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Oil prices drop by over $2 after Trump suspends Strait opening to possible deal
?U.S. Oil futures dropped on Wednesday morning by over $2 after U.S. President?Donald Trump announced that an operation to reopen Strait of Hormuz would be paused temporarily to determine if an agreement could?be finalised. As of 2326 GMT, U.S West Texas Intermediate fell $2.23 or 2.18% to $100.04 a barrel. Trump stated on Tuesday that while the operation to reopen?the Strait?of Hormuz would be paused,?the?blockade would?remain? in force. WTI fell 3.9% on Tuesday, after the ceasefire was maintained despite reports of exchanges. Brent dropped 4% and closed at $109.87. Market sources cited American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday, which showed that U.S. crude inventories had?fallen for the third consecutive week. Gasoline and distillate stock also 'declined. Sources who spoke on condition of anonymity said that crude stocks dropped by 8.1 million barges in the week ending May 1. The sources reported that gasoline inventories dropped by 6.1 million barrels and distillate stocks by 4.6 million barrels in comparison to a previous week. Helen Clark (Reporting; Chris Reese, Editing)
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South Korean consumer inflation in April is highest for nearly two years due to Iran war
As expected, the increase in South Korea's consumer price in April was the fastest in almost two years. The surge in oil prices caused by the Middle East conflict fueled the rise. Data from the government showed that the consumer price index increased 2.6% in April compared to a year ago, after increasing 2.2% in March. This was in line with the median poll forecast and marked the largest year-on year increase since July 2024. According to the Ministry of Data and Statistics, the index increased 0.5% from last month after increasing?0.3% the month prior. Prices of petroleum products rose 7.9% and international airfares jumped 13.5%. The South Korean government has set nationwide fuel price limits, which are reducing inflation pressure. Chun Kyu -yeon is an economist at Hana Securities. Chun stated that "however, for the moment, the trend of rising prices will continue to be valid, since there is a growing possibility of service inflation due to factors such as airfare increases." Even after the Bank of Korea's policy measures, the deputy governor said that it was time to consider raising interest rates. In March, the nation-wide fuel price cap was introduced for the first time since nearly 30 years. The next meeting of the Bank of Korea, which kept interest rates unchanged last month amid increased uncertainty about the Iran War, will be held on May 28.
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Suncor's profits surpass expectations as increased production offsets the oil market turmoil
Suncor Energy, Canada's largest energy company, beat Wall Street estimates for the first quarter adjusted profit on Tuesday. This was largely due to higher production and throughput volumes. Geopolitical unrest and volatility of global oil prices dominated the?quarter. Prices have risen by more than 87% in this year alone after the U.S./Israeli war against Iran damaged supply chains?and key energy infrastructure. Canadian oil and gas producers have steadily increased output while reducing costs. Suncor, and its peers have outperformed global competitors amid macro-uncertainty due to years' worth of investment. Suncor's quarterly upstream?production increased to?875,000 barrels a day (bpd), from 853,000 bpd one year earlier. The refinery's throughput increased by 15,000 bpd, to 498,000 bpd in the third quarter. Its utilization rate was 97%. Canadian producers benefited from capacity increases and higher nameplate capacities in the refining networks. The company has lowered its refinery usage guidance from?99%-102% to 90%-93%, but kept the throughput guidance at 460,000-475,000. Suncor also increased its projected share repurchases of over 30%, and anticipates buying back $4 billion worth of shares by 2026. According to data compiled LSEG, the Calgary-based company reported an adjusted profit per share of C$1.93 (US$1.42) for the 'quarter ended March 31. This compares with analysts' average estimates of C$1.79, according to LSEG.
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Distributors push back against the Petrobras-Vale agreement that has seen direct diesel sales increase in Brazil.
After Petrobras, the state-run oil company, signed a contract with Vale, fuel distributors reacted by reducing their sales. Distributors group 'Sindicom' sent letters to oil regulator ANP and were seen by them. They said direct fuel sales from producers create competitive distortions. The group includes distributors like Vibra, Raizen, and Ultrapar. Sindicom claimed that, unlike distributors of the RenovaBio program, such producers are not required by law to purchase CBios (carbonization credits), also known as CBios. Currently, only distributors are required to purchase them. ANP, in a document seen by us, reported that the direct sales of Diesel B (blended biodiesel) to large consumers were 22.39 millions liters, up from 1.1million liters the previous quarter. ANP confirmed the figures when asked for comment but stated that it would not reveal which manufacturers made the sales "for reasons of competition". Petrobras is Brazil's main diesel producer. Petrobras announced in January that it had reached an agreement with?Vale for the supply of diesel to?the miner?s operations located in Minas Gerais. ANP reports that Minas Gerais purchased 19.49 million liters (nearly 90%) of the diesel directly from producers reported between January and march. In one of the letters Sindicom sent to ANP, it said that "as producers aren't obligated agents in RenovaBio the direct sale by these agents of fossil fuels to large consumers takes place in asymmetrical manner in comparison with distributors." Petrobras stated that it constantly evaluates the possibility of direct sales to large customers, always in compliance with current legislation. It did not confirm the volume sold. Vale stated that the agreement between Petrobras and Vale is subject to confidentiality clauses. The miner did not reveal the purchased quantities. According to statements made by previous executives, Petrobras was seeking to sell fuels directly to large consumers. This strategy would allow Petrobras to gain a greater?share of market and be closer?to the end customer in a more profitable manner. The state-owned firm's executives have claimed that they lost contact with the end consumer after the sale of BR Distribuidora – now Vibra – in 2019. (Reporting and writing by Marta Nogueira, Fernando Cardoso, David Gregorio).
