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Trump claims that the US has enough jet fuel to supply Europe

Analysts point out that President Donald?Trump's advice to countries who are struggling to obtain jet fuel because of Iran's blocking of the Strait of?Hormuz is flawed: the U.S. cannot cover the global shortage.

Trump said in a Truth Social posting on Tuesday, "We have plenty."

U.S. data proves that this is not true.

Kpler, which tracks vessels, shows that about half a milllion barrels of jet fuel are exported from the Strait of Hormuz every day, mostly to Europe, but also to Asia, Africa and other parts of the world.

The Energy Information Administration (the Department of Energy’s statistical arm) shows that total U.S. exports of jet fuel averaged 219,000 barrels per day last year.

Matt?Smith, Kpler analyst, said: "It's very, very unlikely the U.S. will be able to replace Strait of Hormuz supplies."

REALITY CHECK

EIA data shows that the United States is the largest consumer of jetfuel in the world, and the majority of jet fuel produced by the country is consumed at home.

EIA reported that refiners and fuel blends produced 1,97 million bpd jet fuel last week. This was slightly more than the demand of 1,79 million bpd.

Smith stated that "even if the U.S. has plenty of jet fuel, there are also plenty of airlines."

The majority of U.S. jet-fuel production is located in the Gulf Coast region, while major demand centers on the?East Coast and West Coast of the United States have relied upon imports for their fuel needs.

As a result, the West Coast will need to import more fuel from the Gulf Coast of the United States as its usual suppliers in Asia have been hit the hardest by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Asian refiners had to reduce production and stop exports. California was left searching for alternative suppliers.

US CONSUMERS WILL PAY MORE IF EXPORTS GO UP.

The U.S. exports more fuels to the global market, including jet fuel. This is because it is the only major fuel producer that is not directly affected by the war.

Tom Kloza is the chief energy adviser at Gulf Oil. He said that jet fuel prices in the United States have risen since the Iran War began. However, they are still lower than the other markets directly affected by the Strait of Hormuz Blockade. This encourages higher exports.

Kloza stated that at least four or five cargoes of diesel and jet fuel were loaded into the New York Harbor area for delivery to Europe. This is a reversal of the usual flow?that has these products coming from Europe up the U.S. East Coast.

GasBuddy's data shows that wholesale jet fuel costs are between $4 and $5 per gallon for most of the United States. GasBuddy's Patrick De Haan said that the average cost of jet-fuel in the U.S. Gulf Coast ranges between $2.50 to $3 per gallon.

De Haan stated that the higher export demand would?ultimately lead to more price increases for U.S. customers, posing a significant challenge for Trump's administration.

The more demand for U.S. Jet Fuel, the higher prices. De Haan explained that the more cookies there are in the cookie jar the less cookies you get.

(source: Reuters)