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Stocks cheer as dollar recovers after Fed fear

Stocks cheer as dollar recovers after Fed fear

The dollar gained after U.S. president Donald Trump denied new rumors that he would fire Fed chief Jerome Powell.

The STOXX 600 index in Europe had a good start, as the record profits of Taiwanese chip maker TSMC and ABB (the Swiss engineering giant) and their record orders totaled $13.5 billion. This boosted optimism for a possible EU-US deal following talks held in Washington.

The traders were also waiting for the U.S. retail sale and jobless claims figures, which would give them a better understanding of how tariffs impact the economy. They were also digesting the European Commission’s proposal to increase its budget by a significant amount.

The currency market was still the main focus.

The dollar rose 0.4% to $1.16 per euro. This is a return to the level it was at before Wednesday's "madness", which Kit Juckes of Societe Generale described as a result of reports that Trump was preparing to remove the Fed chief, rumors he subsequently retracted.

The yen strengthened further as the polls showed that Prime Minister Shigeru Shiba's government was at risk of losing the majority in the upper chamber in the upcoming elections. It fell to its lowest level since April, 148.73 per dollar.

The data also showed that the Asian nation was starting to feel the effects of tariffs, with exports down for the second consecutive month. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar fell 1% over night after the weak employment figures there.

Juckes stated that "the market is now solidly short of the dollar, and as we enter high summer people are beginning to buy back some."

Watching NETFLIX

Investors were also looking at earnings due in the future from Netflix, General Electric, and PepsiCo.

Chris Weston said that with Netflix outperforming the S&P500 year-to date by 33 percentage points, and analysts remaining bullish about the company, "the firm will need to blow out the lights with a solid beating and raise."

Wall Street futures pointed to a fractionally higher start in the near future.

After a four-day slide, European stocks rose by a comfortable 0.7%. Nikkei in Japan and bluechips in Taiwan and China all saw overnight gains of 0.3% to 0.6%.

Alimentation Couche-Tard, a Canadian retailer, withdrew a $47 billion bid to take over Seven & i Holdings. The company cited a lack constructive engagement from the operator of 7-Eleven convenient stores.

Seven & i Holdings shares fell to a low of three months and finished down by over 9%.

Trump's denial of Powell's speculation helped calm volatile markets. However, he left the door open for the possibility of removing him. He also renewed his criticisms of Powell as the U.S. central bank chief who has not cut interest rates.

Francesco Pesole, an ING analyst, said that "after yesterday's panic, markets are probably even more resistant to headlines about this topic." In that hour we saw what we expected, namely a steepening of the U.S. Yield Curve and a sharp drop in the dollar.

The short-term Treasury yields fell due to expectations that Powell's replacement would be ultra-dove, and result in faster and deeper rate reductions.

In European trading, the benchmark 10-year Treasury was unchanged at 4.4714% on Thursday. German Bund yields, however, were steady at 2.695% after reaching their highest level since late March this week.

Brent oil prices increased by 0.4%, to $68.78 per barrel, and the safe-haven gold price fell 0.5%, to $3,331 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)