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Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.

Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.
Sources say that China refineries are opting for less expensive crude oil in order to reduce their fuel oil consumption.

China's fuel -oil demand will take a long time to recover after imports reached a monthly record low as refiners opted for lower cost crude following the U.S. -Iran War.

Prices are expected to be capped by the lackluster appetite of one of Asia's largest importers of high sulphur fuel oils (HSFO), even though this market has strengthened after Washington and Tehran intensified their attacks in the Middle East disrupting Gulf oil supplies that pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

LSEG data show that the Asian refiners’ margin for 380 centistoke HSFO rose to a discount of less than $2 a barge compared to Brent on Wednesday. This was the largest in over a month. The 380-cst HSFO cracked to Dubai rose a little more than $3.25 a bar.

A trading source from a Chinese refiner who refused to be identified due to commercial sensitivity said: "Regular crude oil currently trades at ICE levels of minus 5 to minus 8 a barrel." Fuel oil cannot compete with this.

After the conflict broke out, China's refinery run rates plummeted in June to a ten-year record low due to weak demand at home and export restrictions on refined oil products. The resulting 'decrease in demand for fuel oil as an alternative to crude oil has slowed down refineries.

Imports hit a record low in May

According to LSEG data dating back to 2004, China's total imports of fuel oil in May fell to a monthly record low of approximately 559,000 metric tonnes (115,000 barrels). They include HSFO refined at refineries and used in marine fuel.

According to Vortexa's ship-tracking data for June, fuel oil imports totaled 700,000 to 800,00 tons. This is a slight increase from May, but still well below the typical volume.

In the first quarter 2026, China's fuel imports were about 2.29 millions tons per month, while the monthly average for 2025 was 1.8 million tonnes.

Analysts and traders said that fuel oil imports may have risen slightly in June and Jul, but they are mainly used for ship refuelling, not refineries.

The Chinese refineries import fuel oil primarily from Russia, as well as the Singapore and Malaysia trading hub.

According to Asian trading sources and refinery, the price of crude oil has also become more competitive.

Traders said that spot offers for Russian straight-run oil fuel are currently tepid due to low interest in buying. Russian fuel exports are also down as Ukraine intensifies its attacks on Russian infrastructure.

Chinese refiners are turning to discounted crude in order to use additional quotas for importing crude this year.

Analysts said that while Beijing has eased the export restrictions for refined products, it is not clear whether this will lead to a rapid recovery in run rates or feedstock purchases.

(source: Reuters)