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Vale reduces forecast for iron ore aggregates production amid market weakness

Vale, a Brazilian miner, has lowered its projections for the production of iron ore pellets in 2025 due to concerns about oversupply and decreased demand for high quality products.

In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, the company said that its decision was based on "current market conditions."

Analysts say the move is not surprising, given that pellet prices are under pressure. Executives at the miner also emphasize the fact that their portfolio is competitive and flexible, allowing them to adapt to changing market dynamics.

Vale's strategy to reduce carbon emissions is based on high-quality iron ore agglomerates. These include both pellets as well as briquettes.

"Vale's choice is in line with the current market conditions." Artur Bontempo, Wood Mackenzie's analyst, said that producers are becoming more cautious and some have shifted to fines sales.

He said that the steel industry's tightened margins has led mills to prefer cheaper ore of lower quality over pellets with high costs.

Samarco's also impacted the market conditions in this year.

Growing output

. As production ramps up, the joint venture between Vale & BHP will add 8,000,000 tons of pellets & pellet feeds to the market.

Vale's revised 2025 outlook was a result of its decision to perform preventive maintenance on the Sao Luis Pelletizing Plant in the third quarter. Production was suspended during this period.

RBC Europe analysts said that at mid-point Vale's revised guidance would reduce seaborne supply of pellets by 7 million tonnes, or 6% of the market.

They added that the move would benefit Rio Tinto, as it could help to improve premiums in the future.

Vale's shares traded in Sao Paulo were up by 4% on Tuesday, boosted by

Iron ore prices rise

. (Reporting from Gabriel Araujo, Sao Paulo; and Marta Nogueira, Rio de Janeiro. Editing by Andrew Heavens and Natalia Siniawski. Marguerita Chy).

(source: Reuters)