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Oil shares decline in Asia as tech shares rise

On?Monday, Asian share markets rose as AI's demand for data boosted chipmakers. Oil eased on hopes that Saudi Arabia would boost its supply to offset news of the Houthi attack in?Riyadh.

The Silver Week holiday in Japan has been a slow one, with little trade. As a result, the dollar remained at 157.00yen on Wednesday. Investors were wary that the Bank of Japan might take advantage of this lack of liquidity and intervene to support its currency.

Nikkei reported that the yen rose on Friday, after Japanese authorities checked the rate of the currency market.

South Korea's technology-heavy index, the South Korea Tech-heavy Index, gained 1.1%. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan increased by 0.3%.

S&P futures rose 0.3% while Nasdaq futures gained 0.4%. EUROSTOXX Futures and DAX Futures both increased by 0.2% in Europe. FTSE Futures were flat.

The bond markets remain tense following a brutal selloff that saw the yields on US 2-year bonds jump 36 basis points over the past two week to peaks not seen since late 2024, at 4.7604%.

Futures markets are betting on the Federal Reserve's recent hawkish comments. They believe that it is likely to raise rates again in October. A move by the end of the year would be considered inevitable.

Analysts at BofA wrote in a report that tightening cycles tend to be front-loaded and the Fed doesn't stop after a single?hike. "With nominal consumer expenditure up 6.3% over the past year, which is well above the 5% threshold historically associated with above-target core prices, the Fed's only choice is to reduce demand."

"We are therefore retaining our request for only two additional hikes in December and October."

OIL RESERVES RUN DRY

By the end of the year, central banks in Australia, New Zealand, Japan, EU and UK are expected to tighten up again. On Thursday, the Swiss National Bank, Sweden’s Riksbank, and Norges Bank will hold policy meetings, but are expected to remain steady.

The risk premium for French bonds has also risen to its highest level since the eurozone debt crisis.

The German debt could be under pressure on Monday, after the conservative mainstream party of Chancellor Friedrich Merz suffered its worst electoral results since 1949.

The news held the euro steady at $1.1477 after it had fallen almost 1% in the previous week, as the dollar rose broadly.

The oil price remained above $100 after Iran and the United States traded new threats, and the Houthis attack Saudi Arabia's capital. Brent oil was down 0.2% to $103.68 per barrel while US crude fell 0.3% to $100.02.

Saudi Arabia is said to be aiming to restart certain flows in its east-to-west main pipeline, which was damaged by an attack last week. Details?were missing.

Vivek Dhar is the head of commodities for CBA. He said that the closure of the East-West Pipeline has changed the state of oil markets.

We now estimate oil markets will have between 5 and 10 weeks left before global oil and refinery product inventories are depleted, as opposed to estimates that were closer to 15 or 20 weeks a fortnight earlier.

He added that this would put more pressure on Washington to?make a deal? with Iran. At least, he said, it would restore some 'flows? through the Strait of Hormuz, and keep the Bab el-Mandeb open.

US President Donald Trump is attending the United Nations General Assembly in this week. He will also meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping Thursday.

Gold, which does not pay interest, fell 0.2%, to $4,370 per ounce, as a result of the increase in yields.

(source: Reuters)