Brazil








Energy Markets

Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

The Iran-related energy spike reduces the room for rate reductions in emerging markets

Oil prices spiked due to the war in Iran, and for now this has halted any monetary easing efforts by emerging market central bankers from Poland to Turkey. This is because policymakers are coping with an increase in inflation expectations as well as a rise in risk aversion. After a series of shocks, from the COVID outbreak to Russia's invasion in?Ukraine, that have shook markets, slowed growth, and fueled inflation, central banks are finally becoming more optimistic about global economic resilience?and easing price pressures. The dollar gained ground, and U.S. Treasury Yields rose as a proxy of borrowing costs in...

Oil & Gas

Brazil's Raizen secures $12.6 billion out-of-court debt restructuring deal

Brazilian sugar and ethanol ?producer Raizen said on Wednesday it had reached an ?out-of-court agreement with ?creditors and bondholders ?to restructureapproximately ?65.1 billion reais ($12.61 billion) in debt obligations. The company is a joint-venture between Shell, an oil giant listed in London, and Brazilian conglomerate Cosan. It has been in talks for months to find ways to improve its capital structure and reduce its debt. Raizen stated in a?security filing that creditors who hold 47% of the company's unsecured debt had already endorsed this plan. The company has 90 days to get enough?support to receive final approval. After that, the...

Oil & Gas

Sources say that Brazil's Petrobras will auction 20 million liters (liters) of diesel amid reports of shortages.

Two sources with knowledge of the matter said that Petrobras, the Brazilian state-run company which owns the oil industry in Brazil, plans to auction 20 million liters of diesel to the state of Rio Grande do Sul to address shortages. They said the auction would take place on Wednesday. The U.S. and Israel attacks on Iran are causing a spike in diesel prices, which is the most immediate and serious threat to Brazil's agricultural sector. Producers harvesting record soybean crops and planting corn cannot afford to delay. The initiative, according to a source who spoke under?conditions of anonymity, is necessary...

Oil & Gas

Iran Conflict clouds Brazil Budget Review

Two sources familiar with the discussion said that Brazil's government is facing an additional challenge when it prepares to update its economic forecasts. Market volatility and uncertainty linked to the conflict in Iran will complicate projections for this year's budget management. Within two weeks, the Finance Ministry is expected to release new forecasts on 2026 GDP growth, inflation and inputs for government's bimonthly revenue and expenditure report. The first report for the year is due on March 24. It will assess revenues and expenditures against the approved budget, and determine if a spending freeze would be necessary to comply with...

Oil & Gas

Petrobras refuses to accept additional diesel orders because Brazilian prices are below global market

Four sources with knowledge of the situation have confirmed that Brazilian state-run Petrobras has refused to?accept requests from fuel distributors requesting additional diesel volumes, as domestic prices are falling?to record discounts compared to global levels. Petrobras is the largest supplier of fuel in Brazil and the data indicates that the diesel sold by the company is currently 85% less expensive than imported fuels. This is due to global prices rising because of the U.S. Iran conflict. Sources claim that the disparity between the two diesel prices has a negative impact on the booming agricultural sector of the country during the...

Oil & Gas

Middle East conflict sticks 2026 consensus trades into reverse

Investors are rethinking popular themes and trades of 2026 due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Global equities have plummeted, the dollar has risen and traders have reduced their bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Investors have been preparing for growth this year. "A stagflationary surprise was not part of the plan", said ING's head of global markets Chris Turner. Investors are cautious and still have more to unwind. Here are five popular topics that have been "upended" by the conflict in Middle East. 1/ DOLLAR SHORTS SQUEEZED According to data released by the U.S. regulator...

Oil & Gas

Executives say that Brazil's Petrobras could reap more dividends if it imports and exports to meet operational needs.

Executives said that if the cash flow was high, Petrobras could pay higher dividends. Magda 'Chambriard, CEO of the company, said earlier this week that it would not pass on sudden changes in oil prices to consumers following attacks by the U.S. Israel and Iran both disrupted energy flows earlier this week. "We live in a period of geopolitical uncertainty, and our concern is that the company be prepared for any scenario regarding the price of crude oil that could occur," said?Chambriard. Brent oil prices are at their highest levels since April 2024. They will likely reach the highest weekly...

