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Crude Oil

Crude Oil

The dollar is headed to the carvery, according to the morning bid in Europe.

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The dollar's weekly drop was the largest in four months, and traders were looking ahead to 2026 as markets slowed down for Thanksgiving in the U.S. The U.S. is looking to further ease interest rates, while the rest of world seems to be finishing off their rate cuts. South Korea is the latest country to adopt a hawkish stance, abandoning its easing bias. Bonds have fallen. Asahi Noguchi, a former Bank of Japan dove, also adopted a slightly hawkish tone in his speech to...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise on Fed optimism, but sterling and gilts are slammed by budget surprises

The growing bets on a rate cut in the U.S. lifted stocks for a 4th straight day, and Europe's stock markets experienced an incredible few hours when Britain's fiscal regulator accidentally published new forecasts that were crucial ahead of a brutal UK budget. The UK budget was released by Finance Minister Rachel Reeves and contained yet another round of tax increases. Early release The Office for Budget Responsibility’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook has already triggered a response. The sterling and gilt yields both rose as OBR figures showed a better than expected picture of the UK's fiscal room, but then...

Crude Oil

Asia stocks surge as Fed rate-cut betting boosts weak US data

The Asian stock market rose on Wednesday as it followed Wall Street's gains, with weaker than expected economic data fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates during its next policy meeting. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose by 1.1% after U.S. shares ended the previous session mildly up. Japan's Nikkei index gained 1.9% while U.S. futures rose 0.3%. U.S. stock prices recovered lost ground following a recent sell-off. The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Dow Jones all rose for the third day in a row on Tuesday as data revealed that retail sales were lower...

Crude Oil

Stocks rise, US yields fall on increased Fed cut expectations

The global stock market rose on Tuesday, and was on track for a third consecutive session of gains. Investors remained confident that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates during its December meeting. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Yields fell. Alphabet and Meta Platforms led the gains on Wall Street. Google's parent company hit an intraday high of $328.83, and was up over 1% last as it approached $4 trillion market capitalization. This would make it the only fourth company to achieve this mark. The Information reported on Meta Platforms, which rose 3% and was the largest boost to the S&P...

Crude Oil

Asian stocks rise as US interest rate cuts are expected

Asian shares rallied Tuesday, as investors bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. They also piled into technology stocks around the world, despite concerns that the sector is becoming overheated. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan gained 1%, led by tech stocks. This is a partial recovery of last week's 4% drop. The index is expected to drop 3.8% in the month. This will be its first monthly decrease since March. Japan's Nikkei rose 0.8% at the start of trading on Tuesday, after returning to work on Monday from a long holiday. Last week, the index fell...

Crude Oil

The pAIn trading MORNING BID AMERICAS

By Anna Szymanski LONDON (November 21) What Mike Dolan, the ROI team and I are looking forward to reading, watching and listening to this weekend. The Nvidia boost was short-lived. The U.S. equity market fell on Thursday, despite an initial rally. Both the Nasdaq index and Dow recorded +1,000 points from the peak to the trough. The Nasdaq, which is dominated by tech stocks, saw its largest intraday movement since April's tariff tantrum. Nvidia's $57 billion record third quarter revenue, and its rosy outlook did not calm fears of an AI bubble. Jamie McGeever, ROI's markets columnist, explains that the...

Crude Oil

MORNING BID EUROPE - Hush over the markets before Nvidia

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The financial markets are in a holding pattern before the earnings report of Nvidia later on Wednesday. Nvidia is near 7% of the S&P 500, which means that wherever Nvidia goes, the market goes. It reports after business hours. CPI data for Britain is due before the release. It would take an unexpectedly large increase to derail the rate cut that has been priced into the markets for December. The Asian session saw a mostly stable market for stocks, bonds, and currency. However, gains...

