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Stocks rise and yen falls as BOJ split vote hike tempers hawkish bets

Asian stocks rose Friday, helped by lower oil prices, while investors struggled to deal with the global central banks' efforts to reign in inflation. Japan also added another rate hike, but with a dovish spin that pushed down the yen.

This week, monetary policy will be the focus as the??six-month-old war in the Middle East continues to show no signs of ending. Oil prices are still above $100 per barrel while inflation worries spread across the world.

The Japanese currency fell by 0.7%, to 157.1 dollars, after the Bank of Japan increased rates to a high of 1.25 percent, as was expected. However, the move enraged yen-bears, with two members of the board opposing the increase.

Fred Neumann is the chief Asia economist for HSBC. He said that the tone of the statement and the two dissenters to the decision raise rates leave lingering doubts about the central bank's willingness to tighten monetary policy.

Investors will be looking for clues to see if officials are willing to increase interest rates in December.

The Nikkei soared nearly 2% as the yen dropped. Japanese 2-year government bonds yields, which are the most sensitive to expectations of monetary policy, fell by 4 basis points, to 1.82%.

European stock futures fell 0.35%, signaling a lower opening.

Check out Yen's Reality

The yen has rallied this month as investors in Japan have begun to repatriate their money. However, some of these gains were lost when the US central bank turned hawkish.

If the markets do not think he is hawkish, the yen could fall back to 160 levels.

Prashant Nnewnaha, senior rate strategist at TD Securities said that the BOJ reiterated their concerns about underlying inflation deviating upwards from its 2% goal, but "we do not see a smoking-gun supporting a double hike in October".

He said, "We will continue to call for rate increases roughly every three months with the next 25bps increase in December."

The BOJ's decision concludes a series of meetings at which central bankers have increased their hawkish rhetoric.

On Thursday, the Bank of England warned that it might 'have to raise rates if the Middle East conflict drags on.' Meanwhile, the Fed raised interest rates for the first three-year period on Wednesday and indicated more would be done in the months ahead. Last week, the European Central Bank also warned about the need to tighten further as it raised rates.

Australia's top banker, who is a hawkish voice himself, said that some of the inflation risks on the upside flagged by policymakers were manifesting themselves.

The governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Michele 'Bullock said that a key issue facing policymakers this month at their policy meeting will be whether or not three rate increases this year will be enough to get inflation back to its 2%-3% target.

RETRADING OIL PRICES LIFTS SENTIMENT

Brent crude futures fell as much as 1.5 percent to $103.29 per barrel, despite concerns over Saudi Arabia's strikes against Yemen's Houthis.

A report citing three Iranians familiar with the issue, said that China had asked Tehran to help rein-in?the Houthis following their military blitz in the past week.

After another massive sell-off last week, the bond prices have also stabilized. The 10-year US Treasury has now risen above 5% and is at its highest level since 2007. The last time it was at 4.936%.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose by about 1%. The KOSPI, South Korea's tech-heavy index, grew by over 2%.

The euro was unchanged at $1.148 but is on track for a weekly 1% decline, which will be its largest drop since June.

(source: Reuters)