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Oil steadies near one-week highs as US-Iran peace deal hopes dim

The price of oil remained stable on Tuesday, at a level higher than the previous week's high. This was due to the fading hope of an agreement between the U.S.A. and Iran that would end their war and open the Strait of Hormuz after President Donald Trump asked for compensation for the damage the U.S. had incurred.

Brent crude futures dropped 10 cents or 0.11% to $87.62 per barrel at 0405 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures declined 5 cents or 0.06% to $82.08 per barrel. Both benchmarks rose by more than 5% to their highest level since July 31 after Trump's response to Iran’s conditions for a deal. He demanded that Iran pay compensation for those killed in wars and attacks, as well as protests. This is likely to complicate attempts to reopen Strait of Hormuz. He added later in the day that the U.S. controlled the Strait of Hormuz and had cleaned the strategic oil 'waterway from Iranian mines.

Tim Waterer is the chief market analyst for KCM Trade. He said that there appears to be "a gap, no pun intended" between Iran and the U.S. about what an agreement might actually look like.

"As a consequence, some of that optimism which was built up in the last week has been unwound and oil prices have taken on a decidedly bid note." Meanwhile, Saudi Aramco has postponed the restart of its 400,000-barrel-per-day Jazan refinery to August 30 after ?the Houthis claimed two attacks on the plant on Sunday.

The chokehold risk in the Strait of Hormuz as well as the Bab el-Mandeb is still very high. Waterer stated that even intermittent restrictions and the threat of future incidents can keep insurance rates high, forcing longer shipping routes. "Hence energy flows are likely to remain constrained in the near term," he said.

Analysts at Barclays wrote a note Monday stating that crude oil and refined product net exports via the Strait of Hormuz decreased to 3 million barrels per day in the week ended August 7. This is down from the previous week's average of 4.4 million barrels.

Tony Sycamore, IG analyst, says that markets will remain in a morbid state of detachment if crude oil continues to slip 'through both blockades by ship-to-ship transfer and?overland route. The?Abu Dhabi National Oil Company is currently offering spot crude as part of a tender. This is the eighth such tender since the beginning of June, when the UAE state oil firm began working to move oil out of the Strait of Hormuz. (Reporting by Ishaan Arora in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonali Paul)

(source: Reuters)