Latest News

Nikkei and EU stocks soar as US-Japan deal avoids worst

Nikkei and EU stocks soar as US-Japan deal avoids worst

The Japanese stock market reached a record high of one year on Wednesday, as the country signed a deal with the United States to lower tariffs on autos. This also revived hopes for an EU-US trade agreement that would boost European stock futures.

President Donald Trump on Tuesday said a trade deal with Tokyo will include Japan paying a lower-than-threatened 15% tariff on shipments to the U.S. The agreement came after the U.S. reached a deal with the Philippines, where the U.S. will collect a tariff of 19% on imports.

Trump said that representatives of the European Union would be in town for trade talks on Wednesday. This sparked hopes of a deal being reached with Europe even though the EU was reported to be refining its countermeasures for the event that a deadlock occurred before the deadline on August 1.

The German DAX futures rose 0.6%, while the EuroStoxx 50 futures jumped by 1.3%.

Charu Chanana is the chief investment strategist for Saxo. She said that expectations for a breakthrough in U.S.-Japan negotiations were low. Trump's announcement was a mild surprise, providing relief to Japanese stocks on a near-term basis.

The deal is a strategic one, as it allows Japan to avoid immediate tariff increases, while Trump's focus shifts elsewhere.

The Nikkei soared 3.7% on the news that the U.S. auto tax would be reduced to 15% from the proposed 25%. Mazda Motor rose 17% while Toyota Motor surged 13.6%.

The South Korean automakers have also rallied, as the Japan agreement has fueled optimism about possible progress in tariff negotiations between South Korea & the United States.

Analysts noted that the trade agreement reduced a major threat to the fragile Japanese economic system, giving the Bank of Japan more room to increase interest rates in order to combat inflation.

The bond market was slammed by this, as the yields on 10-year JGBs rose a staggering 8.5 basis points to 1.585%.

Shigeru Shiba, the Japanese prime minister, was also reported to be stepping down soon in order to accept responsibility for Sunday's loss of upper house elections.

Political uncertainty helped push the dollar up 0.2%, to 146.95 cents.

Chanana, from Saxo, said that Ishiba’s departure could pave the way for a leadership more aligned to pro-market policies and stronger U.S. relations.

His exit also clears the way for Japan to continue its accommodative fiscal policy and monetary policy."

Extended Deadlines

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that in another positive development U.S. officials and Chinese officials would meet next week in Stockholm to discuss an extension of the August 12 deadline to negotiate a trade agreement.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose by 0.8% and Chinese blue-chips gained 0.7%. The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 1.0%.

Wall Street was more cautious with S&P futures adding 0.2% while Nasdaq Futures added 0.1%.

U.S. earnings reports showed signs that Trump's war on trade was hitting profit margins. General Motors fell 8.1% after it reported that tariffs had taken a $1 billion toll on its quarterly earnings.

Investors await the results of Alphabet, the parent company of Google and Tesla - two of Magnificent 7, which have been driving the market rally fueled by AI optimism.

The dollar has consolidated on the foreign exchange markets after slipping overnight, in line with Treasury yields. The dollar index rose a little to 97.45 after losing 0.4% in Tuesday's session, its third consecutive decline.

The euro fell 0.1%, to $1.1738 after rising by 0.5% on the previous day. The European Central Bank is expected to hold rates steady on Thursday after eight consecutive rate cuts, with the prospect of steeper-than-expected U.S. tariffs looming.

After falling 3 basis points overnight, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rate increased by 2 basis to 4.36%.

Bessent stated that Powell did not have to resign immediately, but could remain until May next year if he so chose.

Investors are concerned that the politicization of the Fed may lead to a rate cut that is too steep, causing inflation and a rise in long-term borrowing rates.

On commodity markets, Spot Gold prices dipped a bit to $3,422 per ounce.

The price of oil has risen, mainly due to the rising cost of diesel in the U.S.

Brent crude was up 0.4% at $68.88 a barrel, while U.S. crude increased by 0.4%.

(source: Reuters)