Latest News

After US strike on Iran, European stocks drop and oil prices rise

European stock indexes lost some of their recent gains on Tuesday, and oil prices rose as a result. Investors' hopes that a U.S. peace deal with Iran was imminent were dampened by?new U.S. attacks in southern Iran.

The market sentiment has improved over the last week, as traders have bet on the de-escalation of the U.S. and Israel war against Iran. This conflict began late February and has caused severe disruptions in Middle East oil supplies.

They revised this view after the U.S. announced on Monday that it had conducted what it called defensive attacks in southern Iran. U.S. Secretary Marco Rubio said on Tuesday that negotiations with Iran may "take several days" as talks continue.

STOXX 600 at 1051 GMT was down 0.2% for the day but close to its highest level since the beginning of the war. London's FTSE 100 rose 0.7%, while Germany's DAX fell 0.5%. The MSCI World Equity Index remained?flat' but has risen 3.8% this month.

Peter Schaffrik is a global macro strategist with RBC Capital Markets. He said the Middle East uncertainty was weighing heavily on markets.

"It's not clear what's happening there," he said. He was referring to U.S. president Donald Trump's statement on Monday that he had asked additional countries to sign Abraham Accords while he was trying to negotiate an end to the war.

Wall Street futures still pointed to further gains in stocks for the U.S. day, with S&P500 eminis up by 0.7%, and Nasdaq minis up by 1.1%.

Brent crude futures rose 2.4% to $98.50 per barrel on the same day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 4.7% since Friday's closing price of $92.04. Due to the US Memorial Day holiday, there was no WTI settlement Monday.

Schaffrik noted that there was still some optimism on the market as traders held onto the hope that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen soon. Brent crude is down from its peak of $120 in late April.

European traders also considered comments made by Isabel Schnabel of the European Central Bank, who said that even if peace talks with Iran are successful, the central bank should increase interest rates in June.

She said that the conflict is taking longer than expected and that high energy prices are affecting the economy.

Money market traders have priced in a 90 percent chance of a rate hike at the ECB meeting scheduled for June.

The yields on European bonds rose after the U.S. strike, but the benchmark German 10-year yield was still near its lowest level in nearly seven weeks, at 2.9642%.

Last week, yields dropped as investors became less worried about the impact of war on inflation and growth. U.S. government bond prices rose as investors remained 'hopeful' about a possible deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

The dollar index was unchanged at 99.026 dollars, and the euro was flat at $1.1642. The dollar rose 0.1% to 159.12 Japanese yen.

Gold fell by 0.8% to $4,534.86. (Reporting and editing by Rae Wee, Sharon Singleton, Muralikumar Aantharaman and Jan Harvey).

(source: Reuters)