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Asian shares rise, dollar defensive after mild inflation data

The U.S. Dollar was weaker on Wednesday as data revealed both the resilience of major economies and the necessity for central banks remain accommodative.

Wall Street reached new heights Tuesday due to the increasing certainty that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in a month. Japan's Nikkei surpassed the 43,000 mark for the first and cryptocurrency ether reached a four-year high.

Euro Stoxx futures for the entire region rose by 0.5%. German DAX futures also rose by 0.5%. FTSE futures climbed by 0.2%. U.S. Stock Futures, S&P 500 eminis were flat.

The much-anticipated U.S. Inflation readings showed that President Donald Trump's new tariff regime has not yet reached consumer prices. A report in Japan showed that manufacturers were more confident after the United States signed a trade deal.

In a client note, Paco Chow (dealing manager at Moomoo Australia & New Zealand) wrote: "It is clear that investors will pile money into the markets, especially tech stocks, regardless of their high price tags."

Chow explained, "They are riding on 95% of the odds that the Fed will cut rates in five weeks. They feel comfortable knowing inflation is just creeping up and not running wild."

The MSCI All Country World Index reached a new high of 949.19. The Nikkei index of Japan's stocks rose by 1.2% and reached a new peak for the second consecutive session.

U.S. Labor Department figures showed that the consumer price index increased 2.7% over the past 12 months, a rate slightly lower than the 2.8% predicted by economists.

A survey that tracks the Bank of Japan’s quarterly Tankan business survey revealed that the sentiment index of Japanese manufacturers improved for a third consecutive month. A report also showed that wholesale inflation in Japan slowed down in July. This confirms the central bank's belief that raw material cost pressures will subside.

The S&P 500 benchmark and the Nasdaq index hit new highs on Wall Street after President Trump issued an executive order that suspended triple-digit tariffs on Chinese imports.

According to CME FedWatch, traders are now pricing in 94% of a Fed rate cut in September. This is up from 86% just a day earlier and 57% about a month ago.

Investors were on tenterhooks because the data came after a shockingly weak jobs report released on August 1. It had the potential of stoking concerns about stagflation.

Trump nominated White House advisor Stephen Miran as a temporary replacement for a vacant seat on the board of directors at the U.S. Central Bank, causing speculation over presidential interference in monetary policies.

The White House stated that it was "the plan", and the Bureau of Labor Statistics will continue to release its monthly employment report, which is closely watched after Trump's choice to lead the agency E.J. Antoni proposed to suspend its release.

Chris Weston said that speculation the report would be stopped had "done USD no favours" and only encouraged foreign investors to review their hedge ratios for U.S. investment, he added.

The dollar rose 0.1% to 147.95 Japanese yen. After a 0.5% increase in the previous session, the euro gained 0.1% at $1.1683. The dollar index which measures the greenback's value against a basket major counterparts, fell for a second consecutive day.

Ether rose 1% to $4,679.47 - the highest price since December 2021.

U.S. crude oil rose by 0.2% to $63.27 per barrel. Gold spot rose 0.2%, to $3350.09 an ounce.

(source: Reuters)