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Russian businessmen sanctioned by the authorities accuse them of setting a "trap" in economy

Russian financial authorities created a "trap" for the Russian economy with their tight monetary policy, forcing it into stagnation. This was their most public criticism since an interest rate increase in 2024. The economic?growth will slow down to 0.4% in this year, from?4.9% last year, due to high interest rates, an overvalued ruble, and Western sanctions. Government's proposed measures won't provide much of a boost.

Since 2022, most of Russia's billionaires supported President Vladimir Putin in his war in Ukraine despite Western sanctions that prevented them from accessing their luxury yachts and properties in Europe and North America. The war is now in its fifth year, with no end in sight. Profits are falling, taxes are rising, access to Western market still denied and the largest nationalization drive since 1990.

Roman Trotsenko - a billionaire in the transport, fertilizer, and real estate industries - compared the central bank's policy with a "Volcker Shock," referring the aggressive rate increases of the U.S. Federal Reserve under Chairman Paul Volcker from?1979 to 1982. He told a group of businessmen, government officials and bankers at the largest economic conference of Russia in St Petersburg that "this was a huge experiment and no one else has done it since."

The key interest rate in Russia is now 14.5%. This is down from the previous high of 22%. However, it is still considered too high by businesses, as inflation has dropped to 5.6%, from 10%.

Trotsenko claimed that economic history books will describe the wartime policy of the rate as "Zabotkin’s trap into which Russia fell mistakenly," referring the First Deputy Chairperson Alexei Zabotkin who is the architect of the current policy.

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Zabotkin applauded Trotsenko’s speech, but told reporters later that the central banks was aware of the Russian business's woes.

Dmitry Mazepin of Uralchem fertiliser company, compared the central bank's actions to cool the economy with hostile Western powers.

What is the external challenge? They want us to be slowed down, but they also want to defeat us strategically, as President Obama said. What's going on internally? What does the central bank mean when they say that they want to cool the "economy" down? Mazepin spoke.

According to Forbes, Russia's richest person, Alexei Mordashov is the owner of Severstal. He said that domestic steel demand had dropped by 30% over the past three years. The company had cut 24% of its investment portfolio and its cash flow was negative.

I am certain that everyone in this room has a serious re-examination of their investment program. With such volatility and instability, it is obvious that we will see a further decline in investment and a greater drop in GDP.

Russian 'billionaires' usually avoid making public statements about the 'war in Ukraine. Many of them have ceded formal control of their companies and are now fighting in courts for the lifting Western sanctions.

German Gref, CEO at Sberbank who wrote Putin's economic program in the early 2000s which led to spectacular rates of growth for several years, said after the panel, that Russia's meagre rate of growth under current conditions is "already an miracle". (Additional reporting and editing by Darya Corsunskaya, Elena Fabrichnaya)

(source: Reuters)