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Oil prices plunge as Trump declares that the Iran war may end soon.

Asian stocks surged and oil prices fell at the beginning of trading on Tuesday following a volatile session overnight for markets after U.S. president Donald Trump declared that the Middle East war might be "over soon."

Brent crude futures dropped as much as 10 percent to below $90 a barrel when trading resumed. U.S. equity futurs were muted. S&P 500 futures fell 0.2%, reversing Monday's gains.

Trump's comments injected an optimistic burst that contrasted sharply to events in Iran where hardliners rallied around the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khmenei as a show of adamant?defiance. On Monday, the global markets were thrown into turmoil by competing signals: initially, oil prices spiked while Wall Street stocks fell before recovering sharply following Trump's remarks and reports that Washington might ease sanctions against Russian energy.

Tony Sycamore is a market analyst with IG Sydney. He said: "While this has eased some of the panic in the short term, it is difficult to reconcile that the conflict was'very complete.'"

The softer tone of President Trump’s rhetoric is welcome, and should at least help calm nerves ahead of today's meeting in Asia.

Investor confidence has risen after the Monday sell-off, amid signs of increased risk taking by retail investors. Japan's Nikkei225 rose 3.6% and South Korea's Kospi soared 6.4%. After futures rose by more than 5% the Korea Exchange halted programme trading for 5 minutes.

Iran's military warned that it would increase its missile attacks as a further show of defiance.

Trump stated in a Truth Social post that if Iran did anything to stop the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz they would be hit TWENTY TIMES HARDER than they had been so far.

U.S. Treasury Bonds recovered after the Monday spike in oil prices caused an inflation fear and fuelled expectations of central banks?in Europe tightening policy later this year.

According to CME Group's FedWatch, the yield on U.S. Treasury bonds 10-years was down 2.3 basis points at 4.109%. Traders were placing bets about the timing of Federal Reserve's rate cuts, the first one not expected until July.

Analysts from ING stated that bond yields are still at troubling levels. Expect nominal yields to drop for a little bit on a reverse trade. In a note to clients, they warned that bonds would not experience a sudden structural rally. Remember, we have to overcome clear inflation impulses, and that the economy is still 'down but not out.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback against a basket?of six major?peers?, has retraced its gains from the previous week, and is now trading at 98.79, down by 0.1%.

Gold fell by 0.1% to $5,133.55 and remained within its trading range of the previous week. Cryptocurrencies remained in the same range as they have been since February 1.

Bitcoin rose 0.2% to $69,127.60 while ether fell 0.4% to $2,018.69. (Reporting from Gregor Stuart Hunter).

(source: Reuters)