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Stock markets in Europe celebrate a mild inflation rate

Rocky Swift gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets.

Stock markets around the world are experiencing record highs, from Wall Street, to Japan, and Vietnam. Equity indexes in Asia are also a sea green.

The data in the United States, and other major markets, are in a Goldilocks Zone of inflation that is not too hot. This allows the central banks to continue the flow of easy money.

The MSCI All Country World Index, a measure of global shares, reached a record high. Japan's Nikkei index also broke through the 43,000 mark for the first. Bitcoin's rival cryptocurrency ether jumped up to a nearly four-year high.

According to CME FedWatch, traders are pricing a 94% probability that the Federal Reserve will reduce its key interest rate by September. This is up from 86% just a day earlier and 57% about a month ago.

New Zealand is expected to follow Australia's lead next week. Bank of Japan rate hikes are being pushed back.

The BOJ's quarterly Tankan Business Survey was tracked by a poll, which showed that the sentiment index of Japanese manufacturers improved for the second consecutive month. Another report revealed a slowdown in wholesale inflation across the country.

The dollar is still the worst performer since U.S. president Donald Trump started his on-again-off-again tariff war in April.

The greenback faces a new challenge as partisanship creeps into U.S. economic data and monetary policy. Trump nominated White House advisor Stephen Miran as a temporary filler for a vacant Fed board seat.

The White House stated that it was "the Plan" for the Bureau of Labor Statistics to continue publishing its monthly employment report, which is closely watched by the public. This follows Trump's appointment of E.J. Antoni as the new head of the agency. Antoni had previously proposed that the report's release be suspended.

The data calendar is light in Europe and America, but equity futures point to another positive day in both markets.

Trump is planning to meet Russian president Vladimir Putin on Friday to try to end the war. Meanwhile, small groups of Russian soldiers have pushed deeper into eastern Ukraine. The European leaders are worried that the summit will result in peace conditions being imposed to a Ukraine which has been illegally reduced. Markets could be influenced by key developments on Wednesday.

Germany's final Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July

United Kingdom RICS Housing Survey July

(source: Reuters)