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Gold prices are down but on track to finish the best month since February

Gold prices are down but on track to finish the best month since February
Gold prices are down but on track to finish the best month since February

Gold fell 2% on Friday as the U.S. Dollar rebounded from a session low of more than a month. However, the metal is still on course for its first gain in five months as weaker inflation numbers reduced expectations of future rate hikes in the U.S.

At 1:40 pm EDT (1740 GMT), spot gold fell 1.3% to $4,049.83 an ounce after dropping 2% earlier. U.S. gold futures for August delivered fell 1.3% to $4107.

This is the biggest monthly increase in gold since February.

Oil prices have fallen to levels seen before the Iran war and traders are now reducing their expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes this year.

Han Tan, Bybit's chief market analyst, said that "although gold is about to end a four-month loss streak, it has struggled to create a larger gap above the psychological level of $4,000".

Tan said that the metal's price remains above $4,000 due to expectations that Fed chair Kevin Warsh will broaden his central bank's focus from its preferred inflation and rate increases.

The data released on Thursday shows that U.S. inflation rates slowed down in June. However, the slowdown was only temporary as renewed hostilities across the Middle East pushed up oil prices.

Warsh pledged this week to be unwavering in his commitment to reduce inflation without indicating a willingness to raise interest rates.

The dollar was stable after dropping 2.4% on Friday, its biggest one-day decline since January 2023. The dollar's strength makes gold more expensive for those who hold other currencies.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders see a 65% probability of a rate hike in September compared to a higher than 80% likelihood a week earlier.

A statement revealed that China's market regulator also urged solar companies in another meeting to resist a "vicious" competition of prices. Silver is an important industrial metal that's used in solar photovoltaic panel manufacturing.

Spot silver dropped 2.1% to $57.76 an ounce. Palladium fell 1.8%, to $1281.18, while platinum dropped 0.6%, to $1650.14. Both metals are still on track for gains this month. Noel John in Bengaluru and Swati verma reporting. Mark Potter edited the article.

(source: Reuters)