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Copper prices boosted by falling stocks at LME warehouses
Prices rose for copper on Monday as stocks in London Metal Exchange-approved warehouses fell. The market is now looking forward to the U.S.'s decision on tariffs at the end of June. Benchmark copper on the LME was 1.1% higher, at $13,665 per metric ton. Sources in the industry said that traders and funds continue to take copper from the LME into the U.S., before any import duties are imposed. This would increase shipping costs significantly. The U.S. has flagged that 15% levies could be applied to copper imports starting in 2027 and 30% beginning in 2028. Copper stocks, which stood at 376 775, have fallen 6% in the last month. Around 39% of cancelled warrants and metal earmarked to be delivered indicate that another 145.800 are due to leave the LME. The discount for the cash copper contract has also been reduced due to lower LME inventories. The traders also cited the strong interest in buying copper from Chinese companies, following Friday's 3% decline to one-week lows. Copper's upside is capped by the 21-day moving average, currently $13,730. Support on the downside comes in at the 50-day average, $13,260. Aluminium prices in other parts of the world are expected to remain stable due to limited supplies coming from Middle East – which houses?9% global capacity – as a result of the U.S. - Iran war and the closing of the Strait?of?Hormuz. Aluminium prices are expected to rise due to higher energy costs, which is a major component of the aluminium production process. Industrial metals have been under pressure due to concerns about growth caused by?high oil price and the conflict in Middle East. The base metals complex is also affected by a higher U.S. dollar, which makes metals priced in dollars more expensive for holders of other currencies. Aluminium increased 0.2% at $3,600 per ton. Zinc rose by 0.1% to 3,533, while lead fell 0.4% to 1,997. Tin dropped 1.5% to $52,125, and nickel declined 0.3% to 18,530. (Reporting by Pratima Dasai; Editing and re-reporting by Jan Harvey & David Holmes)
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Consumer prices in Chile rose less than expected, by 0.2%, in May.
?Consumer Prices in Chile rose by 0.2% from a month earlier, according to data released on Monday by the statistics agency INE. This was below the 0.4% predicted in a poll conducted among economists. Inflation slowed down in the month following a 1.3% rise recorded previously. Nine out of the 13 sectors studied recorded a price decline in the past month, with food and non-alcoholic drinks leading the way with a?decline of 0.8%. In a press release, INE said that "the price increases?in housing and basic service sectors as well as the increase in transport stood out." INE reported that the annual inflation rate in the largest copper-producing country in the world was 3.9% in the month of May. This is a slight decrease from the 4% registered in the previous months. The central bank set a target rate of 2% to 4% for the annual rate. In April, the institution kept borrowing?costs at 4.5% amid concerns over fuel?prices as well as uncertainty caused by?the extension of?the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran. Reporting by Aida Pea-Fernandez, Natalia Ramos and Emelia Sithole Matarise; editing by Aidan Lewis.
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Campbell's maintains annual target as US consumer spending remains tight
Campbell's Co, a packaged?food manufacturer, stuck to its annual forecast on Monday after months of trimming it. Demand for packaged?foods was impacted by consumer spending, which continued to be a factor. In recent months, consumer?sentiment? has reached record lows as rising gas prices tied to the Iran War have squeezed household finances already stretched by stubborn inflation. Pressure is pushing lower-income consumers to private-label and cheaper brands. This puts pressure on companies like Campbell's, which raised their prices in order to protect margins and offset rising tariff and commodity costs. Goldfish Cracker shares rose 1.5% on premarket trading after it exceeded quarterly profit expectations. According to LSEG, Campbell's adjusted earnings per share were 50 cents during the 'third quarter', beating analyst's average estimates of 48 cents. This was due to supply-chain improvements and the cost-saving program. The company has said that it has reached its target of saving $375 million in cost savings for FY28. CEO Mick Beekhuizen stated, "We are focused primarily on simplifying our business and accelerating productivity. We also want to reduce costs." However, its quarterly net sales fell 4%, to $2.37 Billion, slightly below the analysts' estimates. The packaged food industry is changing to adapt to a shift in consumer dietary preferences towards healthier foods. This trend has been accelerated by the rapid adoption of "weight-loss" drugs. Campbell's unit for meals and drinks saw quarterly sales fall 2% compared to an increase of 15% a year earlier. Its snack business saw a 7% decline, compared to an 8% drop a year ago. The company anticipates that organic net sales will fall between 1% to 2% in fiscal 2026, with adjusted profit per share ranging from $2.15 to 2.25. Campbell's will be removed from the S&P 500 index at the beginning of trading on Tuesday, June 22. Reporting by Neil J Kanatt, Bengaluru. Editing by Shilpa Majumdar
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Campbell's confirms its annual forecast due to weak consumer spending
Campbell's Co, a packaged foods manufacturer, stuck to its 'annual outlook' on Monday after months of trimming it, as the cautious U.S. consumers continued to 'weigh 'on demand. In recent months, consumer?sentiment has plummeted to record lows as the rising cost of gasoline linked to Iran's war squeezes household budgets that are already stretched by stubborn inflation. Lower-income consumers are increasingly turning to private-label and cheaper brands. This is putting pressure on companies like Campbell's, which have raised their prices in order to maintain margins and offset rising costs. LSEG data shows that Campbell's third-quarter net sales dropped 4%, to $2.37billion, compared to the analysts' average estimate of $2.38billion. It earned 50 cents a share on an adjusted basis. This was better than the estimated 48 cents a share. The supply-chain optimization program and cost-savings benefits helped. The packaged food?industry has also evolved to cope with the change in dietary preference towards healthier foods. This is accelerated by the rapid adoption of weight loss drugs. Sales at 'Campbells' meals and drinks unit dropped 2% in the third quarter, down from a 15% rise a year ago. Its snack business saw a 7% drop, compared to an 8% decrease a year ago. (Reporting by Neil J Kanatt in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpa Majumdar) (Reporting and editing by Shilpi Mahumdar in Bengaluru)
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Sources say that Sumitomo funds the Ambatovy stake sales to exit the project.