Oil & Gas

Shell's Brazil oil 'enormous opportunities' amid Middle East conflict

Shell's CEO for Brazil told reporters that the conflict between Israel and the United States with Iran presents "enormous opportunities" to attract investment to develop Brazil's oil assets. Cristiano Pinto Da Costa, who is a Brazilian politician, said that Brazil's geopolitical stabilty and its track record as a reliable oil-producer give it a definite 'advantage' over other countries, even though he acknowledged the country had limited capacity to increase production in the short term. Brazil will likely benefit "over the medium to long term", he said, touting the record investments made by the London listed oil major of $12.5 billion...

Oil & Gas

Brazil's Petrobras increases fertilizer production in order to reduce Middle East dependency

Brazilian oil giant Petrobras has increased its nitrogen fertilizer sales in Brazil to help reduce the supply risks as tensions in Middle East threaten the delivery of a key source for the country's imports. Petrobras said that its Bahia and Sergipe units, which resumed operations recently, had reached 90% capacity. The factories are able to supply 12% of Brazil’s urea needs. Urea is one of the most common fertilizers used around the globe to grow crops such as corn, wheat and rice. It's also commonly used for sugarcane,?coffee, sugarcane, and sugarcane. Brazil is increasing its urea production, but it is...

Oil & Gas

India looks for better oil deals, as Russian imports are slowing down, says minister

Hardeep Singh Puri, the Oil Minister, said on Friday that India could leverage its increasing energy demand to secure better deals for oil and gas supplies, while its refiners are still looking for alternatives to 'Russian oil. India was the largest buyer of Russian crude oil after Moscow invaded Ukraine in February 2022. However, Western sanctions forced Indian refiners eventually to import more from other sources. Puri, a senior Indian official, said that Indian officials had avoided directly mentioning Russian oil imports. However, he added that the supply from "one source", which had surged following February 2022 is now decreasing....

Oil & Gas

Indian Oil replaces Russian crude with oil from Angola and Brazil as well as the United Arab Emirates, according to sources

Indian Oil Corp, the top refiner in the country, has purchased 7 million barrels from Petrobras and other suppliers for loading in March to replace Russian oil. Indian refiners have re-calibrated their strategies in order to move away from Russia as the top supplier and increase imports from the Middle East. This could help New Delhi to clinch a deal with the United States for lower tariffs. Sources said that the refiner purchased 2 million barrels Upper Zakum and 1 million barrels Murban from Shell. IOC also purchased 1 million barrels of each Angola Hungo and Clove grade from Exxon....

Oil & Gas

Brazil billionaire Batista shuttles from DC to Caracas in search of oil deals

A person with knowledge of the matter said that Brazilian billionaire Joesley Batista had met with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodriguez before and after he met with U.S. government officials. He reassured them, according to a source familiar with the situation, that she seemed ready to allow investment in her country's oil and natural gas industry. Source: The Batista's family energy firm Fluxus is evaluating Venezuelan business opportunities. They have consolidated South American assets ever since they acquired it in 2023. Fluxus, Batista and the holding company J&F have declined to comment. The billionaire's?shuttle diplomatics, whose meatpacker JBS is a...

Fossil Fuels

Fossil Fuels

Petrobras CEO: We do not transfer sudden volatility in oil prices to the local market

Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, said that the conflict in Iran is putting pressure on the price of crude oil. However, the volatility does not always affect the fuel market at home, according to its CEO. The global oil price soared after Iran launched a retaliatory attack to disrupt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz following the weekend attacks by Israel and the U.S. which killed Ayatollah Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran. Magda Chambriard, the Chief Executive of Petrobras, said in an exclusive interview that the company is closely monitoring the effects of the conflict on the...

Fossil Fuels

Petrobras monitors Iran conflict and fuel price before making a decision

Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, is watching closely?the fallout of conflict in Iran. It will be monitoring oil prices - which soared on Monday -- for the next seven days before making a decision?on fuel pricing. After the weekend attacks by Israel and the U.S., which killed Iran's supreme ruler, Ali Khamenei, global oil prices?soared?. Brent crude rose up to 13% on Sunday and about 8% at noon Brasilia Time, helping Petrobras shares, which export?crude. One source, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said that this week would be one of observation and could lead to an...

