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Oil prices rise on Gulf hostilities, as Asia stocks continue AI bull run

Asian share markets continued their bull run on Monday as the AI boom drove demand. This was offset by news of new attacks in the Gulf, which shook the optimism for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices rose.

As?negotiators in Washington and Tehran work to reach a 'deal,' the U.S. Donald Trump was silent about their progress, until he posted that everyone should just "sit back and relax".

On Saturday, Defense secretary Pete Hegseth stated that the U.S. would be ready to resume attacks against Iran if an agreement could not come about. In fact, it was reported on Monday that U.S. troops had attacked Iranian targets at the weekend, and Tehran responded. Kuwaiti defences, meanwhile, were intercepting missiles and drone attacks.

Israeli troops pushing further into Lebanon to fight the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militants did not help ease tensions in the area.

While uncertainties persist, the acute risk phase of the global economy will be over once tankers are able to move again, said Michael Feroli. He is head of U.S. Economics at JPMorgan.

Oil prices will likely remain high for some time as inventories are rebuilt and supply infrastructure is repaired in the Middle East.

The latest attacks between the U.S.A. and Iran pushed Brent up 2.1% to $93.02 per barrel while U.S. crude rose 2.6% to $89.61.

The Asian stock markets continue to be supported by the demand for semiconductors, and AI-related gear. Japan's Nikkei has gained 0.9% after rising almost 5% in one week, reaching all-time-highs.

South Korea gained 4.2% after a surge of 8% the previous week. Taiwan also rose almost 6%. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose 1.6%.

Shares of Samsung Electronics rose almost 10% on Monday, adding to gains made on Friday. The company announced that it has begun shipping samples of the latest high-bandwidth Memory (HBM), chip to customers.

Data showing South Korea’s exports increased at their fastest annual rate in over four decades in the month of May, hitting a record $87.75 Billion.

Nvidia's Jensen Huang will kick off the Computex show in Taiwan with a speech on AI on Monday. He is expected to elaborate on the latest product efforts of his company as well as Taiwan's role as a leader in the industry.

A survey showed that factory activity in May was at a standstill, causing blue chip stocks to fall by 0.2%.

COUNTDOWN TO PAYROLLS

In Europe, EUROSTOXX Futures declined by 0.2%. DAX Futures fell 0.1%, and FTSE Futures dropped 0.3%.

S&P futures rose 0.3% while Nasdaq Futures firmed up 0.5% following last week's record-breaking performance.

The gains are narrowly based, with only 21 of the 500 stocks reaching record highs. Tech stocks rose almost 16% during May. Consumer discretionary and healthcare only managed a little over 2%. Consumer staples fell more than 3 percent.

Oil's inflationary impact continues to hamper the bond market as U.S. 10 year yields have risen 3 basis points to 4,470%. The markets indicate that the Federal Reserve may have to raise rates by year's end to avoid rising prices being baked into inflationary expectations.

This week, a number of Fed members will be speaking. Also on Friday are the ISM survey for manufacturing and the May payrolls data.

The market forecasts a steady increase of 85,000 jobs, which will keep the unemployment rate at 4,3%. Any increase in employment would reduce the chances of a rise.

The market's hawkish view has kept the dollar largely steady. However, the Japanese yen is hampered by the region's dependence on energy imports.

The dollar was slightly firmer against the yen, at 159.45. However, bulls were reluctant to risk Japanese intervention if the 160.00 barrier was breached.

The euro was $1.1645 after spending the last week in a tight range between $1.1585 to $1.1661.

Gold was down 0.4% on commodity markets at $4,518 per ounce. It has found little support either as a safe-haven or a hedge against inflation. (Reporting and editing by Lincoln Feast, Sonali Paul and Wayne Cole)

(source: Reuters)