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Treasury yields increase as central banks intensify their inflation battle

On Friday, global equity markets fell and Treasury yields increased as the markets neared the end of a turbulent period marked by the efforts of central banks around the globe to curb inflation.

Wall Street's three main indexes fell, with real estate, materials and utilities stocks leading the declines. The Dow and S&P 500 were both on course to lose money for the week, but the Nasdaq would post a gain.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.4%. The S&P 500 declined 0.2%. And the Nasdaq Composite decreased 0.1%.

Stocks in Europe dropped 1.1%, and they were heading for a loss of 5% per week. MSCI's global index of stocks fell by 0.2%.

This week the focus has been on monetary policy, because the Middle East war is approaching its seven-month mark and shows few signs of ending. The conflict keeps oil prices at $100 per barrel, fueling inflation fears. This has led to an increase in the yields on major government bond markets.

Kieran Osborne is the chief investment officer of Mission Wealth.

The Fed has clearly stated that it will likely raise rates again and central banks around the world are on a path to try to curb inflation. The Middle East situation does not appear to be going away anytime soon.

CENTRAL BANK MOVES

After the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a record high of 1.25 percent, the yen fell and Japanese government bonds declined. Two board members dissented from the decision.

The Japanese yen fell 0.6% to 156.88 dollars per dollar. The Japanese currency is up 1.8% this month due to expectations that the BOJ will increase rates faster and signs of early repatriation by Japanese investors.

The BOJ's decision concludes a series of meetings at which central bankers have increased their hawkish rhetoric.

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Wednesday for the first time in three years and adopted a more aggressive approach to inflation. This shook the yen which was on track for its worst performance against the US dollar for two years. It fell 2.6%.

The Bank of England left the UK rates unchanged on Thursday, but warned that it might have to raise them if Iran's war continues. Last week, the European Central Bank also emphasized that it was necessary to tighten further as they raised their rates. Australia's top banker said on Friday that some of the inflation risks have materialized.

The euro dropped 0.1% to $1.1455

The dollar index, which measures greenbacks against a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies, increased by 0.1%.

OIL PRICES RETREAT

Brent crude futures dropped 0.1% to $104.67 following reports that China had asked Tehran to rein in the Houthis, after their military offensive over the last week. This, along with the hope that Gulf exporters may find alternate routes to ship their oil, has put crude 'futures' on course for a week-long decline.

After another week of brutal selling, bond yields have risen. The 10-year U.S. Treasury Yield is now at its highest level since 2007. The last increase was 5.32 basis points to 4.947%.

In the past week, yields in Britain and the Eurozone also reached multi-year highs. However, by Friday they were just a little higher.

Spot gold increased 0.3% to $4.352.77 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)