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Stocks continue to rise as markets assess the impact of US shutdown
Gold traded at near-record highs as investors digested potential ramifications from a U.S. shutdown. Meanwhile, a weak U.S. private labour market report strengthened bets that the Federal Reserve will cut rates. The prolonged shutdown of the U.S. federal government could delay or disrupt the release of important official data, such as those on inflation and employment. This would cloud the picture of the health of the largest economy in the world and the direction of interest rates. A Friday release of the monthly payroll report is unlikely. This brings into focus an ADP employment report from overnight that showed unexpected job losses in September. The traders are pricing in two quarter point Fed rate cuts before the end of this year. Kevin Thozet of Carmignac Asset Management, who is a member of the investment committee, said, "I hope that they can sort this quickly." He was referring to the shutdown in the federal government. Inflation data were also due before the next Fed meeting. He said, "It is like a man walking with a dog who has no sight." He added that while U.S. stock prices have done well, the dollar has weakened due to uncertainty over the credibility of U.S. financial institutions in general. SHUTDOWN ANGST HURTS DOLLAR AND BOOSTS GOLD On Thursday, the MSCI global stock index rose by about 0.3%, after European stocks reached a new record high of about 0.7%. Wall Street futures also rose between 0.2 to 0.4%. The tech shares in Asia rose earlier, contributing to the rise in regional stock indexes. This was partly due to news that South Korean chip giants Samsung and SK Hynix had signed partnerships with OpenAI data centers. Gold reached an overnight high of $3.895.09, as a combination of Fed easing and shutdown anxiety pushed it to a new all-time record. This also supported U.S. Treasuries by sending yields dramatically lower. Gold last rose 0.4% to $3,880. Overnight, the yield on two-year Treasury bonds fell to a new two-week low at 3.531%. It was last seen at 3.5429%. Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone, said: "As it is usually the case, new highs will likely beget more fresh highs. The momentum remains firmly with bulls and the fundamental argument for further upsides in PMs (precious Metals) is also a strong one." The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the currency's performance against six major counterparts, has been stuck near an overnight low of 97.459, which was a new one-week low. It was last trading at 97.567 and down 0.2% on Wednesday's closing price. In remarks made at an industry conference, Bank of Japan Deputy governor Shinichi Uchida expressed confidence that the conditions were in place for another rate hike. The euro increased slightly to $1.1752 while the sterling remained largely unchanged at $1.34815. The oil prices fell on Thursday as concerns over an oversupply of the market continued to weigh. Brent crude futures dropped 0.4%, to $65.09 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.4%, to $61.54 a barrel.
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Venezuelan students turn plastic waste into classroom desks
In the northwestern part of Venezuela, a local foundation has turned piles of broken furniture and discarded plastic into desks. El Zulia Recicla in the capital of Zulia, Maracaibo has so far refurbished 160 desks using plastic waste collected from students. The foundation does not build new furniture but instead repairs metal frames that are damaged and replaces the missing parts with molded panels manufactured in its workshop. The research director of the foundation, Nicolino Bácho, said: "We show that desks with damaged wood and falling apart can be restored." Already, 20 desks were delivered to Ramon Reinoso Nunez school, where previously students sat on the ground or used backpacks for chairs. Maritza Jaimis, the school's director, said: "We have a lot of desk issues. Theft and wear take their toll over time." She said, "We had hoped that they would take more but are grateful for the 20 restored ones." The foundation, which is partly funded by France's embassy, has a goal to provide 200 desks in 10 schools located in areas that are vulnerable. This initiative is part of a larger effort to raise awareness about the environment and reduce plastic pollution in the region. Mariela Nava, Efraino Otero and Mariela Nava report.
