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Silver rout causes a massive sell-off of stocks

Silver rout causes a massive sell-off of stocks
Silver rout causes a massive sell-off of stocks

Global shares dropped on Monday as investors rushed to sell precious metals to offset any losses. This was just before a week filled with corporate earnings and central bank meetings, along with major economic data.

Silver is on track to suffer its worst two-day loss since the 1980s. It fell another 7%, adding to Friday's 30 percent drop.

Dealers say that pressure on several?silver?futures funds from China contributed to the crash late last week. The CME raised margins for a variety of futures contracts including silver and gold on Monday. The oil prices fell by more than 4% after President Donald Trump announced that Iran had been "seriously" talking with Washington over the weekend, possibly reducing the risk of an American military strike. European shares fell 0.5% ahead of the week when around 30% of STOXX600 constituents will report earnings. Wall Street futures also dropped around 1%. The dollar's rise on Friday was a result of Trump naming Kevin Warsh, who many view as less friendly to ultra-loose monetary policies. This dented Wall Street stocks and compounded a fall in silver prices that had already begun.

Silver frenzy The price of silver had more than doubled over the past six weeks, reaching a record high of $121.64 per ounce in January 29. This unprecedented rally was fuelled by investors' appetite for non-dollar investments, and retail traders' enthusiasm for high returns. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He said that there has been a huge retail frenzy in these markets. We've seen record turnovers in the options markets relating to silver products. Hansen said that those who sell options which give the buyer the right to purchase silver, would have to hold a position in silver themselves. He said that when the market turns around, it is important to exit the position quickly because the original reason for the investment has vanished. Gold spot, which also reached a record of $5,594.82 per ounce in the previous week, is down 5%. The Chinese commodities market has been under pressure, as trading in silver futures was suspended due to the extreme volatility. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan dropped nearly 3% as a result of the knock-on effects. Japan's Nikkei also fell 1.3% in advance of Sunday's lower-house election. The VIX volatility index spiked again, indicating that the stock market was already tense ahead of this week's earnings from Alphabet, Amazon, and AMD. Investors are waiting to see if billions invested in artificial intelligence will begin to pay off.

DOLLAR STEADIES as YEN SLIPS

The dollar was steady, up 0.1% versus the yen, at 155.00. Meanwhile, the euro made a slight move into the positive, moving to $1.185 and recouping some of the Friday's 1 % drop. Following Trump's announcement that?former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh would be the next chairman of the central banks, the dollar rose by the most since May last year. Many believe that Warsh will not push for more rate cuts than his rivals, but he recently stated that he thinks a 'looser monetary policies may be needed, which is in line with Trump's belief that borrowing costs must drop quickly.

Ray Attrill is the head of FX Strategy at NAB. He said that Trump is unlikely to have nominated Warsh, if he did not support lower interest rates. There is also plenty of evidence Warsh thinks the economy is capable of higher non-inflationary rates of growth. The Fed is expected to cut rates twice this year. However, the January non-farm payroll report on Friday could alter that if it comes in above or below forecasts. On Thursday, the European Central Bank will meet with the Bank of England. However, neither bank is expected to change its monetary policy. This week, the Reserve Bank of Australia could also raise interest rates. Brent crude fell 4.7% to $66 per barrel as the threat of a military attack on Iran, a major oil exporter, waned. (Reporting and editing by Stephen Coates, Emelia Sithole Matarrise and Wayne Cole)

(source: Reuters)