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Gold nears two-week high amid Fed rate cut bets

The dollar rose on Tuesday, but gold prices were still near their two-week highs on the back of growing expectations that U.S. rates will be cut in September.

By 0919 GMT, spot gold was down 0.2%, at $3,365.45 an ounce. Bullion reached its highest level since July 24 at $3,385.29. U.S. Gold futures were unchanged, at $3.423.20.

The dollar index increased by 0.2%, from the one-week low reached earlier in session. This reduced gold's appeal for other currency holders.

U.S. data released on Friday revealed that employment growth in the United States was slower than expected in July. Payroll revisions for both May and June reduced previous job totals by a staggering 258,000.

CME FedWatch now places the odds of a cut in September at almost 88%. This is up from 63% just a week ago. The markets are pricing at least two quarter point reductions for this year.

What gold probably needs to move up from here is (another) weaker U.S. Economic data... Gold is also watching who U.S. president Trump names to be the next Fed governor, possibly as the successor to Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell," says UBS commodity analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

The uncertainty was heightened by Trump's decision to dismiss the chief of labour statistics following the disappointing payrolls report. He also announced that he would appoint another Fed governor.

Trump has also threatened to raise tariffs on Indian products beyond the 25% increase last month, citing India’s continued purchase of Russian oil.

In a low interest rate environment, gold, which has long been viewed as a safe-haven asset in times of economic and political uncertainty, performs very well.

Kelvin Wong is a senior market analyst at OANDA. He said: "I do not expect traders to push up above $3,450 unless there's a clear catalyst."

Silver spot rose by 0.2%, to $37.46 an ounce. Platinum fell 1.3%, to $1.312,30, and palladium lost 1.6%, to $1187.04.

Sibanye Stillwater, a South African miner, has asked the United States for consideration of imposing a tax on Russian imports of palladium to ensure the viability and long-term sustainability of U.S. supplies.

(source: Reuters)