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Rugby Australia and New Zealand compete for Rugby Championship medals in Perth final
Australia and New Zealand will meet again on Saturday at the Perth Stadium, after a brutal battle at Eden Park. Both teams are hoping to claim, even temporarily, the Rugby Championship Trophy. South Africa will not be able to celebrate their victory, as they must wait until after the match against Argentina, at Twickenham, in order to win back-to-back championships. The prospect of a showdown between the two teams in Perth should not dampen the excitement. Perth's much improved hosts will be looking to give prop James Slipper a fitting send-off in his final and 151st international. Scott Robertson’s All Blacks will, on the other hand, be desperate to maintain their traditional dominance against their trans-Tasman competitors. New Zealand has already secured the bilateral Bledisloe cup with a 33-24 victory at Eden Park, but it will still want to end the Rugby Championship on a positive note after a sometimes sobering campaign. The All Blacks' record defeat in Wellington against a revitalized South Africa and their first ever loss in Argentina to the Pumas, made them seem like a fading superpower half way through the World Cup cycle. New Zealand's egos would suffer another crushing blow if they were to lose the match against Australia, who is their usual punching bag. Robertson and his team would also be under increased pressure. Joe Schmidt has made the Wallabies happier despite their losing record of 2-3 in this tournament. The Tides Turning for 2027 World Cup Hosts Schmidt's blowout losses in his first season as coach are just a year old, but they seem like a bygone era. The fans have been packed to their seats for home matches in this season, but they are more likely to be disappointed by the results than hopeful. Andrea Piardi's capricious officiating and a late yellow-card could have prevented Australia from leaving Eden Park with the Bledisloe and a chance to reclaim it for the first 23 years. They left with a feeling of being aggrieved and the 10th consecutive loss to the All Blacks. This may be useful for settling the score in Perth. Schmidt told journalists on Thursday that if we were to win this week we would finish at the very least second. "That's incredible when compared to the last season or even season before. I do believe there is growth in the team. I cannot guarantee it will be linear, but I can guarantee the effort. The additions of Will Skelton from France and Rob Valetini on the bench, after he missed Eden Park due to a calf injury, will make Australia stronger. Schmidt gambled that Tane Edmed, who had a shaky debut at the Sydney loss to the Pumas in his number 10 jersey in the absence of flyhalf James O'Connor after he was benched for a full match at Eden Park due to some costly mistakes with the boot. Robertson also has thrown caution out the window, dropping Billy Proctor at centre in favor of Quinn Tupaea. Leicester Fainga’anuku will be playing on the wings for the first time since the World Cup 2023. New Zealand appears as vulnerable as ever, which could make the Wallabies as dangerous as ever. (Reporting from Ian Ransom, Melbourne; Editing done by Ken Ferris).
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Nepal celebrations hollow for families mourning protesters
The homes of Chaulagains, a family that has lost a son in Nepal's worst civil unrest, are suffused with grief. Ganesh Prsad Chaulagain (53), who lost his 18-year-old son Shreeyam in the political turmoil which ravaged the Himalayan country last month, said: "Dashain should be filled with joy, but this is the first year that I feel only sadness." The capital of Nepal, Kathmandu, was filled with music and the smell of festive feasts as he spoke in the echoing quiet of his family's home. The student, a high schooler, was shot in the face on 8 September near Parliament after he participated in a peaceful protest against corruption that spiralled into two days of violence. Nepal is slowly recovering from the violence that was sparked by so-called Gen Z protests, which were sparked by young people angry at perceived political indifference and lack of employment. 74 people died in these protests and they brought in a new interim administration. It has been reported that "high velocity firearms" were used to fire "live bullets" at least 33 out of the 58 demonstrators who died in the anti-graft demonstrations. The Chaulagains, like many others in the mountainous Nepal, lived off a meager monthly income. In their case, it was less than $200. They made sure Shreeyam got an education and hoped he would find a job abroad, maybe in Germany, in order to reduce their financial burden. Nepal's median age is 25 years. However, a lack in employment has caused nearly a third its youth to leave their homes in search of work that will ensure economic security. Nepal's instabile politics has not made matters any easier, with 14 government changes in less than 20 years. Sushila Karaki, 73, former chief justice of the Supreme Court was appointed interim prime minister after the protests to prepare for the elections scheduled for March 5. However experts warn that the task will be difficult. The Chaulagains and relatives of those killed in the protests are now demanding that the government provide them with regular economic assistance, not just an one-time payment. The father of Shreeyam, who died in a car accident, said that Dashain would never be the same. (Reporting and editing by Clarence Fernandez in KATHMANDU, Sahana Bajiracharya from KATHMANDU)
