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Bonds resume selling after bonds climb, but stocks rise following weak US job data

The dollar and major stock indexes fell on Friday, as expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike this month dropped after weaker-than-expected US jobs data.

The bond market resumed its ongoing selloff, which has seen global yields reach levels not seen for two decades.

The closely watched Labor Department employment report revealed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000 jobs in August, falling short of the 90,000 expected increase according to economists surveyed. The Labor Department's closely watched employment report showed that nonfarm payrolls?increased?by 29,000 jobs last month, short of the 90,000 expected gain according to economists polled by.

After the report, bets on a Fed rate hike in October, after it raised rates last month for the first since 2023, dwindled. The Fed is now seen as having a 21% chance of raising rates by 25 basis point in October. This was compared to a 26% chance before the report.

Joseph Purtell is senior vice president at Neuberger, and portfolio manager. He said that the labor market was not as hot as it had been in August. Purtell described the labor market as stable.

As Friday's employment report came out, expectations for a rate hike in October had already begun to decline. This week, two top policymakers stated that they needed more data to decide 'what to do with interest rates next. LSEG says that the odds of a December rate hike initially decreased following the data, but then increased.

Rates that are higher can be seen as negatives for stocks, because they raise the borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.

The Nasdaq Composite gained 319.27 point to 27,190.86, a 1.2% increase. The Dow Jones Industrial Average?rose by 250.40 or 0.5% to 51,176.96. The S&P?500 grew by 56.27 or 0.7% to 7,722.72.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 7.01 points or 0.6% to 1,140.27. The pan-European STOXX 600 rose by 0.75%.

The dollar fell against the euro and the yen. The euro last rose 0.16% to $1.1259 The dollar fell 0.18% against the Japanese yen to 157.79.

The gap between German and French yields is the widest since 2011.

US Treasury yields initially fell following the jobs report, but later rose on the same day. Some investors noted that the jobs reports was not so poor that it eliminated chances for the Fed? to raise rates in the coming months.

In recent weeks, global bond markets have steadily sold off as the US-Israeli conflict with Iran has pushed energy prices up. This has complicated the inflation outlook while further stretching already stretched public finances. Benchmark US 10-year yields closed the month of September with their largest quarterly increase since 1994.

The yield on the benchmark US 10-year note was up 4.93 basis point at 5.283%. The yield on the 2-year note, which moves typically in step with Fed interest rate expectations, was up 4.63 basis points at 5.283%.

The European Government Bond Markets remained volatile on Friday, with the difference between German and French 10-year Yields reaching the highest level since the Euro Zone Debt Crisis in 2011.

German 2-year bond rates were flat at 3.05% after swinging between session lows of 2.943% to highs of 3.063%. French 2-year bonds were about 4 bps higher, at 3.73%. They had risen as much as 3.84% earlier. Italian 2-year bond yields are down 7 basis points at 3.547%.

The yields on 2-year German bonds fell by nearly a quarter of a point this?week. Meanwhile, those on 2-year French debt rose nearly 14 basis points.

Brent crude futures rose, while US West Texas Intermediate retained a part of its earlier losses. This was after European leaders accepted US President Donald Trump’s request for the release of diesel reserves.

Brent rose 46 cents or 0.45% to $102.77 per barrel by 2:20 pm EDT (1820 GMT). WTI fell 1% to $91.90 per barrel.

(source: Reuters)