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As markets move past Venezuela's turmoil, European stocks are rising and the dollar is steady.

As markets move past Venezuela's turmoil, European stocks are rising and the dollar is steady.
As markets move past Venezuela's turmoil, European stocks are rising and the dollar is steady.

The stock markets rallied in the early European trading of Tuesday as traders' appetite for risk was not dampened by the U.S. raid on Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his capture. Europe's STOXX 600 reached a record high on Monday, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Wall Street also hit new records thanks to gains by U.S. financials and oil companies. Tuesday's Asian trading was characterized by a risk-on attitude, while European stocks opened higher. The United States had taken him to New York over the weekend and seized him. On Monday, Nicolas Maduro, the ousted Venezuelan president, pleaded no contest to drug charges. The STOXX600 was up 0.1% at 1000 GMT after touching a new high earlier in session. The MSCI World Equity Index rose 0.2% while London's FTSE 100 climbed 0.4%.

It doesn't seem to be a serious market shiver. Fiona Cincotta is a senior market analyst at City Index. She said that the market does not price in an increase in risk or a ripple impact of Trump possibly stepping into other countries in South America.

Investors bet that Washington would allow U.S. companies access to Venezuelan oil reserves. Donald Trump, the U.S. president, plans to meet with executives of U.S. companies to discuss increasing Venezuelan oil production later this week, according to a source familiar with the situation. Analysts said that it is too early to determine the impact of Venezuela's oil production. Oil prices rose slightly on Tuesday. Brent crude futures rose 0.3% to $61.94 per barrel.

In a research report, UBS analysts stated that "Venezuela’s energy infrastructure is in a state of severe disrepair. Any meaningful production recovery will at best be a multiyear prospect."

U.S. ECONOMIC DATA WILL SET MARKET TANE The U.S. Dollar was steady with the dollar index standing at 98.395. The dollar index was at 98.395 in the last session, which is a steady level. It surged to a four-week-high during the previous session. However, it lost all its gains when a measure for U.S. Manufacturing Activity fell to a fourteen-month-low. The euro was barely changed at $1.1715.

Markets were buoyed by expectations of U.S. rate cuts. The traders were focusing on the U.S. employment report due Friday. This will affect market expectations on monetary policy. According to LSEG, financial markets are pricing in at least two Federal Reserve rate reductions this year. Neel Kazhkari, Minneapolis Fed president, warned that the unemployment?rate may "pop" up in a CNBC interview Monday. However, he said inflation was slowly on the decline.

UBS analysts stated that "while Kashkari’s neutral stance could slow expectations for rate cuts, we believe continued labor market weakness will keep the FOMC in line for another rate reduction this quarter. This will maintain downward pressure on US dollar." PMI data revealed that the euro-zone economy grew at a slower rate last month, but had its best quarterly growth for more than two year's by 2025. Prices rose less than expected in France but 1.8% more in Germany's largest state. After the data was released, euro zone government bond rates dropped. The benchmark German ten-year yield is now at 2.8561%.

Gold spot prices were around $4,451, which is a week-high. Copper reached a new high. (Reporting and editing by Elizabeth Howcroft, Hugh Lawson).

(source: Reuters)