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Oil and dollar decline on Middle East Peace Hopes

U.S. Stock Futures climbed on Monday, while oil and the dollar fell. The prospect of an agreement to end the Iran War boosted risk appetite. However, a lack of clarity about when the 'Strait of Hormuz' would open kept enthusiasm in check. Energy prices have soared in response to the nearly three-month war in the Middle East. Worries about inflation and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which most world energy passes, has impacted global rates.

Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that he told his representatives on Sunday not to rush any deal with Iran. His administration also played down expectations of an imminent breakthrough.

Trump said just a day before that Washington and Iran had "largely" negotiated a peace agreement that would reopen this waterway that, prior to the conflict, carried about one-fifth the global oil and LNG shipments.

Brent crude futures fell over 4%, to $98.83 per barrel. U.S. West Texas intermediate CLc1 also dropped over 4%, to $92.03 per barrel.

The euro rose 0.37% to $1.1646 while the Japanese yen climbed to 158.85 U.S. dollars in early trading, as the safe-haven dollar lost some of its recent gains.

Nasdaq and S&P were both up 0.6%. Nick Twidale is the chief market analyst for ATFX Global. He expects that on Monday, investors will embrace more risk, but they won't surge higher until it has been confirmed that reopening of?the Strait?of?Hormuz.

He said, "We need to reach an agreement in the next sessions because we know that there are still major sticking points."

Nikkei, the Japanese stock market index, was positioned for a strong opening to Monday's trading session. Commonwealth Bank of Australia's strategists stated in a recent note that the most important issue for financial markets is when the Strait of Hormuz will reopen.

They asked: "Under which conditions will the?Strait reopen, and how long will it take to repair production and infrastructure in order to ramp up energy production and other goods back to pre-war level?" (Reporting and editing by Stephen Coates in Singapore, Ankur Banerjee)

(source: Reuters)