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Oil and stocks rise as AI takes over, easing fears about Iran.

Global stocks reached record highs Monday, as AI continued to drive the demand. This was offset by news of new attacks in the Gulf which lowered optimism for a reopening of Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices also rose.

The U.S. president Donald Trump has been quiet about the progress of negotiations between Washington and Tehran, until he posted that everyone should just "sit back and relax".

On Saturday, Defense secretary Pete Hegseth stated that the U.S. would be ready to resume attacks against Iran if an agreement could not come about. News broke on Monday that U.S. troops had struck Iranian targets at the weekend. Tehran had responded, and Kuwaiti defences intercepted missiles and drones.

Brent crude futures rose by nearly 3% to $94 per barrel. This prompted a sale of government bonds that were hurt by expectations that interest rates would rise in order to combat inflation spikes.

The?MSCI All-World Index was up 0.13%, trading at or near record highs as markets from Tokyo and Seoul traded at all-time highs. This was backed by the demand for AI-related products.

The market believes that Iran/U.S. negotiations are still ongoing, despite the attacks on both sides. "A deal will be reached to end the Middle East war and reopen the 'Strait of Hormuz,'" XTB Research Director Kathleen Brooks stated.

Investors should be watching how this is played out, as any delay could affect the market sentiment.

Data showing South Korea’s exports increased at their fastest annual rate in over four decades in the month of May, hitting a record $87.75 Billion.

Nvidia's Jensen Huang will kick off the Computex show in Taiwan with a speech on AI on Monday. He is expected to elaborate on the latest product efforts of his company as well as Taiwan's role as a leader in the industry.

PAYROLLS Ahead

European stocks fell marginally for the day as gains in energy shares were offset by losses among airlines and defence shares.

S&P futures rose 0.3% while Nasdaq Futures climbed 0.5%, after both benchmarks reached records last week.

Oil inflation continued to be a drag on bond markets. U.S. 10 year yields increased?1 basis points to 4.46%. Yields on German 10-year debt rose by 4.2 bps to 2.98%.

This week, a number of Fed members will be speaking. Also on Friday are the ISM manufacturing survey and the May payroll report.

The market forecasts a steady increase of 85,000 jobs, which will keep the unemployment rate at 4,3%. Any stronger would likely reduce the chances of an increase.

Chris Weston, Pepperstone's chief market strategist, said that the Federal Reserve should continue to present speakers who will promote a two-way approach in which officials are open to rate increases and rate reductions depending on new data.

Expectations may grow that the Fed will 'gradually move away from its easing policy bias and towards a more neutral policy stance over the coming months.

The markets indicate a 50-50 chance that the Federal Reserve may have to raise rates by the end of the year, which has allowed the dollar to remain strong against a variety of currencies, notably the Japanese yen.

The dollar is up 0.12% against yen, at 159.46. This is just below the 160-mark that many think could spark another round of government intervention to boost the Japanese yen.

(source: Reuters)