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Trump imposes tariffs on Brazil of 50%, but excludes aircraft, OJ and energy

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, imposed a 50% tariff Wednesday on Brazilian goods in response to what he called a witch hunt against former President Jairbolsonaro. However, he softened his blow by exempting sectors like aircraft, energy, and orange juice from higher levies. This came as a welcome relief to many in Brasilia who, since Trump announced his tariff earlier in the month, had been calling for protections for major Brazilian exporters caught up in the crossfire. The shares of Embraer, a plane manufacturer, and Suzano, a pulp maker rose.

The Brazilian Treasury Secretary Rogerio Ceron said to reporters that "we're not in the worst case scenario." It's a better outcome than could have been.

The new tariffs are set to go into effect August 6, and not August 1, as Trump originally announced. The White House linked the tariffs in a Wednesday factsheet on Trump's executive orders to Brazil's prosecution against Trump ally Bolsonaro. Bolsonaro is currently on trial for allegedly plotting to overturn the 2022 election loss. The U.S. announced sanctions against a Brazilian Supreme Court judge overseeing Bolsonaro’s trial. They accused the judge of authorizing pre-trial detentions that were arbitrary and of suppressing freedoms of expression.

Trump's executive orders formalizing a tariff of 50% excluded dozens key Brazilian exports into the United States. These included civil aircraft, pig-iron, precious metals and wood pulp as well as energy and fertilizers. Embraer stated that an initial review indicated a 10% tariff, imposed by Trump back in April, remains in effect. The exclusion applies to the additional 40 percent.

Rafael Favetti is a partner in the political consultancy Fatto Inteligencia Politica, located in Brasilia. He believes that these exceptions may be a response to U.S. company concerns, and not a retreat from Trump's attempts to influence Brazilian politics.

He said that "this also shows Brazilian diplomacy has done its job correctly in raising awareness among U.S. businesses."

Mauro Vieira, Brazilian Minister of External Affairs, said he had met with U.S. Sec. of State Marco Rubio to reaffirm his country's willingness for negotiations on tariffs. This is a sign of a possible restart of the negotiations which stalled back in June.

Vieira said that Bolsonaro’s legal problems cannot be considered in negotiations. The State Department didn't immediately respond to a comment request.

A SMALLER EFFECT

Welber Baral, former Brazilian Trade Secretary, estimated that Brazil exports around 3,000 different types of products to the United States.

Barral stated that "there will be an effect." According to an analysis by the American Chamber of Commerce for Brazil, almost 700 products are exempt from the new tariffs. This represents 43.4% of Brazil’s total exports by value. Embraer, which exports 70% of its executive aircraft to the United States, and 45% of commercial aircraft, was a major concern for Bolsonaro’s leftist opponent, President Luiz inacio da Silva.

Analysts also warned that Suzano could suffer a severe impact, as it is one of the largest wood pulp producers in the world.

In Sao Paulo, Embraer's shares rose by 11% and Suzano's gained more than 1% during afternoon trading.

IBP, a lobbying group for oil, said that after oil products are listed as exempted from the new tariffs, oil shipments will resume to the U.S. Ibram, the mining lobby, stated that exemptions covered 75% of all mining exports. The executive order of Wednesday did not include any exemptions for coffee or beef, two important exports to the United States. Roberto Perosa is the head of Brazilian meatpacking group Abiec. The group represents producers of beef, including JBS, Marfrig and Marfrig.

Cecafe, a group of Brazilian coffee exporters, said in a press release that it would continue to work for coffee being included as an exemption. The battle over tariffs will continue as the political motivations behind them provide ammunition to the plaintiffs who have filed a lawsuit.

Alex Jacquez who worked at the White House National Economic Council for former President Joe Biden said that the new tariffs are a violation of "both the law and Trump’s stated trade policy." He said that the tariffs would only increase coffee prices. "We have a large trade surplus with Brazil. These punitive duties will not rebalance unfair trade. Reporting by Luciana Magialhaes and Gabriel Araujo in Sao Paulo; Lisandra Paraguassu, Marcela Ayres and Ismail Shakil, in Brasilia; Kanishka Singh, in Washington; Manuela Andreoni, in Ottawa; Brad Haynes, Rosalba o'Brien, in Washington.

(source: Reuters)