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French modeling scout who was linked to Epstein is found dead
Daniel Siad was found dead in his home near?Paris on Wednesday. He had ties to the late Jeffrey Epstein, who was convicted of sex crimes. Siad was found dead?on??Monday night. The Nanterre prosecutor’s office announced that an autopsy would be performed to determine the cause. Siad was mentioned nearly 2,000 times by the Department of Justice in its Epstein files. According to French media reports, at least five women have accused Siad of?rape, and human trafficking. Siad has denied these allegations. In an emailed message, Siad’s lawyer said that the modelling scout had never been the subject of formal judicial proceedings. In France, suspects are only placed under formal investigation after a preliminary probe, meaning that the investigating magistrates believe there are reasonable grounds for believing a crime was committed. Siad, in May, told French broadcaster BFM that his relationship with Epstein is strictly professional. Meyna Arabic-Tigrine said that Daniel Siad had never stopped claiming his innocence. She added that Siad died from a heartattack. Siad is now the second person publicly associated with?Epstein to die in France. In 2020, French authorities arrested 'Jean-Luc Brunel' a modelling agent on allegations that he had procured women to Epstein. Brunel, who had spent 14 months in custody awaiting trial for charges of rape and sexual harassment of minors, was found hanging in his cell in 2022. He denied the charges and any involvement in Epstein's sexual exploitation. Epstein died while in prison in 2019, awaiting trial for sex-trafficking. (Reporting and editing by Makini Boyle, Richard Lough, and Dominique Vidalon)
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Gold reaches a two-week high on a softer dollar. Fed outlook is in focus
The gold price rose on Wednesday to its highest level in two weeks, boosted by a softer dollar and technical purchases, as the markets assessed signs of lingering Middle East tensions and awaited new clues from the Federal Reserve on U.S. Interest Rates. Gold spot rose 1.3%, to $4,130.59 an ounce, by 8:32 am EDT (1232 GMT), after hitting its highest level in July at $4,141.59?per ounce, earlier that day. U.S. gold futures for delivery in August rose by 1.5% to $4135.40. "Gold has exploded higher, punching over $4,140, as a weaker Dollar and dip buyers have injected new inspiration to bulls," Lukman Otunuga said, senior research analyst at FXTM. He added that "the fundamentals could limit upside gains, especially since oil prices are up more than 3% this morning." On Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index weakened, making greenback priced bullion more accessible to overseas buyers. Marco Rubio, the US Secretary of State, said that Washington was willing to negotiate a solution to the Iran Crisis but Tehran wasn't serious about talking. Four tankers carrying Saudi crude bound for Asia were forced to turn back in the Red Sea Wednesday due to the growing conflict. The Houthis of Yemen, which are Iran-aligned and control the coast along the southern route out, had threatened them. On hearing the news, oil prices soared to their highest level in six weeks. The increased oil prices caused by the Gulf supply disruptions are affecting gold prices. They have raised expectations for higher interest rates in the future, which tends to reduce the appeal of gold that doesn't yield. The Fed will likely keep its key rate unchanged for the remainder of 2026. According to a poll, markets are pricing in two rate hikes before the end of next March. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders expect an interest rate increase in September. Investors will be watching the FOMC's interest-rate decision next week to get more clues about the Fed's policy. Spot silver increased by 1.1%, to $59.4 an ounce. Platinum rose 1.1%, to $1.647.17, and palladium climbed 2.9%, to $1.319.74. (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Jonathan Ananda)
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Investors watch Middle East conflict as gold climbs to a two-week high
Gold reached a two-week high on Wednesday. Supported by technical 'buying' and safe-haven demand as investors watched diplomatic efforts to ease the Middle East conflict, and prepared for the U.S. Federal Reserve Meeting next week for clues about interest rate outlook. Gold spot rose by 1.1% at 1200 GMT to $4,121.90 an ounce, after hitting its highest level since 7th July earlier in the day. ?U.S. Gold futures for August deliveries rose 1.3% to $4 128.00. Safe-haven demand, and the hope that the ongoing diplomatic 'efforts' between the U.S., and Iran, could still lead to a lowering of oil prices, are offseting the concerns that higher oil costs could fuel inflation and keep interest rates high for longer. He said that the current price rebound is likely to be hampered by volatile energy prices. However, the $4,000 an ounce level still provides strong technical support. Marco Rubio, the U.S. secretary of state said earlier on Wednesday that Washington was willing to negotiate a resolution to the Iran Crisis but that Tehran wasn't serious about talking. Three oil tankers carrying Saudi crude bound for China and India reversed their course in the Red Sea after being threatened by Iran-aligned Houthis from Yemen, driving up oil prices. Gold prices are down from the record highs reached in January. The war has stoked inflation fears, and increased the likelihood of higher interest rates for longer. Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, but high interest rates can make it less attractive. A poll revealed that the Fed is likely to maintain its key rate for the rest of 2026. Markets are pricing in two rate increases by the end March of next year. CME FedWatch Tool showed that traders now expect a?70% probability of an interest rate increase in September. Silver spot rose by 1%, to $59.34 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.9%, to $1.643.96, while palladium climbed 2.3%, to $1.311.00.