Three sources with knowledge of the matter said that Sumitomo Corp provided financing to buyers of its 54% stake in Madagascar’s Ambatovy Nickel operation. This helped the company exit the losing project. Three sources familiar with the matter said that Sumitomo Corp, which invested $3 billion over 20 years in Ambatovy and has incurred $2.5 billion cumulative losses, provided financing to buyers of its 54% stake in Madagascar's Ambatovy nickel operation, smoothing their exit from the loss-making project. Sumitomo funded this transaction, while still retaining certain nickel offtake rights. "It needed someone to solve the problem for them," said one source. The source stated that some of the money would be used to repair the damage caused by the cyclone to Ambatovy facilities. The source said that production has been suspended since the beginning of February, and will resume by June. Sources did not give any other details about the funding. Jason Kluk, former Glencore nickel trader, and South Africa’s Zungu Investments are acquiring a 54% stake, subject to the transaction closing by September 30. Korea Mine Rehabilitation and Mineral Resources Corporation holds the remaining 46%. Sumitomo declined comment on any financial arrangements but stated that the deal is intended to ensure "the continuation and sustainability of Ambatovy's operation under new ownership". The $418 million hit was a result of "a comprehensive economic evaluation of the transaction". Kluk and Zungu Investments did not respond to any requests for comments. A second source stated that the deal structure is similar to vendor financing where a seller funds a buyer. The?source said that Ambatovy will face a challenge in becoming profitable, pointing out that Sumitomo has struggled to improve margins and stabilise production for years despite having the resources. The surge in sulphur costs since the beginning of the Iran War three months ago has put pressure on margins. Ambatovy will produce 28,000 metric tonnes of nickel, and approximately 2,500 tons cobalt by 2024. (Reporting and editing by Polina Devtt and Pratima Dasai. Mark Potter edited the story.
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Italian study finds antibiotic resistance genes in the world's oceans
According to the findings of an Italian-led project that analysed seawater samples from around the world, genes linked to resistance to antibiotics are present in multiple?ocean areas, including remote waters. The SeA ?Care project found ?antibiotic-resistance ?genes in the Mediterranean, Atlantic, Arctic and other regions, with higher concentrations detected near busy shipping routes and densely populated coastal areas. Researchers said that the results show oceans are a global reservoir of pollution from land. They carry genetic traces of antibiotic use and urban discharge far away from their source. Researchers added that this could facilitate their spread to remote communities. The study was presented on Monday in Rome at a forum hosted by the Italian?National Health Institute. (ISS) on ocean and human healthcare. It also detected microplastics and PFAS "forever chemical" as well as traces of 'SARS-CoV-2 DNA in remote areas and open ocean waters. Andrea Piccioli, ISS Director-General, said that protecting human health in the 21st century means protecting the oceans and seas. She added that pollution released into the atmosphere is redistributed worldwide through the water, food, and climate systems. SeA 'Care, an initiative led by Italy, links the environment and human health. The system brings together institutions such as the Italian Navy, ISS and international research centres in order to create a global monitoring?system. The project uses existing routes for collecting samples and scientific networks during routine missions to reduce costs and impact on the environment. In the first three years of its existence, over 4,000 samples of?seawater were collected in 140 locations across the Mediterranean Sea, Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Arctic Ocean and Indian Ocean. Scientists claim that the project shows 'how oceans can be used as an early warning system to detect global health risks. It supports policies aimed at combating pollution, climate changes and emerging threats for human health. (Reporting and editing by Crispian B. Balmer, with Emilio Parodi)
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AMBER BID AMERICAS - Chip chill, war heat, and jobs
What's important in the U.S. and Global Markets Today By Mike Dolan. Editor-at-Large for Finance and Markets Wall Street holds its breath following Friday's withering selloff in the chip sector, as tech stocks fell sharply on Monday. The red-hot chip stocks were slowed down by the?disappointment of Broadcom's earnings last week, a loss in momentum after S&P 500's nine-week winning streak ended, and a rise in Fed rate-hike betting following Friday's strong May payrolls report. Below, I'll go into more detail. