpd. This represents a 44% reduction of the 2.2million bpd decrease. In a statement posted on the website of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, the eight stated that the decision to increase output was made due...

Fossil Fuels

Four sources claim that OPEC+ will continue to increase oil production.

OPEC+ will increase oil production and may unwind the voluntary cuts of 2.2 million barrels a day by the end October if the members don't improve their compliance with their production quotas. OPEC+ surprised the oil market by accelerating its unwinding of cutbacks in April, despite low prices and weak demand. Sources have claimed that the move was intended by OPEC+'s leader Saudi Arabia as a punishment for some members who failed to meet their quotas. OPEC+ (which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, as well as allies like Russia) agreed on a major output increase for June,...

Fossil Fuels

India's BPCL expects to gain $20-30/ton by swapping Middle East LPG for cheaper US supplies

Bharat Petrol Corp. Ltd., an Indian fuel retailer, expects to make a net profit of $20 to $30 per metric ton when it delivers U.S. LPG through a swap agreement with Middle Eastern suppliers. Its head of finance stated this on Friday. Analysts were told by Vetsa Ramakrishna that BPCL, India’s second largest state refiner, was in discussions with suppliers about swapping Middle Eastern cargo for U.S. supplies. The U.S.-China trade war has increased the gap in price between Middle Eastern LPG and U.S. LPG, and disrupted trade routes. China imposed tariffs on U.S. goods in response to the U.S....

Crude Oil

Refined Products

Refined Products

Saudi Arabia is able to live with lower oil price, according to sources

Five sources familiar with the discussions said that Saudi Arabian officials were briefing industry experts and allies to explain the kingdom's unwillingness to support the oil market through further cuts in supply and its ability to handle a long period of low oil prices. Saudi Arabia's possible policy shift could indicate a move to produce more and expand its market share. This would be a major change, after spending five years balancing the oil market by producing a large amount of oil as a member of the OPEC+. These cuts helped to support prices and, as a result, the revenue...

Refined Products

OPEC+ will consider a second increase in oil production for June

Three sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that several OPEC+ member countries will propose a second consecutive month of accelerating oil production increases in June. The oil price fell to a 4-year low in April. This was attributed to a U.S. - China trade war, and an unexpected decision made by OPEC+ (which brings together OPEC, Russia and other major oil producers) to increase production by 411,000 barrels of crude per day in May. This was three times the amount originally planned by the group. On May 5, eight OPEC+ member countries will gather to discuss the output...

Refined Products

Sources say that OPEC+ Ministers are seen to be sticking to their plans for further increases in oil production.

Two OPEC+ sources told reporters on Thursday that a meeting of eight top ministers in OPEC+ is likely to keep the oil production policy unchanged. This calls for gradual increases in oil output from April. One source said that the talks started shortly after 0900 GMT. One source stated that the ministers will likely emphasize the importance of adhering to the oil production targets. Record Kazakhstan output Sources have said that the move has angered other members, including Saudi Arabia, which is the top producer in the group. OPEC+ has urged the Central Asian nation, as well as other members...

Refined Products

Sources say that Kazakh overproduction influenced OPEC+ to approve a production increase.

Sources said that as OPEC+ debated if they should keep oil production steady because of weak global demand, or increase it in response to pressure from the U.S. president Donald Trump and internal pressure, a record output from Kazakhstan helped sway their decision. OPEC, along with its allies, including Russia, a collective known as OPEC+ decided to increase production for the first since 2022. It stated that its decision was based on a healthy market and positive market prospects, without mentioning Kazakhstan. The group plans to increase production by 138,000 barrels a day starting in April. This is the first...

Refined Products

Sources say sanctions and tariffs are making OPEC+ hesitant about an April oil price hike.

Eight OPEC+ sources have said that OPEC+ members are debating whether or not to increase oil production in April, as planned, or to freeze it, as they struggle to understand the global supply situation due to new U.S. sanctions against Venezuela, Iran, and Russia. OPEC+ confirms its policy of supply a month in advance, so that buyers have enough time to order crude. The group has until the end of March to decide on its April production, but some sources claim that no consensus has yet been reached. Several sources have said that the United Arab Emirates would also like...