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Advance on New Rate-Cutting Optimism
Futures linked to the S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq Index advanced early on Thursday. A day earlier, weaker than expected private payroll data had boosted hopes for rate cuts. Traders were bracing for a session with little data due to the U.S. Government shutdown. Investors are still sensitive to any sign of policy easing. Rate-cutting optimism has been a major factor in the recent rally, which has pushed equities up to high valuations. Investors are now relying on alternative data sources to fill the data vacuum left by the shutdown. This includes Wednesday's ADP National Employment Report which was weaker than anticipated. Arnim Wooder, global macro-strategist at Easterly EAB, said that it would likely strengthen those in the Fed policymaking panel who think the labor situation warrants at least another cut. The ADP report could be the last labor market data for some time. Traders interpreted the lower reading as sufficient to nudge the Fed towards a 25 basis point rate cut at the next meeting. Kyle Rodda is a senior financial analyst at Capital.com. He said, "It appears that the U.S. economic system needs further policy support." At 06:41 am. At 06:41 a.m. ET, Dow E Minis were down 26 or 0.06%. S&P 500 E Minis were up 11.25 or 0.17%. Nasdaq E Minis were up 92 or 0.37%. On Wednesday, the benchmark S&P 500 index and blue-chip Dow ended at record highs. The shutdown, which began on Wednesday, has already affected the weekly report on jobless claims, an important indicator of the labor market's health. This report was due to be released on Thursday. In the past, shutdowns of government agencies have not had a significant impact on equity market. Investors are looking for signs of monetary ease, and the data vacuum is a risk. Investors will also be analyzing the comments of Dallas Fed President Lorie Lo Logan on Thursday. Tesla's stock rose 1.6% ahead of the release of its quarterly delivery report. Shares of Lithium Americas, listed on the NYSE, fell 4.6% following a downgrade by Canaccord Genuity. Equifax and TransUnion credit bureaus fell 12.2% each and 11.3% respectively after FICO launched its program to allow mortgage lenders access to scores without having them rely on bureaus. FICO was up by 10.7%. Advanced Micro Devices rose 2.9% following a report that Intel had begun early discussions to include the chipmaker as one of its foundry customers.
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Czech billionaire Kretinsky sells Thyssenkrupp stake after JV plans fail
The Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky agreed to sell his 20 percent stake in Thyssenkrupp’s steel business and scrap plans for joint venture, according to a statement released by both parties. This could pave the way for an agreement with Jindal Steel. The sale of the stake ends long-running discussions about what could have been a German and Czech steel and energy giant. Discussions that have made no measurable progress since Kretinsky purchased a fifth in Thyssenkrupp Europe (TKSE) late last year. Thyssenkrupp shares, which had earlier reached a high of six years, briefly fell on the news, before recovering and trading 1.6% higher by 1042 GMT. Thyssenkrupp can now move forward with its talks with India's Jindal Steel International. Jindal Steel International last month made an indicative offer for the entire TKSE business, a volatile one that its parent had been trying to sell for years. The statement stated that Kretinsky’s EP Group “respects Thyssenkrupp's AG preference to focus on discussions with Jindal Steel International” and that the purchase price paid by Kretinsky’s EP Group to Thyssenkrupp to acquire the TKSE shares would be reimbursed. People familiar with the situation estimate the price at approximately 140 million Euros ($164 million). This news comes at a time when uncertainty is growing about the future of steelmaking in Europe. The sector is battling with low-cost Chinese imports, rising energy costs, and a delayed decarbonisation based on hydrogen of one of the most pollution industries. The EP Group of Kretinsky and Thyssenkrupp aimed to form a joint venture with TKSE that would be 50/50. However, the talks have proved difficult as powerful unions accuse the Czech businessman for refusing engagement. $1 = 0.8511 Euros (Reporting and Editing by Matthias Williams, Louise Heavens, and Matthias Steitz)
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Taiwan will continue to cooperate in further restrictions on Russian Energy Imports
Taiwan's government announced on Thursday it would cooperate if "international allies", imposed further restrictions on Russian imports of energy, following criticism from a group non-governmental organizations about the island's business relationship with Russia. Taiwan, along with the United States, major Western allies, and other countries, put broad sanctions against Russia in 2022 after its invasion of Ukraine, but it did not ban explicitly imports, which are a major source of hard currency for Russia. Taiwan's Foreign Ministry responded to criticism on Tuesday from a group NGOs, including the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, about Taiwan's continued use of Russian naphtha. The ministry stated that the government would continue to work closely with the United States and other democracies. Taiwan said that if international allies place further restrictions on Russian products, whether energy or otherwise, it would actively cooperate. It would show its unwavering determination to fight aggression