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Asia shares extend Tech rally, yen is under pressure

The Asian stock markets rose Monday, tracking tech-driven gains in Wall Street. Meanwhile, the yen sank to all-time lows versus the euro and Swiss Franc due to higher interest rates domestically not deterring speculative buyers.

The week was shortened by holidays for most of the world, but the path that was least resistant was to go higher in anticipation of delayed data which is expected to show that the U.S. economic growth continued strongly in the third-quarter. Median forecasts point to an annualised growth rate of 3.2%. This is due, in part, to a sharp drop in imports following a surge earlier in the year before the introduction of tariffs.

Analysts at BofA cautioned that their measure of "investor sentiment" had moved to extreme bullish territory, at 8.5. This is often the prelude to an eventual reversal.

In a note, they noted that "readings above 8.0 often preceded pullbacks. Global equities declined?a median 2,7% over the next two months with a 63% success rate."

Fund Manager Survey: "Most bullish sentiment for 3-1/2 years driven by expectations of tariff and tax reductions."

S&P futures rose?0.2% and Nasdaq Futures gained 0.3%.

Japan's Nikkei rose 1.5% on Friday, continuing the bounce that began last Friday. A steep drop in the yen is expected to boost corporate export earnings for Japanese companies.

The Bank of Japan increased rates to the highest level in 30 years, which was 0.75%. This put heavy pressure on government bonds.

The minutes of the BOJ's meeting are due Wednesday. On Christmas Day, the head of Japan's central bank will speak to a Japanese Business Lobby.

On Interception Watch

The yen reached a new record low against the euro, at 184.90 and the Swiss franc, at 198.08. Dollar was up at 157.67. Investors were cautious about testing the November high of 157.90, in case it triggered an intervention by?Tokyo. Japan's currency chief has expressed concern over one-way movements and warned against excessive declines.

If the dollar breaks 158.00, it will target the 2025 high of 158.88 and then the 2016 high of 161.96. The dollar was stable on a basket currency at 98.725, after gaining 0.3% on Friday.

South Korea's stock market jumped by 1.8% due to optimism about AI-related earnings.

Analysts at TD Securities reported that equity markets saw their largest weekly inflows ever at $98 billion, with U.S. equity fund leading the way. Chinese equity funds experienced their third-largest weekly inflow since 2025. Emerging markets also saw their biggest inflows in recent months.

The fourth consecutive week saw a slowdown in the flow of?to bonds. The yield on Japanese 10-year bonds rose by another 2.5 basis points, reaching the highest level since 1999. Meanwhile, U.S. 10 year yields increased to?4,157%.

Silver, the star commodity in commodities again, reached a new record of $67.48 an ounce. This brings gains for the entire year to nearly 134%. Gold rose 0.6% to $4,362 per ounce on the same day. Oil prices rose after the U.S. intercepted and pursued another Venezuelan oil tanker on the weekend. This would be the third operation of this kind in less than two week.

Brent crude oil rose 0.7%, to $60.88 per barrel. U.S. crude oil also increased 0.7%, to $56.89 a barrel. (Editing by Stephen Coates).

(source: Reuters)