Refined Products

OPEC's oil production falls in Nigeria and Iran for the second consecutive month, according to a survey

A survey shows that OPEC's oil production fell for a second consecutive month in January. This was due to a decline in exports, primarily from Nigeria and Iran, which offset a recovery in the United Arab Emirates, where maintenance on fields had reduced output in December. According to a survey released on Wednesday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pumped 26,53 million barrels of oil per day in December, a decrease of 50,000 bpd compared with the revised December total. Nigeria and Iran saw the biggest drops. The modest drop in production came at a time when the...

Refined Products

OPEC's share in India's yearly oil imports rises after 8-yr drop

OPEC's share in India's. petroleum imports edged up in 2024, increasing for the very first time in. nine years, after top supplier Russia's share dipped, information. gotten from trade sources showed. Russia's share in the world's third-biggest oil importer and. consumer is expected to drop further in 2025 after Washington. last Friday announced sweeping sanctions targeting Russian. manufacturers and tankers, interrupting supply from the world's No. 2. manufacturer to India and China and tightening up ship schedule. India imported 4.84 million barrels daily of oil in 2024,. up 4.3% from the previous year, the information showed. The share of Organization...

Refined Products

OPEC oil output rises in November as Libya recuperates, study finds

OPEC oil output increased for a. 2nd month in November as Libya's production recovered after. resolution of a political crisis, a Reuters survey discovered, however. members making cuts vowed to the broader OPEC+ alliance kept. output broadly constant. The Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries pumped. 26.51 million barrels per day (bpd) last month, up 180,000 bpd. from October, the study revealed on Tuesday, with Libya once again. posting the biggest boost. Libyan output recovered after resolution of a dispute over. control of the central bank, allowing complete production to resume. at oilfields and applying down pressure on rates. The....

Oil Refineries

China's Nov petroleum imports to rebound as low prices enhance buying

China's crude oil imports are set to rebound in November after sharp price cuts increased demand for Iraqi and Saudi oil, offsetting a drop in Iranian supply, according to experts, traders and shiptracking data. A downturn of 17% in global oil rates in the 3rd quarter likewise stimulated Chinese stockpiling demand while refiners prepare for greater seasonal fuel usage ahead of the Lunar New Year vacation looking in late January, analysts say. The November rebound in volumes for the world's leading crude oil importer comes after 6 successive months of yearly declines as Chinese refiners dealt with weak margins and...

Refined Products

Saudi Arabia's petroleum exports in September hit three-month peak

Saudi Arabia's crude oil exports in September rose to their highest level in 3 months, information from the Joint Organizations Data Effort (JODI) revealed on Monday. The country's exports in September increased by 0.080 million barrels daily (bpd) to 5.751 million bpd from 5.671 million bpd in August. Saudi Arabia is the world's largest exporter of crude. At the same time, Saudi's production fell to 8.975 million bpd from 8.992 million bpd in August. Saudi refineries' unrefined throughput rose by 0.035 million bpd to 2.756 million bpd, the information showed, while direct crude burning decreased by 296,000 bpd to 518,000...

Coal

A trillion dollar question - fossil fuel aids

Federal governments around the globe are ploughing billions of dollars into fossil fuel subsidies to shelter people from higher energy costs, but that comes at a. financial burden, develops ineffectiveness, and obstructs the objective of. decreasing total usage. At the U.N.'s COP29 environment top in Baku, conversations are. continuous over decreasing distortions and inefficiencies produced by. aids - a crucial to decrease the production and use of fossil. fuels, which contribute significantly to climate modification and. pollution. JUST HOW MUCH DO GOVERNMENTS SPEND ON FOSSIL FUELS? The International Energy Company (IEA) computed that fossil. fuel consumption aids stood at $620...

Refined Products

China's weak crude imports, Trump risks offer OPEC+ headaches: Russell

The scale of OPEC+'s China problem appears in yet another month of weak petroleum arrivals, with the world's biggest importer recording a 6th successive decline in October. Customs data last week revealed imports of 44.7 million metric loads in October, equivalent to 10.53 million barrels each day ( bpd), below 11.07 million bpd in September and 11.53 million bpd in October last year. For the very first 10 months of the year China's imports were 10.94 million bpd, down 3.7% on a daily basis from the 11.36 million bpd for the exact same duration in 2023. That decrease of 420,000...