and defend international order. Taiwan's Economy Ministry, which is responsible for energy policy, stated in a separate press release that it "urges local enterprises to purchase petroleum products that meet EU regulations". The report noted that while state-owned companies had stopped importing Russian crude oil by 2023, private firms were not restricted from doing so. The ministry added that "as international sanctions continue evolving, it will examine further relevant control measures and communication with domestic manufacturers." Data from shiptracker Kpler shows that Taiwan imported 102,000 barrels of refined products per day in the first nine month this year. This is up from 76,000 barrels per days in 2024. The data shows that petrochemical feedstock naphtha is the main import from Russia. (Reporting and editing by Hugh Lawson; Additional reporting in Singapore by Florence Tan)
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Kretinsky sells Thyssenkrupp steel stake as JV plans falter
The joint statement from both parties revealed that the Czech billionaire Daniel Kretinsky sold his 20% stake in Thyssenkrupp’s steel unit, and scrapped plans to create a 50/50 joint venture. This could pave the way for an agreement with Jindal Steel. The sale of the stake ends long-running discussions about what could have been a German and Czech steel and energy giant. Discussions that have made no measurable progress since Kretinsky purchased a fifth in Thyssenkrupp Europe (TKSE) late last year. Thyssenkrupp can now move forward with its talks with India's Jindal Steel International. Jindal Steel International last month made an indicative offer for the entire TKSE business, a volatile one that its parent had been trying to sell for years. In the statement, Kretinsky’s EP Group said it "respects Thyssenkrupp AG’s preference to focus on discussions with Jindal Steel International". This news comes at a time when uncertainty is growing over the future of steelmaking in Europe, due to cheap Chinese imports and high energy costs, as well as a delay of hydrogen-based decarbonisation for one of the most pollution industries. Kretinsky’s EP Group and Thyssenkrupp aimed to eventually form a 50:50 joint-venture for TKSE. However, talks have been difficult as powerful unions accuse the Czech businessman's refusal to engage. (Reporting and editing by Matthias Williams; reporting by Christoph Steitz)
Europe has ceased to rely on American science
Interviews indicate that European governments are taking measures to reduce their dependence on the scientific data that the United States has historically provided to the world. They are also stepping up their data collection systems in order to monitor weather extremes and climate change. This effort, which was not previously reported, is the most concrete response to date from the European Union and European governments in response to President Donald Trump’s administration’s retreat from scientific researchers. Trump, since his return to the White House in 2017, has implemented sweeping cuts to agencies such as the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the National Institutes of Health (NIH), the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the Centers for Disease Control, and others. He has also dismantled programs that conduct climate, weather and geospatial research, and taken some public databases off-line. According to interviews, as these cuts are implemented, European officials are becoming increasingly concerned that governments and businesses may have difficulty planning for extreme weather and long-term investment in infrastructure if they do not continue to access U.S. supported weather and climate data. In March, over a dozen European nations urged the EU Commission in order to quickly recruit American scientists whose jobs were lost due to these cuts.
When asked for comment about NOAA cuts and EU moves to expand their own collection of scientific information, the White House Office of Management and Budget stated that Trump's proposed budget cuts for the agency in 2026 were targeted at programs which spread "fake Green New Scam ‘science'," a reference to policy and research on climate change.
Rachel Cauley, a spokesperson for OMB, stated via email that "Under the leadership of President Trump, the U.S. funds real science again."
European officials expressed concern about the U.S.'s general pullback in research, despite the fact that they are concerned that the data is vital to understanding climate change and marine systems.
Maria Nilsson is the Swedish State secretary for Education and Research. She said: "The current situation has been much worse than expected." "My reaction is, quite frankly, shock."
The Danish Meteorological Institute called the U.S. Government data "absolutely crucial" and stated that it relied upon several data sets for measuring sea ice and surface temperatures in the Arctic. The DMI's National Center for Climate Research director Adrian Lema said that reliable data is essential for extreme weather forecasts, climate projections and protecting communities.
Officials from eight European nations said that their governments are reviewing their reliance on U.S. climate, marine and weather data. Seven countries, including Denmark, Finland Germany, Netherlands Norway Spain and Sweden, described their joint efforts to protect key climate and health data.
LEANING ON THE U.S.
A senior European Commission official said that the EU was expanding access to ocean observations data as a matter of priority. These data sets are vital to the shipping, energy and early storm warning industries.
