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UBS increases gold target price by $100 for March 2026 to $3,600/oz

UBS increases gold target price by $100 for March 2026 to $3,600/oz

UBS raised its target price of gold for the end of March 2026 from $3,600 to $3,600 as U.S. macroeconomic risk, de-dollarization and strong demand, especially by exchange-traded fund (ETF) and central banks, are expected to push gold prices higher.

UBS has also raised its forecast for the end of June 2026 by $200, to $3700 per ounce. It introduced a new target for the end of September 2026 at this level.

The bank believes that a combination of sticky U.S. Inflation, a below-trend U.S. Federal Reserve, continued dollar weakness, and a likely easing in policy will support gold prices.

We see U.S.-related macro-risks, concerns about fiscal sustainability and geopolitics driving de-dollarization and central bank purchases. UBS stated in a note that these factors would drive gold prices higher.

UBS increased its forecast for the full year ETF gold demand to almost 600 metric tonnes from 450, citing World Gold Council figures showing the strongest inflows into 2025's first half since 2010.

Central bank purchases are expected to remain strong, although slightly lower than last year's record-breaking purchases. UBS said that they now expect global gold demand to rise by 3% in 2025 to 4,760 mt, the highest level seen since 2011.

U.S. Gold Futures

For December Delivery, the price settled at $3,378 Monday, down 0.1%, as investors were focused on President Donald Trump's meetings with Ukrainian and European Leaders. (Reporting and editing by Leslie Adler, Marguerita Chy and Noel John from Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)