Latest News

Gold prices rise on lower oil prices, US jobs data and Fed rate outlook to be released

Gold prices rose 1% on Monday, supported by a?decrease in oil 'prices, which tempered inflation concerns?and lowered bets that the U.S. would raise interest rates.

Gold spot was 0.8% higher at $4.086.36 an ounce at 2:20 pm EDT (1820 GMT) while U.S. gold futures were 1.5% higher at $4,515.60. Oil prices dropped more than 5%, to a three-week low. This was after remarks by Qatari officials and U.S. officials that raised hopes of a diplomatic solution to the 'Iran war' which could improve oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz.

Bart Melek of TD Securities said that lower oil prices are probably a major factor in the rise of gold. He added that the decline has also contributed to the outlook for interest rates, with short-term 'rates' falling a bit.

The Fed's expectation that it will maintain higher interest rates to combat inflation is reinforced by the high?energy price. This puts pressure on non-yielding gold. John Williams, Fed's New York president, said earlier on Monday that he was optimistic about the gradual easing of inflation pressures, but warned that if this did not happen, then the U.S. Central Bank would not hesitate to raise rates. The market is now pricing in a 57% probability of a rate increase at the central bank's September meeting, after a divided Fed left rates unchanged during its last policy meeting.

The market is now waiting for a series U.S. job reports, including ADP's employment report on Tuesday and the nonfarm payrolls on Friday.

Silver spot gained 2.8%, to $59.82 an ounce. Platinum rose 7.1%, to $1.742.63, while palladium increased 7.1%, to $1.354.27.

Ross Norman, an independent analyst, said that the Platinum Group Metals were 'getting full effect from a probable de-escalation of tensions in Iran. As industrial metals, they are dependent on a possible recovery in conventional demand. Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru, and Polina Devitt in London. Editing by Shailesh Kumar and Joyjeet Das.

(source: Reuters)