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Thungela expects thermal coal production to be curtailed across the industry due to lower prices

Thungela expects thermal coal production to be curtailed across the industry due to lower prices

South African coal miner Thungela CEO July Ndlovu, who is leaving his position on Monday, said that global thermal coal producers will reduce output due to low prices of the fossil fuel and an uncertain economic outlook.

South Africa's largest thermal coal exporter has reported a 80% drop in profit, to 248 million Rand ($14 million), in the six-month period ending June 30. This is primarily due to lower fuel prices.

Thungela stated that geopolitical tensions, rising tariffs and economic growth were all impacted by the disruption of global supply chains. Ndlovu or the company did not elaborate.

Thermal coal prices are also under pressure due to a global switch from polluting fuels to cleaner sources of energy, and increased production in the top import markets China & India.

Ndlovu stated that the low prices could lead to further production cuts after major producers from Indonesia and Colombia reduced production, while Australia's production suffered due to accidents and bad weather.

Ndlovu stated that "further production cuts are likely to help rebalance supply and demand on the seaborne markets." "I expect that supply discipline will continue."

The miner stated that the average thermal coal export price in South Africa and Australia fell by 11% and 9%, respectively, during the first half 2025.

Thungela expects to produce between 12.8 and 13.6 million tons of thermal coal in South Africa and between 3.7 and 4.1 millions tons at its Ensham Mine in Australia this year.

(source: Reuters)