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IMF increases forecast for Saudi GDP to 3.5% by 2025

The International Monetary Fund raised its GDP growth forecast for Saudi Arabia for 2025 to 3.5%, from 3%. This was partly due to the demand for government-led project and the OPEC+ plan to gradually end oil production cuts.

Saudi Arabia is expected to have a budget deficit of $27 billion in this year due to lower oil prices.

The kingdom is still pushing ahead with a massive transformation program called Vision 2030, which aims to wean its economy off oil dependence.

Saudi Arabia has made significant investments in sports, entertainment, and tourism in the last few years.

Even though oil prices are lower, growth is expected to be fueled by government spending and domestic demand.

The IMF reported that "robust domestic demand, including government-led initiatives, will continue to fuel growth despite increased global uncertainty and a weak commodity price outlook."

The Financial Times reported that in May, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan stated the kingdom would take stock of its priorities as a result of a decline in oil revenues.

The kingdom has committed to host several major international events. Each event will require significant construction and development costs.

The 2029 Asian Winter Games will feature artificial snow, a freshwater lake created by man, and the World Cup in 2034, where 11 new stadiums and some renovated ones will be constructed.

IMF report said that the kingdom's deficit fiscal will be funded largely by borrowing.

Saudi Arabia, the world's largest emerging market dollar issuer, issued the most debt last year. But the IMF says that the country has plenty of room to borrow, as its net debt is only 17% of GDP. This makes it one of the lowest-indebted countries in the world.

IMF reduced the Kingdom's GDP Growth Forecast to 3% from an initial estimate of 3.3% in January.

The fund added on Thursday that the non-oil GDP growth in 2025 is projected to be 3.4%, which is about 0.8% less than last year. Pesha Magd is reporting; Jan Harvey is editing.

(source: Reuters)