The EU is planning to expand the European Marine Observation and Data Network (EMODN) in the next two-years. This network collects and hosts data about shipping routes, seabed environments, marine litter and more.
Senior European Commission officials said that the initiative aimed to "mirror and possibly replace US-based services". Europe is concerned that the U.S. will cut funding to NOAA, which would have a negative impact on Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS), a network of ocean-observation programs that support navigation services, shipping routes, and storm forecasting. A second EU official confirmed this.
Insurance companies rely on disaster records from the Global Ocean Observing System to model risk. Coastal planners use data on shoreline, sea level, and hazards to guide investments in infrastructure. Oceanic and seismic data are used by the energy industry to determine offshore drilling or wind farm feasibility.
The senior EU Commission official also said that the EU was considering increasing funding for the Argo Program, a component of the Global Ocean Observing System, which uses a global network of floats in order to monitor oceans around the world and track global climate change, extreme weather and sea level rise. NOAA described the program that has been in operation for more than 25 years as the "crown gem" of ocean sciences. Its data is freely accessible to the oil and gasoline industry, marine tourism, and other industries. Argo's annual operating costs of $40 million are funded by the EU, but 57% is covered by the United States. White House and NOAA didn't respond to any questions regarding future support of that program. Craig McLean who is retiring in 2022, after 40 years at the agency, believes that European efforts to set up independent data collection and take a larger role in Argo are a break from decades of U.S. ocean science leadership. He said the U.S. was the undisputed leader in weather, climate, and marine data collection, and through NOAA, the U.S. had paid for over half of all ocean measurements around the world. European scientists recognize the U.S. government's outsized role in global scientific data collection and research. They also acknowledge that European countries are overly dependent on this work. It's similar to defense, we also rely heavily on America in this area. Katrin Boehning Gaese is the scientific director at Germany's Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research.
"GUERRILLA ARCHIVISTS" A number of European countries are taking steps to reduce this dependence. Sigrun Aasland, Norwegian Minister for Research and Higher Education and Research, said that Nordic countries had met in the spring to coordinate their data storage efforts. In May, European science ministers met in Paris to discuss the U.S. budget cuts for science.
Aasland stated that Norway would set aside $2 million for the backup and storage of U.S. Data to ensure stable access.
In February, the Danish Meteorological Institute began downloading historical U.S. Climate Data in case they were deleted by the U.S. Christina Egelund said that the Danish Ministry of Higher Education and Science is also planning to move away from American observations and to alternative ones.
Lema, from the Institute, said that "the potentially critical issue" is when new observation data stops coming in. He said that while weather models would continue to work without U.S.-based data, the quality of those models would be affected.
The German government, meanwhile, has asked scientific organizations including the Center to examine its dependence on U.S. database.
Scientists and citizens around the world have downloaded U.S. databases that were slated to be decommissioned - calling this "guerrilla archive." We received emergency calls from our U.S. colleagues who told us, "We have a serious problem and will need to abandon certain datasets," said Frank Oliver Gloeckner. He is the head of PANGAEA's digital archive, operated by German public funded research institutions.
As part of Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency cutbacks, about 800 of NOAA's 12000-strong workforce were terminated or given financial incentives to leave. The White House budget plan for 2026 aims to shrink NOAA further. It proposes a $1.8 billion budget cut or 27%, as well as a staffing reduction of nearly 20%, bringing the NOAA workforce down to 10,000.
The budget proposal eliminates the Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (NOAA's principal research arm), which is responsible for ocean observatories including Argo, coastal observation networks, satellite sensors, and climate model laboratories.
Also, it is reducing the number of data products. NOAA announced the decommissioning on its website of 20 datasets related to marine science and earthquakes between April and June.
NOAA has not responded to any requests for comment.
Gloeckner stated that there are no legal obstacles to storing data from the U.S. Government as the information is already public.
Denice Ross is a senior fellow with the Federation of American Scientists. The group is a nonprofit science policy organization. She was the chief data officer for the U.S. Government during Joe Biden’s administration. Ross stated that databases need to be updated regularly, which is only possible with government funding and infrastructure.
In the past few months, officials from the Federation and EU have had a series discussions with European researchers, U.S. charities, and groups that advocate for health and the environment to determine what data should be saved.
She said that other nations, institutions, and philanthropies could fill in the gaps left by the U.S. quality if it starts to deteriorate.
(source: Reuters)