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Oil prices rise, Asia stocks drift amid US-Iran stalemate

Oil prices rise, Asia stocks drift amid US-Iran stalemate
Oil prices rise, Asia stocks drift amid US-Iran stalemate

The oil prices rose Tuesday, as the negotiations between the U.S. & Iran on a peace agreement and the reopening of Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse. Meanwhile, Asian shares fell on the back of persistent uncertainty about?the global outlook for inflation.

U.S. president Donald Trump responded on Monday to the Iranians' conditions for a deal by demanding that Iran compensate for those killed in wars and attacks, as well as protests. This rhetorical escalation is likely to complicate attempts to reopen this vital waterway.

Brent crude futures climbed to $88.00 per barrel and U.S. oil futures slid to $82.45 after the contracts rose by about 5% on Sunday.

Tony Sycamore is a IG market analyst.

He said, "This will be a war attrition." "You can probably see the (oil market) sitting around the $75 to 95 range while we watch who blinks first."

Fuel costs have risen again, raising the stakes in the U.S. consumer price report for July due on Wednesday. Expectations are for an increase of 0.2% in the core measure and?0.1% for the headline.

A positive surprise could revive bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate hike next week. The odds are currently at a coin flip.

Capital Economics' chief market economist, Jonas Goltermann said: "We believe the risks are skewed in favor of a hot print. This would likely drive a rebounding of rate expectations, and potentially, a renewed worry about stagflation."

Overall, we remain of the opinion that the U.S. economic situation is a little hotter than "Goldilocks". This indicates higher interest rates."

Due to the holiday in Japan on Tuesday, trading of U.S. Treasury bills in Asia was closed. However, futures prices fell, suggesting higher yields.

The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its policy decisions on Tuesday. It is expected that the central bank will keep rates at current levels.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan fluctuated between losses and gains, and last was up 0.2%. South Korea's Kospi also rose 0.3% as the latest escalation in Gulf hostilities kept the market sentiment fragile.

Nasdaq Futures rose 0.28%, while S&P500 futures gained 0.1%. Wall Street closed lower on Monday in the cash session.

The EuroStoxx 50 futures fell 0.05% while the FTSE and DAX were flat.

Nvidia announced overnight that it had partnered with six major banks to launch compute finance platforms, aiming to raise over $500 billion for AI infrastructure. This highlights the'scale of investment boom in this sector.

Sycamore, IG's Sycamore, said: "A small piece of me wondered if this was how I felt when subprime mortgages became a mainstream item - an innovation that helped to trigger the GFC."

The?yen, which was slipping below 159 dollars per dollar last week, and far from the previous?high of 155.20, after several suspected rounds, including one jointly by Japan and the United States, is back in the spotlight.

Analysts at Nomura said that the market is likely to remain vigilant over further U.S. and Japanese yen buying intervention. Therefore, USD/JPY breaking 160 in the near term appears unlikely.

The latest price action shows that there are a lot of USD/JPY buyers who have been buying dips after the pair has reached the 156-157 area for the first since May."

The dollar was boosted by the recent rise in oil prices. It kept the euro from reaching a high of 1-1/2 months, as it traded last at $1.1546. Sterling, however, slipped from its one-month-old peak and changed hands at $1.3512.

Spot gold rose 0.5% elsewhere to $4,409.81 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)