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Why are Washington and the Middle East concerned about a proposed US/Saudi nuclear agreement?
Two sources claim that the Trump administration supports a nuclear energy agreement with Riyadh, which allows Saudi Arabia to enrich and process spent atomic material. This could worry states in the region concerned about proliferation of weapons. Here are some of main issues: What has happened so far? Washington and Riyadh are discussing a deal for nuclear cooperation that would allow Saudi Arabia to access U.S. technologies and American companies to compete to win large contracts?for Saudi atomic power facilities. Concerns about security, weapons proliferation, and political complications have always been a major concern with nuclear technology. Saudi Arabia, like 'all signatories' to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty NPT, has already agreed to accept international inspections and not develop an atomic weapon. Washington has always sought additional protections. This week, two sources said that the Trump Administration was ready to present an agreement to Congress. The sources claimed that the pact did not include a "gold standard", which would have prohibited Saudi Arabia from enriching or processing spent nuclear fuel, both of which could be used to make material for warheads. It also does not contain a "additional protocols" of additional international oversight. These omissions will likely worry U.S. Middle East Allies, including Israel. They also raise questions about consistency. One of the reasons for the U.S. War on Iran in this year was the refusal of Iran to give up its enrichment programme. Congress may also be opposed to the deal, as members have demanded stricter restrictions in the past. Why Does Saudi Arabia Want a Nuclear Program? Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter, may not appear to be an obvious candidate for nuclear energy, but its Vision 2030 economic plan, led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, aims to reduce carbon emissions and release crude for export. In 2024, the U.S. Energy Information Administration stated that 68% Saudi electricity is generated by burning natural gas and 32% using oil. During June's peak power month, 1.4 million barrels of crude oil are used per day for power production. The kingdom could make more money by selling oil if it used atomic power to replace some of the energy intensive water desalination systems and air conditioning. Saudi Arabia also stated that it would be forced to develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so. This was a statement made in an apparent attempt to increase pressure on Tehran but also fueled concerns about the kingdom's own ambitions. Many nuclear-power-producing countries do not enrich uranium domestically, relying instead ?on imported enriched uranium fuel for use in their reactors. Saudi Arabia announced in January 2025 that it would enrich its uranium, a process which can be used for military purposes as well. The goal was to produce 'yellowcake fuel' that could be sold. What's in it for the United States? Commercial and strategic gains could be made. In an attempt by Trump's former Vice President Joe Biden, civil nuclear cooperation and security guarantees were important inducements in order to broker a deal between Saudi Arabia and Israel for normalizing relations. These two issues have been separated, according to a report, although a nuclear agreement could be an incentive for U.S. diplomats to work with the Kingdom. Riyadh rules out normalizing relations with Israel in the absence of a Palestinian state. Last year, U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright met with Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and stated that the two countries are on "a path" towards a civil nuclear deal. He did not mention a wider agreement over other issues, such as normalisation. The deal would place U.S. companies in the best position to win contracts for building nuclear power plants in Saudi Arabia. It would also provide insight into the kingdom’s atomic program, which could ease any U.S. concerns over weapons proliferation. Section 123 (U.S. Atomic Energy Act) of 1954 allows the U.S. to?negotiate with other countries agreements for significant civil nuclear collaboration. The document specifies nine criteria that states must meet in order to prevent them from using nuclear technology to create nuclear weapons or to?transfer sensitive material to others. The U.S. Constitution stipulates that such pacts must be reviewed by Congress. SAUDI ARABIA HAS OPTIONS Even at this late date, several countries that have established nuclear industries are interested in or seen as potential partners with Saudi Arabia's nucleo-technical programme. China National Nuclear Corp, a state-owned company, reportedly bid for a nuclear plant in 2023. Rosatom, the state-owned nuclear company of Russia, which has built a reactor in Egypt, also signed a preliminary agreement with Riyadh. South Korea and France are also potential candidates, as they built reactors near the United Arab Emirates. The choice of a partner will depend on the technological offering, financing and geopolitical alignment. This includes conditions related to nuclear energy handling. URANIUM ENRICHMENT The key question is whether Washington would agree to build an uranium-enrichment facility in Saudi Arabia, when that might happen, and whether Saudi personnel could have access or if it was run by U.S. personnel under a "black box arrangement". Saudi Arabia could theoretically, without any safeguards in an agreement, use an enrichment plant to produce highly-enriched uranium. This material, when purified, can be used for bombs. Sources told us that the proposed U.S. Saudi agreement would provide a legal path for cooperation in the nuclear fuel cycle. This includes uranium enlargement, but it does not obligate Washington to transfer technology or capabilities related to this to the Kingdom. Then there are the diplomatic issues: Washington's closest regional ally, Israel, has consistently voiced its opposition to a Saudi nuclear civil programme.
