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Prices of gas in Europe are fluctuating as renewables offset increased demand

Prices of gas in Europe are fluctuating as renewables offset increased demand

The Dutch and British wholesale prices of gas traded in a narrow band on Thursday morning as a slight decrease in temperatures, which boosted residential demand, was offset by higher renewable production.

LSEG data shows that the benchmark Dutch front-month contract was up 0.65 euros to 32.42 Euro per megawatt hour or $11.08 per mmBtu at 0921 GMT.

The British front-month price rose 1.32 pence to 80.33 pence/therm. However, the day-ahead price increased 0.10 pence to 80.30 pence/therm.

According to Wayne Bryan, principal of gas research at LSEG, the fundamentals for the day are balanced with an increase in local distribution zone demand (residential), which is offset by a decrease in the (gas-for) power demand expected due to a stronger renewables.

The forecast for residential demand has increased by 51 gigawatts per day, to 667GWh/d. LSEG data shows that temperatures will be below the normals of 10 and 30 years from Thursday to at least August 26.

Gas for power is also expected to be lower on the day, with a decline of 84 GWh/d due to an increase in wind and solar energy production, as well as a rise in French nuclear capacity.

Bryan said that any extensions or unplanned outages to maintenance, including those scheduled for Norwegian maintenance starting on August 27, could increase the price.

LSEG data shows that Ormen Lange in Norway has begun corrective maintenance on its Ormen Lange plant, with an estimated impact of 12,000,000 cubic metres per day. It is expected to finish on September 12.

Analysts at Engie’s EnergyScan wrote in a morning report that the lack of progress in the negotiations for a peace agreement in Ukraine should support energy markets.

Gas Infrastructure Europe data shows that EU gas storage sites are currently 74.49% full.

The benchmark contract on the European carbon markets was up by 0.60 euros at 71.89 Euros per metric ton. Marwa Rashad is the reporter. (Editing by Elaine Hardcastle.)

(source: Reuters)