Crude Oil

Asia markets are teetering ahead of Nvidia's earnings test

Investors were held back by jitters over AI valuations ahead of a quarterly earnings report from Nvidia. The Nasdaq, a tech-heavy stock, fell by 1.2% over night. It was the second consecutive day that it lost money. It is now more than 6% lower than its record high reached in late October due to valuation fears. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures were down 0.2% more by Asia afternoon. European futures dropped 0.1%, while FTSE Futures rose 0.1%. Nikkei, the Japanese stock market, which has fallen more than any major market in November, losing around 7% of its value in U.S....

Crude Oil

Asian markets fall as investors worry about tech valuations

The Asian stock market fell to a one-month low on Tuesday, with the most selling taking place in Japan and South Korea. Earnings from chipmaker Nvidia are expected later this week and will be a test of valuations in the entire sector. Bitcoin, the mood-barometer, is now below $90,000. This is the first time it has been under that level in seven months. Japan's Nikkei was on track to have its biggest one-day drop since April, with a decline of 3%. FTSE futures and European futures both fell more than 1%. Tareck Horchani is the head of prime brokerage at...

Crude Oil

Stocks fall as markets focus on US data barrage and Japan PM's meeting with BOJ chief

Asian stocks fell in the early trading on Tuesday as investors reduced their bets on a Federal Reserve rate reduction next month. The government shutdown had delayed a flurry of important U.S. economic data. The closely-watched September nonfarm payrolls data is due on Thursday. The focus in the region also centered on the meeting between Japan's new prime minister Sanae Takaichi and Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, which took place at 0630 GMT. This was the first time the two had met since the new leader's inauguration last month. In a Tuesday research note, JBWere analysts stated that "there...

Crude Oil

Morning bid Europe-Nvidia earnings to likely overshadow US delayed data

Tom Westbrook gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. On Monday, the U.S. economy will start to flow again with figures on construction spending for August. On Thursday, September's jobs data will be released. The next month will bring more up-to date figures on labour and prices. However, due to concerns over the quality of these data and hawkish comments from policymakers, expectations for a December rate cut are fading. The main event for markets this week is likely Nvidia earnings after the close on Wednesday, which are shaping as a test for...

Crude Oil

Buy the Rumor and Sell the News with MORNING BID AMERICAS

By Anna Szymanski 14 Nov - Hello Morning Bid readers! Wall Street's decline on Thursday, after a rally earlier in the week, may have been an example of Wall Street "buying rumor and then selling news" as the end of the U.S. shutdown was announced. The major issues that are driving the markets remain the "AI bubble" concerns and the direction of policy easing, even though Nvidia, Intel, and other AI leaders recorded significant losses yesterday. The end of the 43-day longest government shutdown, according to those who counted, had only a small impact on the markets. This is because...

Refined Products

Refined Products

ROI-US, Japan share unorthodox anti-inflation tool - fiscal stimulus: McGeever

Both the United States and Japan use a novel tool to combat inflation: fiscal stimuli. Both U.S. president Donald Trump and Japan’s prime minister Sanae Takaichi want to calm down angry voters who are being squeezed by rising costs of living. Offering lavish fiscal giveaways in order to control inflation is like trying to put out a raging fire by dousing it with petrol. Trump's Republican Party lost key gubernatorial elections and mayoral elections earlier this month. Concerns about high costs of living were a big factor. The White House seems to have heard loud and clear the electorate. The...

Oil & Gas Refining

Japan temporarily increases fuel subsidies to smooth out tax cuts

The Japan Industry Ministry announced on Friday that it would temporarily increase gasoline and diesel subsides from next week to try and smooth out the impact of planned tax reductions on fuels. To ease the burden of households, the ruling and opposition parties in the country agreed to abolish the gasoline tax by December 31, and the diesel tax by April 1, next year. The government is hoping that by temporarily increasing subsidies on gasoline, diesel and other fuels, consumers won't be tempted into delaying purchases until the tax reductions are implemented. This move will also help Japan avoid long...

Refined Products

Sources say that the new Japanese PM is planning a large-scale economic stimulus in order to combat inflation.