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NOVAGOLD Resources will acquire Paulson Donlin's interests for $4.2 billion
NOVAGOLD Resources announced 'on Wednesday that it would acquire 'the shares in Donlin Gold that it doesn't already own from Paulson Advisory in a stock deal, creating a gold producer with 4.2 billion dollars in value. Gold prices have risen to record levels, boosting cash flow and improving access to capital for miners. This has encouraged them to increase their reserves of precious metals - as well as their presence in safe mining areas such Canada and the United States. Upon the completion of the deal, a new company, NovaGold Corporation, will be formed. NOVAGOLD shareholders will own nearly 65%, and Paulson about 35%, in exchange for Donlin Gold's interest. Paulson will own approximately 40% of the new company, including its current equity in NOVAGOLD. The 'new company', which will be incorporated in Delaware will be co-chaired by NOVAGOLD Chairman John Paulson and Thomas Kaplan, with its board?expanded from 10 to 11. The deal is expected to close by the end of the fourth quarter. Reporting by Dharna Baffna, Bengaluru. Editing by Jonathan Ananda
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GE Vernova warns of $200 million tariff after disappointing second-quarter profits
After the company narrowly missed its estimates for second-quarter core profit, GE Vernova said on Wednesday that global tariffs will increase 'its costs between $100 and $200 million by '2026. Tariffs are a major burden on manufacturers, but contract protections as well as some cost recovery measures have contributed to the expected increase in costs. GE Vernova's shares fell 8% during premarket trading. According to LSEG, the Cambridge, Massachusetts-based firm reported adjusted core earnings for the quarter of $1.25 billion, which was below analysts' expectations of $1.28 million. The wind business 'continued to lag behind its faster-growing Power and Electrification segment, due to weaker onshore gear deliveries and a higher offshore project cost. The revenue from the wind segment dropped by?about 10%, to $2.03 billion. However, its core losses increased to approximately $275 million. A POWER DEMAND-DRIVEN OUTLOOK UPGRADES Strong power demand and increasing orders helped the company to raise its revenue forecasts for 2026 for a second quarter in a row. The company now expects to make $45.5-$46.5 billion, up from $44.5-$45.5 billion. GE Vernova announced $24.2 billion in second-quarter orders, compared to $12.4 billion a year earlier. The U.S. is expected to increase its power consumption?in 2026?and 2027?as data center expansion?and electrification?drive demand. Commercial-sector demands are expected to exceed residential demand this year. The company also increased its forecast for annual free cash flow to $11.5-$12.5 billion, up from $6.5-$7.5 billion. The electrification division?reported core profits of $671 million, compared to $314 million one year ago. Meanwhile, the power division posted $1.03billion, a nearly 31.3% increase.
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El Nino's economic effects on Peru are broader than just the impact of hungry pelicans
Hundreds of hungry Pelicans are flocking into Peruvian ports,?coastal markets and other areas in search of food. This is an increasing visible sign of the strengthening El Nino climate pattern which threatens a number of key sectors of?country?s economy. Scientists claim that warmer ocean temperatures, linked to El Nino, are disrupting marine eco-systems along Peru's Pacific Coast. This is reducing fish stock and driving pelicans into urban areas. Some birds are fed by fishermen and traders but some may not survive. Carlos Zavalaga, a marine biologist, said: "The birds leave their breeding areas and die of lack of food." Climate experts warned that this year could see a strong El Nino or even a super-strong El Nino, which would increase the risk of heatwaves, droughts and floods. Economic concerns are growing. Peru's fisheries industry is concerned that exports may fall short of the projected $5 billion for this year after sales had reached $4.6 billion by 2025. This was according to Alfonso Miranda - former vice minister of fisheries, and chairman of the committee responsible for sustainable management of giant squids in the South Pacific. Miranda stated that there was a great deal of uncertainty as to what could happen. According to El Nino monitors in the country, ENFEN, sea surface temperatures are between 2 and 5 degrees Celsius higher than normal. This has led to commercial species moving into deeper water. The fishing industry's industrial activity fell by 31% during the first five months of this year. Agriculture grew by 0.4%. The Peruvian Congress approved an increase in the budget of $2.8 billion on July 15, to finance infrastructure?works, and to bolster preparations to heavy rains associated with adverse weather conditions. Agro-export sectors claim that these are inadequate. Peru is the third largest copper producer in the world. It also exports a lot of agricultural products, including blueberries. Agriculture exports hit a record of $15.1 billion by 2025, but producers warn that the outlook is deteriorating now that the main growing season has begun. Gabriel Amaro from the Peruvian agriculture producers' association AGAP said that El Nino will cost the sector an extra $1 billion in export revenue, which was forecasted for this year. He said, "We think this El Nino may be the worst for 50 years."
