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Investors focus on tariffs, earnings and economic data as they look at US yields.

Investors focus on tariffs, earnings and economic data as they look at US yields.

MSCI's global index of equity prices rose slightly, while U.S. Treasury rates fell and Wall Street stocks were little changed on Friday. Investors digested mixed economic data and waited to hear corporate earnings. They also monitored the latest U.S. trade threats. The University of Michigan released its Surveys of Consumers on Friday, which showed that while U.S. consumers' sentiment improved and their inflation expectations decreased, they still perceived a substantial risk of rising prices. A second report shows that U.S. homebuilding fell to an 11-month-low in June due to high mortgage rates, economic uncertainty and home purchase barriers. This suggests residential investment declined again in the 2nd quarter. On Thursday, news of stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales and a drop in jobless claims suggested modest improvements in economic activity and helped push the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record closing highs. The mood dimmed on Friday after the Financial Times reported U.S. president Donald Trump wants a minimum of 15% to 20 % tariffs against the European Union. According to the report, he is not swayed by EU's latest offer of a reduction in car tariffs. He will keep these duties at 25%.

The headlines of today's trade reminded investors to expect volatility through August. said Lindsey Bell, chief investment strategist at 248 Ventures. Investors are likely to be taking money off the table as we head into the weekend, given the lingering uncertainty over tariffs and the market's premium valuation following new highs. She said that investors' concerns could be seen in the shares of American Express, Netflix and other companies. Both fell after solid earnings reports or forecasts and had reached high valuations before results. Amex dropped 2.3% and Netflix fell 5%.

Bruce Zaro said that many investors still had high expectations for future earnings and placed bullish bets before the July expiration of equity options.

Investors are betting on the earnings season in the coming weeks, when growth and technology companies will report, said Zaro. He noted that investors also want to profit from the strong performance trend of megacap names. There's a concern of missing out. "There's a fear of missing out."

The S&P 500 rose 0.59% for the week. The Nasdaq rose 1.51 %, while the Dow dropped 0.07%.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 1.18 points or 0.13% to 927.47. It had earlier reached a new record high.

The STOXX 600 Index in Europe closed earlier down 0.01% and 0.06% on the week. The U.S. Dollar fell against the Euro but showed a weekly increase as investors assessed central bank policy amid indications that tariffs could be fueling inflation pressures. Trump also continued to publicly criticize Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.

After a Financial Times article on the U.S.'s tougher stance against European import tariffs, the euro lost some of its gains.

The dollar index (which measures the greenback in relation to a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) fell by 0.05%, reaching 98.46. The euro rose 0.27% to $1.1626.

The dollar gained 0.09% against the Japanese yen to reach 148.73, as polls indicated that Shigeru Shiba's government coalition could lose its majority at an election held on Sunday. U.S. Treasuries rose in price, pushing their yields down, following comments by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who urged a rate reduction later this month. Technical buying also helped to drive the rise. Most officials have expressed a desire to keep rates the same. According to CME Group’s FedWatch tool, traders bet on 95.3% of the probability that rates won't change after this month's meeting.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes dropped 3.9 basis point to 4.424% from 4.463% on Thursday. Meanwhile, the 30-year bond rate fell 1.8 basis point to 4.9958% compared to 5.014%.

The yield on the 2-year bond, which moves typically in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve fell by 4.4 basis points, to 3.873% from 3.917%, late Thursday. Crude oil futures remained steady in commodities as mixed economic news from the United States offset concerns that sanctions imposed by the European Union against Russia over its war in Ukraine might reduce oil supply. U.S. crude oil ended the day down 0.3% or 20 cents, at $67.34 per barrel. Brent finished at $69.28 a barrel, down by 0.35% or 24-cents.

The price of gold rose on Friday, as the weaker dollar and continued geopolitical and economical uncertainty increased demand for this safe-haven. Platinum prices also eased following their highest levels since 2014. Gold spot rose by 0.33%, to $3349.66 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)