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Japan bond yields rise after BOJ hike; Wall Street poised to gain

The yen and Japanese government bond yields both fell on Friday after the Bank of Japan increased interest rates to the highest level in three decades and left the door wide open for further tightening. European stocks rose 0.1% overnight, but they were not able to match the trading sessions that took place in Asia and America. Wall Street futures indicated gains between 0.3% to 0.5% after Thursday's rally on the back of stellar results by chipmaker Micron Technology. Investors digested the news that the European Union will provide Ukraine with 90 billion euro ($105.4 'billion) in support over the next 2 years. However, they failed to agree on a plan to use frozen Russian funds to finance this. Investors sold the yen in response to the BOJ's rate hike, which was widely anticipated. This led to some profit-taking. The dollar last rose?as high as 1% against the yen, at 157.07, while Japan's 10-year bond yield reached a 26-year high and the Nikkei closed 1% higher.

The BOJ decision to raise short-term interest rates from 0.5% to 0.75% is another step towards ending the decades-long monetary aid in Japan. Analysts say that the BOJ will need to "plot a careful course to manage inflation" as Japan's government prepares for major fiscal stimulus.

Shaniel Ramjee is co-head of Pictet Asset Management's multi-asset division. "Markets anticipate the Bank of Japan to have to increase rates even more," he said. "That extra fiscal expenditure might continue to weaken yen and exacerbate inflation."

Abhijit Suriya, senior economist at Capital Economics, said that he expects BOJ rates to reach 1.75% in 2027.

ECB AND BoE OFFER DISTINCT LEVELS OF HAWKISHNESS The wider sentiment was boosted by a'surprise slowdown' in U.S. Consumer Price Inflation to 2.7%. However, analysts warned that the data had been distorted downwards due to the government shutdown, and therefore could not be taken as a true reflection.

The Federal Reserve's pricing moved very little, with an implied rate cut of just 27% in January, and 10-year Treasury yields at 4.1354%. This is a far cry from the recent high of 4.209%, which was reached three-and-a half months ago. British bonds took a big hit overnight after the Bank of England's rate cut, as expected. However, it was only after a 5-4 vote. The policymakers have also expressed caution over the pace of future easing, and another cut is not fully priced until June. The European Central Bank, which held rates at 2.0% and indicated a probable end to the easing cycle, was even more hawkish. The markets indicate that there is only a small chance of a 2026 cut.

Gold fell 0.1% on the commodity markets to $4,329 per ounce, still below its October high of $4,381.

Brent crude oil fell by 0.5%, to $59.51 per barrel. U.S. crude oil declined 0.5%, to $55.89 a barrel.

(source: Reuters)