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Ameren's quarterly profits rise as infrastructure investments boost returns
Ameren, the utility company, reported a?23% increase in its first-quarter profits on Tuesday. This was primarily due to earnings from infrastructure investments that aimed to improve reliability. Utility companies are increasing spending on transmission and delivery networks to meet the rising demand for power in 'the U.S. Electric segment revenue rose by?2.4% in the quarter to $1.66?million, while revenue from the gas segment grew by?8.4% to $515?million. Ameren reported that its net income for the quarter ended March 31 rose to $357 million or $1.28 a share. This is up from $289 millions or $1.07 a share compared to a year earlier. St. The?St. The?Missouri division's quarterly results were negatively affected by lower retail electricity sales and higher interest costs, due to increased borrowing for infrastructure projects. Ameren 'Missouri reported a?electric?sales figure of 9,031 kilowatt-hours, down from 9,421 kilowatt-hours last year. This is due to the warmer than normal winter. Ameren Missouri and Ameren Illinois, its rate-regulated utility subsidiary companies, serve?about 2.5?million electricity customers and?more than 900?000 natural gas customers over a 64,000-square mile area. (Reporting and editing by Arunima Kumna and Sumit Saha, Bengaluru)
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US gasoline prices reach $4.50 per gallon as the summer driving season approaches
GasBuddy data showed that the U.S. average retail price of gas in the United States surpassed $4.50 a galon on Tuesday, for the first time since July 20, 2022. The U.S.-Israeli conflict?with _Iran? was disrupting a significant portion of the global oil supply shipped through the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Memorial Day Weekend and the peak driving season of summer are approaching. As President Donald Trump and Republicans campaign for November's midterm elections, rising pump prices present a serious political risk. Analysts say that without a de-escalation of the Middle East, U.S. motor oil prices could surpass previous records. As of 5:20 pm, the national average gasoline price was $4.52 per gallon. GasBuddy's data shows that the price of gasoline in the U.S. was $4.52 per gallon on Tuesday. Prices reached $4 late in March, the highest level since August 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine. GasBuddy's data shows that California has the highest average price at the pump in the United States, $6.14 per gallon. On fears that the Gulf War will continue, gasoline prices have risen along with crude oil futures. Brent crude, the global benchmark for crude oil prices has risen 58% since war began. GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan stated that the Strait of Hormuz closure continues to push up oil and gasoline prices. However, we've seen refinery issues which have exacerbated some of these increases. Last week, BP's 440,000-barrel-per-day oil refinery in Whiting, Indiana, experienced a brief power outage that caused one of its processing units to be shut down. The company has since reported that operations have been restored. De Haan stated that "if the Strait of Hormuz doesn't open, I expect gas prices to stay over $4.50 per gallon this summer." Before U.S. and Israel launched their attack on Iran, February 28, approximately?20% global oil supplies were passing through the Strait of Hormuz every day. Morgan Stanley stated that U.S. gas inventories are?drawing quicker than the normal seasonal pattern. The base case indicated that stocks would fall below 200 million barrels in late August, close to historic summer lows. EIA data shows that U.S. gasoline inventories fell by over 6 million barrels in the last week, and were at 222.3 millions barrels on April 24. This was the lowest level since December, and more than 2,000,000 barrels below seasonal averages for the past five years. The data show that gasoline demand reached 8.95 million barrels based on a four week average, an increase of 1% compared to the same period last year. Morgan Stanley said that the?demand remained stable despite pump prices of $4 or more. It is not driving draws, but it's not soft enough for the supply-driven stocks to slow down. U.S. gasoline contracts were hovering around $3.64 per gallon on Monday, their highest price since 2022.
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Iranian media reports three dead in fire at a shopping centre west from Tehran
Iranian media reported that at least?three people were killed and 26 injured after a fire broke out in a shopping center west of Tehran. IRIB, Iran's national broadcaster, cited the?fire departments as saying that the?fire had been "largely contained". Fars, a semi-official news agency, reported that the cause of the incident is still unknown. Iranian media, including Fars showed a video of a plume of heavy smoke rising out of the site. The location of buildings, utility poles and trees, and the road layout matched the satellite and archive imagery. Fire broke out after a renewed 'fire exchange' between Iran and the United States on Monday.
