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Copper prices set to reach record highs, but focus is on limited supplies outside US

The dollar was weaker on Monday and the prospects of shortages outside the U.S. boosted the price of copper.

The traders said that the U.S. holiday meant volumes would be muted and that they were focusing on copper and zinc.

The benchmark copper price on the London Metal Exchange was 0.2% higher, at $14.443 per metric ton. It reached $14,467 earlier in trade, its highest level since January's all-time high of $14,527.50.

Since President Donald Trump proposed import tariffs last February, traders and producers have shipped large amounts of copper to the U.S. Comex copper stock levels are at a record high of 766,795 metric tons or 695.624 short tons.

Albert Mackenzie is an analyst at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. He said: "It's difficult to predict what will happen with tariffs, but the longer the uncertainty persists the higher the prices will be as materials?flow into the U.S."

Some copper has returned to the LME due to higher?premiums? or?backwardations? for contracts that are close by compared with longer-dated futures. The LME is expected to lose more than 121,000 tonnes of copper over the next couple weeks due to cancelled warrants and metal that has been earmarked for deliveries at 51%. <0#MCUSTX-LOC>.

In mid-August, the premium for cash on a three-month forward was above $430 per ton. This is the highest level since 2021. It closed at around $74 last Friday.

The Shanghai Futures Exchange monitors warehouses in China. They have 63,000 tons of stocks, which is 85% less than the middle of March. This is the lowest level since January 2024.

Copper prices are also falling on SHFE, indicating that the top consumer China is worried about supply.

Zinc prices were up?0.7%, to $3,973 per ton. This was mainly due tighter supplies. At the beginning of September, it had reached $3,990 per ton, its highest level since May 2022.

Base metals prices were supported by a?softer U.S. dollar, which made dollar-priced'metals cheaper for holders other currencies.

Lead rose 0.6% at $1,913.5. Tin gained 0.7% at $55,250. Nickel fell 0.6% at $16,750.

(source: Reuters)