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Oil drops from highs, bonds are shaky amid trade and peace talks

Investors weighed the'simmering Middle East tensions' and prospects of a 'talk between China and the United States.

Tokyo's markets opened?after?a three-day break, and the 10-year Japanese government bonds yield shot up to a 30 year high following a sharp sell-off overnight in the U.S. The greenback and oil prices both eased off recent highs after the leader of Iran vowed that they would never give up following Donald Trump's warning to "annihilate Iran".

Investors waited for future rate hike signals from central bank speeches, economic releases and U.S. unemployment claims. The market was also focused on a summit between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping, hoping for progress in trade relations.

Ray Attrill said in a podcast that "equities are showing signs of creaking" under the weight of ever-rising bonds yields. Attrill is the head of FX Strategy at the National Australia Bank. In a risk-off climate, the U.S. Dollar still appears to be a safe haven.

The MSCI Asia ex Japan index fell by 0.64% while Japan's Nikkei rose by 1.73%. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index fell 1.2%, a drop of more than three months.

Xi’s first visit to the U.S. after nearly three years is not expected to bring major breakthroughs. However, Washington?and Beijing may extend their 11-month trading truce. ?Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary, said that they had agreed on a new extension while Trump personally welcomed Xi at Joint Base Andrews.

The bond yields are at multi-year highs, as traders factor in the possibility of central banks raising interest rates to combat persistent inflation.

The yield on Japan's 10-year bond rose 8 basis points to 3.06%. This is the highest level since August 1996. The 30-year yield increased 5.5 basis points to 4.12%. The 10-year Treasury yield in the United States remained at 5.11% after overnight reaching its highest level since 2007.

Officials at the central bank maintained a "hawkish" tone, as rising oil costs exacerbated inflationary pressures. Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr stated on Wednesday that the recent rate increase was part of an effort to recalibrate lending costs. He also indicated that more increases could be required. The markets are looking forward to speeches from other Fed officials, such as New York Fed president John Williams and Fed president Beth Hammack on Thursday.

The geopolitical tensions pushed up energy prices. Iranian officials spoke with U.S. ambassadors at the UN General Assembly but neither side made any progress in ending the conflict. Trump reaffirmed his threats of escalation while Iran's President vowed to not yield.

Brent crude dropped 1% to $102,05 per barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 0.74%, down to $91,48. Gold spot rose 0.35%, to $4.301.89 per ounce.

The dollar index dropped 0.04%, to 101.09 while the euro fell 0.02%, to $1.14. The Japanese yen rose 0.24%, to 157.91 dollars.

The U.S. Labor Department will likely report that initial claims for unemployment rose to a likely 201,000 in the week ending September 19. Meanwhile, continuing claims are likely to have increased by 15,000 to 1.745 millions the previous week. The U.S. Labor Department is expected to report that initial jobless claims likely rose to 201,000?in the week ended September 19, while continuing claims likely increased 15,000?to 1.745 million in the prior week.

European futures are lower. Euro Stoxx futures declined 0.33% at 6,304.00. DAX futures slipped 0.33% at 25,525.00. FTSE Futures fell 0.35% at 10,739.50.

Ether rose 0.46% to 2,683.24, while Bitcoin grew 0.07% to $84 288.53.

(source: Reuters)