Crude Oil

Petrobras exports record amounts of oil in Q4 due to expansion of clients

Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, posted record exports Tuesday of 1.2 million barrels per day?of crude oil and derivatives for its 'fourth quarter. This is an increase of 79% over the same period last year. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company said that the record was achieved as oil production in Brazil increased by about 20% during the same time period, to 2.5 million bpd. This allowed the state-run firm to send more oil overseas. The company had announced previously that it had exceeded its own production guidance for the year. Petrobras also...

Mining

Mineral Resources

Coal

China's iron ore imports for the first two months of 2018 are up on exports and domestic demand

Customs data showed that China's imports of iron ore in the first two months 2026 increased by 10% compared to a year ago, thanks to stronger exports from Australia, a major supplier, and a higher level of domestic demand. In January and February of this year, the world's biggest iron ore consumer imported 210.02 metric tons. This is up from 191.36 metric tons in previous years. Alexis Ellender is an analyst with the ship tracking firm Kpler. She said that this growth was due to Australia's strong exports in December. China combined import data from January and February in order...

Mineral Resources

Modi aims to trade $20 billion in five years with India and Brazil as they sign a mining pact

India has deepened its trade ties with Brazil, signing a pact on Saturday to increase cooperation in mining and minerals. The country is seeking to meet the rising demand for steel at home and to support capacity expansion as a result of a global race to secure raw materials. The agreement was signed by India's PM Narendra Modi, and Brazilian President Luiz inacio Lula Da Silva. Both men arrived in New Delhi this week on a three-day trip. Brazil has large reserves of minerals that are critical for steelmaking. It is one of the top producers of iron ore in...

Mineral Resources

Vale Base Metals sold majority stake in Thompson Nickel Belt Thompson Nickel Belt to Canadian led consortium

Vale Base Metals agreed to sell its majority stake in the Thompson Nickel Belt Mine in Manitoba to an investor consortium, which would create a new nickel-producing company in Canada. Exiro Minerals of Toronto, Orion Resources Partners and Canada Growth Fund are part of the consortium. Brazilian mining company Vale has agreed to sign a five-year agreement for the off-take of its 18.9% stake in Exiro Nickel. The new consortium will invest $200 million in order to revive a mine that Vale had been reviewing since last year, when the price of nickel fell to its lowest level in five...

Mineral Resources

Vale reports $3.8 billion loss due to nickel impairment, but analysts are pleased with core profit

Analysts praised a core profit that was above expectations and predicted a positive reaction to the shares. Rio de Janeiro-headquartered Vale, one of the world's largest iron ore producers, posted a $3.8 billion net loss for the October-to-December quarter, compared to a $694 million loss in the same period of 2024. Analysts polled at?LSEG expected a profit of $2.7 billion. Vale Base Metals reported a $3.5billion impairment of its?nickel assets located in Canada. This was "caused by a downward adjustment in long-term nickel prices based on market estimates". The company also noted a $2.8 billion write-off from deferred taxes assets...

Mineral Resources

Paraguay's soy harvest may break records as it enters the final stages

Analysts?and producers say that Paraguay’s soybean crop in 2025/26 is expected to exceed 10 million tons, and could become the biggest ever recorded by the country. StoneX, a South American agricultural?consultancy, revised its estimate of the crop harvested from October to February, increasing it by 500,000 tons. This is a significant increase over the previous estimate, which was 9.65 million tonnes. The crop, according to StoneX, "is among the best recorded ever" in this landlocked South American producer, the report stated. Analysts believe the final production total will depend on the second, smaller crop (or "zafrina") harvested between April-May. StoneX's...

Mineral Resources

Brazil's mining regulator states that the waste piles of Sigma Lithium do not pose an 'imminent danger'.

