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Oil prices rebound as shares jittery and relief rally weakens

Oil prices and stocks rose in a choppy?trade as U.S. president Donald Trump's decision to postpone the bombing Iran's grid did not placate investors worried about the ramifications from the Middle?East conflict.

The U.S. Treasury yields rose and the dollar gained lost ground, in a retracement of a relief rally that swept the markets overnight, after Trump extended his Saturday ultimatum to Iran for it to reopen Strait of Hormuz by 48 hours. Trump cited "productive" discussions Tehran.

There was a lot of uncertainty as the world continued to deal with an energy crisis, while Iran denied having engaged in any negotiations with the U.S.

Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that the underlying situation was still fragile or flammable.

The Strait of Hormuz is closed, and will remain closed until the Iranians are on the same page. That's the problem.

Asia shares rose on Tuesday, catching up to their global counterparts. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan rose by 1% while Tokyo's Nikkei gained 0.8%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 1.4%.

The U.S. Futures market fell after Wall Street closed higher overnight. Nasdaq Futures fell 0.6% while S&P500 futures dropped?0.5%.

The FTSE Futures also fell 0.8% and the EuroStoxx 50 futures 0.9%.

Brent crude futures rose 4.2% to $10421 per barrel, reversing a 10% drop from Monday. Meanwhile, U.S. Crude rose 4.3% to $91.93 a barrel.

Two tankers bound to India passed through the Strait of Hormuz Monday. The war continues, however, to disrupt the traffic in the waterway. This has caused the suspension of shipments of one-fifth of all oil and gas liquefied around the world.

Thomas Mathews is the head of markets at Capital Economics for Asia-Pacific. He said that even if the war ends soon, energy prices could remain higher and bond and equity values lower for a longer period than they would have otherwise.

DOLLAR? GETS IT MOJO BACK

The U.S. Treasury yields increased on Tuesday, after a steep fall overnight. Little clarity about an end to this conflict has left traders pricing in more hawkish interest rate expectations for the global economy.

In Asia, the two-year yield increased by 8 basis points to 3.9136%. The benchmark 10-year rate was also up 4 bps.

Investors have abandoned the hope of further monetary easing and are now pricing in rate increases across developed nations.

Futures indicate a slight chance of an increase in the U.S. Federal Reserve's rates this year. The Bank of England and European Central Bank, on the other hand, are expected to increase rates.

Kit Juckes is the head of Societe Generale's FX strategy.

The U.S. Dollar rebounded on Monday from its?fall, driving the euro down by 0.27%, to $1.1585. Sterling fell?0.45%, to $1.3394.

The dollar rose 0.14% against the yen to 158.63.

Data released on Tuesday revealed that Japan's core inflation rate for consumers fell below the Bank of Japan target of 2% in February, the first time since nearly four years. This complicates the efforts of the bank to justify future interest rate increases.

Spot gold fell 1% to $4,364.09 an ounce. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing; Rae Wee)

(source: Reuters)