Sanae Takaichi, the new Japanese Prime Minister, is working on an economic stimulus package which will likely exceed last year's $82 billion in order to help families combat inflation. Government sources familiar with this plan told Reuters that it is expected to be more than double what was spent by households to fight inflation. Takaichi, who advocates big fiscal expenditures, took office Tuesday. This is her first major economic initiative. It reflects her commitment to "responsible fiscal policy". Sources declined to identify themselves because it was a private matter. They said that the plan will be built on three pillars...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Mineral Resources

Mitsubishi Materials will reduce primary copper smelting volumes by 30 to 40 percent by 2035

Mitsubishi Materials, a Japanese company, said it would shift its focus to secondary smelting in order to increase profitability. Due to a tight supply of concentrates and the expansion of smelting capacity by China, Japanese copper smelters face a tumbling treatment charge and refining charge (TC/RC) as well as shrinking smelting profits. Mitsubishi Materials announced in October it would cut the refined copper production at its Onahama Smelter & Refinery in the period October-March by a quarter. It plans to integrate its copper products sales and procurement of copper concentrates with rival Pan Pacific Copper owned by JX Advanced Metals...

Mineral Resources

Bitcoin and other crypto-assets sink as a result of flight from risk

Bitcoin and ether fell to multi-month-lows on Friday. cryptocurrencies were swept up as part of a wider flight from riskier investments, as investors became worried about high tech valuations. They also lost bets that the U.S. would soon cut interest rates. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency in the world, dropped 5.5% to $81,668, its lowest level in seven months. Ether fell more than 6%, to $2,661.37. This is its lowest level in four months. Both tokens have fallen by about 12% this week. Cryptocurrencies can be a good indicator of the risk appetite in the market. Their recent slide shows how...

Mineral Resources

The auto sector struggles with Nexperia disruption amid hope for Dutch-China discussions

Bosch said that thousands of employees are facing production interruptions due to a global shortage of chips caused by a dispute with the manufacturer Nexperia. China and the Netherlands are locked in a fight for control of Nexperia. However, there is hope that the standoff will ease with the Dutch government sending an official delegation to Beijing to try to reach a compromise. Bosch reported that it was experiencing disruptions at three of its sites: Ansbach, Salzgitter and Braga (both in Germany) and Braga (Portugal). It said: "We continue to do everything possible to serve our clients and to avoid...

Mineral Resources

Yum China announces strong expansion plans for KFC, Pizza Hut and other KFC restaurants

Yum China Holdings (the parent company of KFC in China and Pizza Hut there) said on Monday that it would continue to run a vigorous campaign in order to improve profitability and open new stores in the future. Smaller cities will be a key target. Yum China stated that by 2028 KFC plans to have over 17,000 stores in China, with an operating profit of 10 billion yuan (1,41 billion dollars). The company will use lower-capex store models in order to expand into smaller, untapped cities. The group expects to double the operating profit for Pizza Hut in China by...

Mineral Resources

Mitsubishi Materials and JX Partners to merge Mitsubishi Materials' refined Copper Unit into PPC

Mitsubishi Materials, JX Advanced Metals and its partners announced on Tuesday their intention to integrate Mitsubishi Material’s copper concentrates procurement into Pan Pacific Copper. PPC, Japan's largest supplier of refined metals, is owned by JX to the tune of 47.8%. Mitsui Mining and Smelting holds 32.2% and Marubeni 20%. In a joint announcement, the companies stated that they proposed an integration to create a framework for boosting profitability through consolidation of copper concentrate procurement and cost reductions, as well as streamlining their sales operations. The conditions for buying copper concentrates from mines have significantly worsened as the competition with overseas...

