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Investors assess Saudi export recovery as oil prices fall

Oil prices fell on Monday, as investors hoped for a recovery of shipments from Saudi Arabia. This was despite the ongoing attacks by the?Yemeni Houthis which have escalated the tensions in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures fell 81 cents or 0.78% to $103.06 per barrel at 0031 GMT, after falling 0.91% Friday.

US West Texas Intermediate crude traded at $99.41 per barrel, down by 89 cents or 0.89% after a 1.58% drop in the previous session.

Yemen's Iran supported Houthis claimed they attacked "sensitive sites" in Saudi Arabia's capital, Riyadh, on Saturday using?missiles or drones. They also said that an Aramco oil export facility in Yanbu in the Red Sea was targeted.

After halting shipments via Yanbu, Saudi Aramco has increased exports through the Strait of Hormuz this month and in the coming months.

According to preliminary data from analytics company Kpler, this has allowed exports to the OPEC kingpin to recover to just under 4?million barrels a day (bpd), so far in September. In August they had fallen to 2.4 million bpd, the lowest level since at least 2013.

JPMorgan analysts stated in a note dated September 18 that Middle East oil flow remains surprisingly strong, despite disruptions to Saudi Arabia's East West pipeline. They added that total oil flows in the past 10 days averaged 17,1 million bpd, only 6.1 million below the average for 2025.

The analysts noted that Saudi Arabia has made the most significant pivot, as satellite data showed a?Saudi oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz at an average of 2.9 million barrels per day over the last six days, up from just 700,000 in August.

According to three Iranian sources with knowledge of the situation, China asked Iran to help rein the Houthis in after Saudi Arabia appealed to Beijing following the attacks.

Iran and the US exchanged threats on Sunday, amid the deadlock. However, President Donald Trump stated that he was open to meeting Iranian president?Masoud Peshkian who will be in New York for the United Nations General Assembly this week.

In an interview with Al Jazeera, Mohsenrezaei, Iran's chief of security, said that Iran had conveyed to mediators its conditions for re-engaging negotiations aimed at ending war with the US.

(source: Reuters)