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Global stock markets rise as chipmakers benefit from oil's decline

Global stocks rose Monday, as new evidence of booming AI demanded lifted tech shares. Oil fell?on news that more oil was leaving the?Gulf, despite ongoing conflict, than previously believed.

The bond market has recovered after a six-week slump in the previous week, amid high interest rates and persistently high oil costs. European debt led the rally.

The MSCI All-World Index rose by 1.03% while European shares gained 1.12%.

The Nasdaq Composite gained 1.62%, the S&P 500 gained 1.05 % and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.49%.

Intel gained 13% among chipmakers, Advanced Micro Devices soared 9.2%, becoming the latest to surpass $1 trillion market value, and Micron was up by 2.3%.

South Korean data shows that exports in the first 20 days of this month reached a record-high, largely due to an increase in demand for chips.

Even though global interest rates are expected to rise further, the appetite for risk remains high.

Seema Shah, Principal Asset Management's chief global strategist, said: "While synchronized rates hikes have raised concern about risk assets, equity markets remain near records, supported by strong growth in earnings."

The central banks have raised rates in response to inflation, not to slow down economic activity. This suggests that tightening is likely to be gradual and restricted. Shah stated that while higher rates could hinder further expansion of multiples, they would not materially impact earnings or derail a bull market.

BONDS STABILISE

Interest-rate-sensitive two-year US Treasury yields were ?last down 1.18 basis points at 4.731%, after earlier reaching 4.772%, the highest since July 2024. Benchmark 10-year yields dropped 3.68 basis points, to 4.959%.

Most major central banks are expected to increase rates again this year. Futures betting on the Federal Reserve's hawkish comments last week predicts a 53% increase in rates by October and 89% chances of an increase before year-end.

French debt was hit by concerns about inflation and long-term financial stability, which led to its highest risk premium since the 2012 Euro zone debt crisis.

The conservative mainstream party of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz suffered its worst results in elections since 1949. The drop in oil prices was the main driver for bond yields, with German 10-year yields at?3.451% down 7.08 basis point and French 10-year at 4.465%.

OIL RETREATS FOR NOW

The price of oil futures fell even though Iran and the United States traded new threats, and after the Houthis attack Saudi Arabia's capital.

US crude dropped 4.8%, to $95.49 per barrel. Brent was down to $100.17 per barrel on the same day.

Market sentiment improved as a result of profit-taking following recent gains and hopes for constructive discussion at the UN General Assembly this week (UNGA), as well as the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, according to commodities strategists Ewa Patterson and Warren Patterson from ING.

US President Donald Trump is attending the United Nations General Assembly in this week. He will also meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday.

Saudi producers are also reported to be aiming to restart some flow through the main east-to west pipeline of the country after it was damaged by attacks last week. Details were not available and analysts had doubts.

Kpler, an analytics firm, reported that Saudi Arabian exports had recovered to over 4 million barrels a day so far in September. In August they had fallen to 2.4 millions bpd which was the lowest level since 2013.

The?dollar rose 0.36% to 157.43 yen in foreign exchange. Investors were wary that the Bank of Japan might take advantage of the lack of liquidity during the three-day Silver Week holidays to buy currency.

Nikkei reported that the yen rose on Friday, after Japanese authorities checked the rate of the currency market.

(source: Reuters)