Mineral Resources

Marubeni, a Japanese company, invests in critical Australian minerals project

Marubeni Corp, a Japanese company, announced on Monday that it would invest in an Australian mineral sands development project run by RZ Resources. This follows in the footsteps JX Advanced Metals of Japan who struck a similar agreement with RZ Resources earlier this year. Marubeni has agreed to pay A$15m ($9.75m) towards options that will grant it up 5% of the equity in RZ's Copi Mineral Sands Mine Project in New South Wales, as well as certain marketing rights if the feasibility of the project is confirmed. RZ, the owner of the Copi project, as well as a mineral separation...

Mineral Resources

ASIA GOLD - India discounts increase as demand drops post-festivals. China activity also cools

The physical gold demand in India was subdued in this week's trading as the volatile price levels discouraged buyers and led dealers to offer steep discounts in order to attract them. In China, demand also cooled due to new tax regulations. Indian dealers are offering a discount The discount is now up to $14 per kilogram over the official domestic price, including 6% import duties and 3% sales taxes, compared to last week's up to $12. A New Delhi jeweller said that investment demand was the main driver of the market last month. But now, even investors are waiting for...

Mineral Resources

Japan's Sojitz imports heavy rare Earths from Australia

Sojitz, a Japanese company, has started importing rare earths heavy from Australia's Lynas. This is the first import of this kind produced using Australian ore that was separated and refined in Malaysia. This move is intended to ensure that Japan can obtain key materials for electric vehicles and renewable energies from other sources than China, the dominant market. Japan, the United States and their allies are working to create supply chains outside China as Beijing tightens its export controls on key minerals. Kosuke uemura, CEO of Sojitz, told reporters that the company would continue to promote diversification in the rare...

Mineral Resources

Japan's SoftBank and other heavyweights are eyeing a $550 billion US investment package

A factsheet released by the U.S. and Japan on Tuesday showed that around 20 companies have expressed an interest in projects which could contribute to Tokyo’s commitment to invest $500 billion in the United States under a trade deal. In a July deal, U.S. president Donald Trump agreed to lower tariffs on Japanese auto imports and other goods. The agreement also included a Japanese commitment to invest $550 billion in U.S. project. According to a list of possible projects, SoftBank Group, Mitsubishi Electric, and Hitachi are among the companies interested in participating. The list includes energy, AI infrastructure, and critical...

Mineral Resources

Japan PM uses golfing gifts to invoke Abe's legacy and forge Trump-Japan bond

Sanae Takaichi, the new Japanese premier, gave a putter that Shinzo Abe used to use. Shinzo was his friend and former leader of Japan. The club, displayed in a case with a gold-leaf ball and bag autographed by Japanese major champion Hideki Matsuzaya, was one of many references to Trump’s bond with Abe which underpinned relations between the two countries during Trump's first term. Analysts say that Takaichi will want to rekindle the bond with Abe's protegee Takaichi who was killed by a single gunman in 2022 to help her minority government navigate any thorny matters that may arise, such...

Mineral Resources

Trump and Takaichi reach agreement on critical minerals, rare earths, and supply

The White House announced that U.S. president Donald Trump and Japan prime minister Sanae Takaichi signed a framework deal on Tuesday to secure the supply of rare earths and critical minerals through mining and processing. Both countries want to strengthen the supply chains of rare earths, which are used in everything from electronics to cars and renewable energy. The statement stated that the U.S., Japan, and other countries will cooperate by using economic policy tools, as well as coordinated investment, to develop a diversified, liquid and fair market for rare earths and critical minerals. China processes 90% of rare earths...

Mineral Resources

Sources: Japan's Q4 aluminium price is $86 per ton, a 20% drop from Q3.

Five sources involved directly in the price negotiations said that the premium for aluminium shipments for Japanese buyers from October to December has been set at $86 per ton. This is down 20% on the previous quarter due to weak demand. This is a lower figure than the $108 paid per ton in the quarter July-September and marks the third consecutive decline. Japan is the largest Asian importer for premiums and light metals For primary metal shipments, it agrees to each quarter pay over the London Metal Exchange cash price that is the benchmark for the area. Early in September,...