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Malta's capital suffers power cuts as temperatures soar
Malta's capital Valletta lost power on Wednesday, just a day after its prime minister apologized "unconditionally" for the wave of power cuts that swept the country over several days. "I would like to apologize to everyone who was without electricity during the last few hours. This apology is unconditional," Robert Abela, Prime Minister of the Republic of South Africa, said on Tuesday as people reported that they had spent the night without air conditioning or fans. Media reported that the outage affected many businesses and offices including the Prime Minister's Office, as well as various ministerial departments. The media reported that restaurants?had no choice but to throw out food. The power outage on Wednesday briefly interrupted the trial of a businessman charged with association in the 2017 car bombing murder of Daphne Caruana Galizia, a journalist. On the Mediterranean island, temperatures have reached 42 degrees after a heatwave lasting five days. On?Saturday, a July record of 43.3 centigrades was set. Enemalta, the state energy company, said that the power cuts were caused by faults on the distribution network due to extreme temperatures and the'record demand for electricty. "We have done a lot but the challenges are huge." Abela stated that the effects of climate changes are'showing, and temperatures are constantly increasing and lasting longer. The Nationalist Party, the opposition party, demanded compensation from businesses and families for damage. (Reporting and editing by Louise Heavens, Christopher Scicluna)
Singapore's oil products inventories fall to a two-week low
Official data on Thursday showed that oil product inventories in Singapore, a key trading hub in Asia, have eased after a recovery last week. This was primarily due to a drop in stocks across the barrel.
Enterprise Singapore's data shows that the combined onshore oil products stocks were 40.45 millions barrels during the week ending July 1, a decrease of 4.1% compared to last week.
The weekly average for June was 37.5 million barrels.
Following an interim agreement between the U.S.A. and Iran, the markets are preparing for a gradual improvement in supply as more ships begin to leave the Strait of Hormuz.
LIGHT DISTILLATES AND RESIDUAL FUELS - LOG TWO WEEK LOWS
Singapore's light distillate inventory, which includes naphtha, gasoline and other products, has fallen to a new low in two weeks, falling to 12.7 million barrels. This is because net gasoline exports have outpaced imports. There are also strong flows of gasoline to important buyers like Indonesia.
The total gasoline exports were about 337,000 metric tonnes (about 2.8 millions barrels). This was more than the imports, which were roughly 249,000 tons. Indonesia alone imported nearly 267,000 tons. Saudi Arabia supplied about 82,000 tonnes.
The naphtha inventories likely increased as imports of approximately 206,000 tons (1.8 millions barrels) exceeded the exports of around 175,000 tons. Cargoes arriving mostly from Russia, at 91,000 tonnes, were the main contributors. Middle East imports were missing.
The residual fuel oils inventories have also dropped, after a strong recovery last week. Stocks totaled 19.65 million barrels (3.0 million tons), a 3.2% drop week-on-week.
Total exports dropped 53.7% to 165,000 tonnes, while imports declined 15.5%.
After weeks of absence some inflows, including from Iraqi and Saudi Arabia, were finally recorded.
The tanks' outflows were mostly destined for the Philippines and Vietnam.
MIDDLE DISTRILLATES STOCK IS AT A THREE WEEK LOW
The middle distillates stock, which includes diesel and jet fuel, fell?for nearly a week, but was still above 8 million barrels.
Net exports for both fuels, however, were lower week-on-week. Net exports of diesel and gasoil fell by about 10% while jet fuel and Kerosene's net exports dropped 60%.
Exports to Australia, Indonesia, and New Zealand were mostly diesel and gasoil.
The wider east-west spread of the last week has led traders to expect fewer cargoes coming from India in the near future, signaling better margins for sellers on the west of Suez markets.
For the week, most of the imports of jet fuel and Kerosene were from China and South Korea.
(source: Reuters)