The agency said in a Monday evening statement that the waste piles of Sigma Lithium at a Brazilian mining site do not pose an "imminent threat" and the country's regulator for mining did not see the need to close them down during a recent visit. ANM's Technical Staff visited the mine in January, about a month after labor inspectors had shut down the piles because they warned of an "imminent and grave risk" for workers and local residents. Sigma's share price fell by 30% following the shutdown. The inspectors' decision was reported on January 15, 2019. ANM's report does not...

Mineral Resources

The Brazilian mining regulator says that the waste piles of Sigma Lithium do not pose an 'imminent danger'.

The?agency? said in a Monday evening statement that the waste piles of Sigma Lithium at a Brazilian mining site do not pose an "imminent danger" and that it did not see any need to close them during a recent visit. ANM's Technical Staff visited the mine in January, about a month after labor inspectors had shut down the piles because they warned of an "imminent and grave risk" for workers and local residents. Sigma's stock fell by 30% when it was reported that the inspectors had made their decision on January 15th. ANM's report does not change the Brazilian Labor...

Mineral Resources

Chinalco and Rio Tinto purchase control of Brazilian aluminum firm CBA for $904 millions

The firms announced on Thursday that the Aluminium Corporation of China (Chinalco), and Rio Tinto had agreed to purchase a controlling interest in Companhia Brasileira de Aluminio, for a total amount of 4.69 billion Reis ($903.61 millions). The companies said that together they will purchase 68.6% or 446.6 millions shares of Brazilian aluminium manufacturer CBA at a price of 10.50 reais per share. They added that the Brazilian conglomerate Grupo Votrorantim will purchase the controlling stake. Both will launch a tender for the remaining CBA shares, a move that is required by Brazilian regulations and could lead to the removal...

Mineral Resources

Demand for iron ore falls as construction stops weigh down on demand

The price of iron ore continued to fall on Wednesday as the Chinese Lunar New Year dragged down the demand for steel, and feedstocks. The most-traded contract for May iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange ended the daytime trading 0.7% lower, at 783 Yuan ($112.74) per metric ton. As of?0705, the benchmark March iron ore traded on Singapore Exchange was down 0.79% at $103 per ton. According to Chinese?broker Everbright Futures, the downstream steel demand has shrunk with the cessation in construction projects as we approach the Chinese Lunar New Year Holiday. The company Vale announced on Tuesday that...

Mineral Resources

Demand for iron ore falls as construction stops weigh down on demand

The price of iron ore continued to fall on Wednesday as the Chinese Lunar New Year approaches, and construction projects slow down. This is affecting the demand for steel, feedstocks, and other metals. As of 0311 GMT, the most-traded contract for May?iron ore on China's Dalian Commodity Exchange was trading 0.44% lower. It was 785 yuan (US$113.02) per metric ton. The benchmark March ore at the Singapore Exchange fell 0.5% to $103.3 per ton. According to Chinese broker Everbright Futures, the?demand for downstream steel has decreased as construction projects have ceased in the run-up to Chinese Lunar New Year. The...

Mineral Resources

Vale Brazil shuts down two units due to water overflow.

A securities filing late on Monday showed that Brazilian miner Vale had halted operation at sites where water had overflowed. Analysts estimate the units account for about 2 percent of Vale's iron ore production outlook for this coming year. Vale reported that the city of?Congonhas ordered the suspension and adoption of emergency measures and control measures after the overflows. The overflows also affected the site of steelmaker CSN, and damaged a nearby river. In Brazil's Minas Gerais, the state of Minas Gerais, there were two separate but nearby areas that experienced heavy rain on Sunday. Analysts?said that the suspension of...

Mineral Resources

Brazilian government claims that floods in the Vale mining area have damaged Brazilian rivers

The Minas Gerais government announced on Monday that overflowing water from a Brazilian mining area owned by Vale had caused environmental damage when it reached the Maranhao River. The flooding on Sunday in two separate but nearby areas, both owned by Vale and hit by heavy rain, led to a flood at the site of steelmaker CSN. According to the government of Minas Gerais and the companies, there were no injuries in the incidents near Ouro Preto or Congonhas. Vale will be required to 'implement emergency measures' to clean up the affected area, monitor the river and submit an environmental...