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Stocks tremble as investors consider geopolitical data and US data, while oil prices rise

Stocks tremble as investors consider geopolitical data and US data, while oil prices rise
Stocks tremble as investors consider geopolitical data and US data, while oil prices rise

Oil prices stabilized on Thursday, after their recent decline. Stocks were off to a rough start as investors assessed implications of deepening?geopolitical tensions and mixed U.S. labor market data.

The top U.S. officials stated on Wednesday that the country "needs" to control Venezuela's oil revenue and sales indefinitely in order to stabilize the economy of the country, rebuild its oil industry and ensure the nation acts in America's best interests.

As part of Donald Trump's aggressive campaign to control oil flows in America, the U.S. also seized on the same day two Venezuelan-linked oil tanks in the Atlantic Ocean, including one that was sailing under the Russian flag.

The fall of Nicolas Maduro continues to dominate headlines, and the majority of market reaction has been in commodities.

The price of oil has fallen this week due to the possibility of increased Venezuelan crude production. However, they have recovered on Thursday. U.S. crude rose 0.7% to $56.38 per barrel while Brent crude futures increased 0.68% to $60.37.

Daniel Hynes is ANZ's senior commodities strategist. He said that the market's reaction to Trump's comments about Venezuelan oil control "looks a bit misplaced".

The U.S.'s control over oil sales may mean that sanctions or restrictions will remain in place for the short-term, which is a?booster for oil prices. "I suspect that's why the prices are rising this morning."

Stocks were mixed elsewhere in the Asian session after a strong start of the New Year that brought markets to new highs, despite global geopolitical divisions.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fluctuated between gains and losses, while Japan's Nikkei dropped 0.74%.

Nasdaq Futures declined 0.02% while S&P500 futures rose 0.05%. European futures were lower.

Charu Chanana is the chief investment strategist for Saxo.

Geopolitical headlines will drive the market. Investors are trimming their "Japan beta" because of China's dual use export ban and the potential risk associated with rare earths.

Japan called China's recent ban on exports of dual-use items for its military as "absolutely inacceptable", amid the threat of further restrictions on rare earths, which are vital to both economies.

U.S. No-Farm Payrolls are Up Next

Investors also had their eyes on the U.S. Jobs report, due on Friday. This could provide additional clarity on the Federal Reserve rate outlook.

Goldman Sachs analysts said that they expect a rise of 70,000 nonfarm payrolls above the consensus in December and that the unemployment rate will edge down to 4.5%.

A slew?of data?releases over the weekend painted a mixed image of the U.S. labor market. It appears to be stuck in a state of "no fire, no hire"?.

The November JOLTS Report indicates that the labor turnover is still low. In a recent?note, Wells Fargo economists said that the low churn has led to a fragile balance between labor demand & labor supply.

We expect the job growth rate to be subdued, as firms are still cautious about adding new employees.

The readings didn't change the market expectations for two more Fed reductions this year, and kept currency movements muted on Friday. The euro was little changed at $1.1673, while sterling bought $1.3454 last.

The dollar index was steady at 98.77, but the yen slipped to 156.91.

Spot gold fell 0.11% to $4,448.20 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)