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Utility WEC Energy’s first-quarter profits rise on higher power demand
WEC Energy, a utility firm, reported an increase in its 'first quarter profit' on Tuesday. This was largely due to higher sales to residential and industrial customers. It also said that it worked with large hyperscale clients for a potential growth of load of up to four gigawatts. The U.S. is expecting its power consumption to increase further this year after reaching its second consecutive annual record in 2025. This will be driven by Big Techs race to build energy-intensive, data centers that support AI initiatives and homes and business increasingly using electricity for heating and transportation. WEC announced on a call after earnings that it received regulatory approval to purchase three additional solar projects, as well as a battery-storage project. The company plans to invest $730 millions. The company reported that the consumption of electricity by large commercial and industrial clients increased 2.7% in the last quarter, while the consumption by small commercial and industrial consumers increased 0.7%. The residential electricity consumption increased by 0.2% compared to a year ago, and total retail deliveries of electricity rose by 1.3%. WEC, a company that serves 4.7 million customers in Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota, reported that natural gas deliveries to Wisconsin dropped 2.1% during the first quarter. Natural gas is provided by the company through its We Power and Wisconsin Public Service divisions. CEO Scott Lauber said, "The first quarter results were solid due to the continued execution of our capital plan and the focus on operational efficiencies." WEC announced in February that it would increase capital expenditure by $1 billion over the next five year as it increased output to power Microsoft's data centers. The company expects to increase its capital spending in the third quarter. The company's net quarterly income increased to $804.4 millions, or $2.45 a share, up from $724.2millions, or $2.27 a share, one year earlier. (Reporting by Dharna Bafna in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar and Tasim Zahid)
Oil dips as stocks rise on optimism from investors
The global stock market rose on Tuesday as a result of a string of strong earnings. Meanwhile, the oil price remained above $100 per barrel due to the'simmering hostilities' between the U.S.A. and Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. The yen was also on traders' minds after it briefly rose in the previous session, fueling speculation about another round of Tokyo intervention.
The STOXX 600 index rose 0.5% in Europe. This was boosted by Anheuser-Busch shares, which surpassed expectations with their first-quarter results. Also, Unicredit, an Italian lender, reported record profits for the quarter. U.S. and Iran launched dueling maritime blockades in the Gulf as they fought for control of the Strait of Hormuz on Monday. This came shortly after U.S. president Donald Trump launched an effort to move stranded ships and tankers through the crucial energy-trade chokepoint. Maersk reported that the Alliance Fairfax, an U.S. flagged vehicle carrier operated by Farrell Lines, left the Gulf on Monday via the Strait of Hormuz, accompanied by U.S. Military assets.
Oil prices, which have been slipping below the high of $115 per barrel on Monday, gave some relief to stocks and other risky assets.
The renewed hostilities still jolted the markets and served to remind them that the Middle East war is far from over. Brent crude futures dropped 1.5% to $112.74 per barrel after having risen in the previous session due to increased concerns about supply disruption.
The markets may be relieved today after President Trump's comments overnight that the conflict could last for two or three more weeks. Markets are likely to be sceptical, however, due to the recent escalation, and the multiple extensions of timelines for ending hostilities, since the conflict started," ING's head of commodities strategy Warren Patterson stated.
S&P Global Market Intelligence data showed that 83% of S&P500 companies who have already reported had beaten the EPS estimates, and 78.2% surpassed revenue estimates. LSEG data indicates that earnings growth is expected to reach 18% for the S&P 500 in the first quarter. This compares with estimates of 12.8% a month ago. Nasdaq and S&P futures both rose by 0.7%, indicating a rebound from Monday's negative closing.
Jeff Buchbinder is the chief equity strategist of LPL Financial. He said that AI-driven expenditures will continue to drive earnings growth for S&P 500, with the technology sector leading.
YEN INTERVENTION MONITORING The yen has been slightly weaker today, with the dollar up by?0.3% to 157.736, following Monday's brief surge which saw the Japanese currency reach an intraday peak of 155.69. Satsuki Katayama, the Japanese Finance Minister, spoke out on Monday against speculative foreign exchange trading. This left'market participants alert to further intervention following reports that Tokyo intervened on Thursday to prop up their ailing currency.
Abbas Keshvani is Asia Macro Strategist for RBC Capital Markets. He said that authorities could intervene again, if the dollar/yen continued to test 160. They have always defended this level. In 2022, Tokyo fired three volleys in just a few weeks.
He said: "We believe that the intervention will only act as a 'lid on USD/JPY and not a catalyst to protracted yen strength." The Australian dollar, which is widely used as a currency, last traded at $0.7161 after the Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates on Tuesday for the third time in this year, a move that was widely anticipated. Spot gold, meanwhile, rose 1% above the low of $4,500 on Monday, which was the lowest level since March 31, to reach $4,565 per ounce. (Reporting and editing by Rae Wee, Muralikumar Aantharaman, William Maclean, Nick Zieminski, Christopher Cushing)
(source: Reuters)