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast. Subscribe to the Morning Bid daily podcast and hear journalists discussing the latest news in finance and markets seven days a weeks. CHIP CHILL JOBS HEAT WAR The SOX index fell 10% just on Friday, Broadcom was down 20% in two days, and the broader Nasdaq dropped?4% as we head into the weekend. Futures were attempting to gain a foothold on Monday morning, but the tech-heavy Asia markets plunged, and Europe's STOXX600 fell to a two-week low. Iran and Israel exchanged direct missile strikes for the first since April over the weekend, causing crude oil prices to rise by over 4%. This heightened expectations of rate hikes. The markets now expect a rate hike to occur by the end of the year, and possibly two. Treasury yields have risen again. All of this led to President Trump fighting multiple fires at the weekend. He urged against interest rate increases and renewed calls for reductions instead. Despite his repeated calls for Israel to refrain from retaliating against the Iranian strikes on Sunday, his request was ignored. Fresh fighting has dampened hopes for a comprehensive deal to free up oil. As equity markets reset as they absorb all the new data, they are also preparing for the massive SpaceX IPO that is expected to take place on Friday. Analysts believe the IPO wave expected this summer will be countered by a record-breaking pace of buybacks. However, the concern is that a parallel equity financing wave by so-called hyperscalers could occur amid the massive AI investment buildout. Alphabet recently announced new equity sales of $80 billion. Meta may follow suit. In Europe, the markets are preparing for a much-anticipated rate hike by the European Central Bank on Thursday. The dollar has risen against the euro despite this. Chart of the Day The U.S. Economy posted a strong third month in a row with job gains. Payrolls increased by?172,000 which was more than double what had been?forecast. The economy added 93,000 jobs more in March and April compared to what was previously forecast, and the unemployment rates remained at 4.3% for another month. Over the past three months, employment gains have averaged 188,000 per month. This is nearly triple what it was in 2025. The concern about overheating is based on estimates that the economy must create between zero to 50,000 jobs per month to match the growth of the working-age populace - the so-called breakeven ratio, which has been dramatically reduced by the crackdown against immigration in the last year. Watch today's events * U.S. Conference Board Employment Trends Index, May (10 am EDT) Want to receive "the Morning Bid" in your email every morning? Subscribe to the newsletter. Follow us on LinkedIn, X and ROI. The opinions expressed by the author are their own. These opinions do not represent the views of News. News is a non-partisan organization that adheres to the Trust Principles and values integrity, independence, freedom from bias, and impartiality.
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Soaring fertilizer prices dim Brazilian farmers' edge over US rivals
B?razil’s cheap and abundant land has helped the country’s farmers create large, low-cost farmland, allowing them wresting export markets from U.S. Farmers?hurt by President Donald Trump’s tariff wars. Brazil has become a major agricultural powerhouse, despite the fact that U.S. farm land hasn't grown in this century. The 'South American country is now being put to the test as the U.S. - Israel war with Iran has sent fertilizer prices soaring. Since the beginning of the war, a third of all fertilizer has been trapped in the Strait of Hormuz. Brazil is heavily dependent on imported fertilizers while the U.S. relies on its own production. Many Brazilian farmers have reduced their fertilizer purchases. Experts in the industry say that Brazil's farmers will still be in trouble even if the war ends tomorrow. They are already saddled with thousands acres of farmland that produce diminishing returns, or even losses. They are beginning to accumulate significant amounts of debt. Many U.S. Farmers have enough land to produce good yields even if they don't apply fertilizer for an entire year. Few Brazilian farmers are able to do that. The different growing seasons also pose a problem. Brazil's spring planting begins in September, so Brazilian farmers are exposed to high fertilizer prices. Farmers were almost finished with their purchases by the time?the conflict began. Brazilian farmers are not eligible for government bailouts and generous support programs. Murilo Martins Rabelo, a farmer from Goias in central Brazil, said that "profitability is just not there." Everyone is currently rethinking expansion. Pereira, 34?farms tomatoes, soybeans and corn on 800 hectares. The rising production costs, he said, make expanding his farm too risky. He has been offered more land to lease. Purdue University agricultural economist Joana Colussi is a Brazilian-born native. She said, "We'll definitely not see the same trends" in agricultural growth. She anticipates that growth will slow, at least temporarily as farmers invest more in fertilizer, fuel and seeds, and less in expansion. HISTORIC GROWTH China's booming agricultural demand prompted Brazil to begin its historic growth in agriculture production. Brazil and the U.S. were forced to compete for vast areas of grassland that had been used for cattle grazing. Brazil is generally the winner. Brazil was among the largest winners as a result of tariffs Trump imposed against China in his first and second terms. In 2000, U.S. sales of soybeans to China were almost double Brazil's. By the end of 2025, Brazil will have sold twice as much soybeans to China. Brazil's expansion was based on the acquisition of cheap, vast land. Many of the soils are degraded today because farmers move to new plots when their old ones fallow instead of investing in soil health. LAND AND SEASONALITY DEGRADED Large-scale industrial agriculture in Brazil is a costly endeavor due to the degrading of land. It requires large quantities of pesticides, gm seed, and other expensive biological inputs. Brazil is not the only country where farmers are struggling to make ends meet. You can survive a lower or even no fertilizer application if you have a better soil. "You can handle a shock such as this better", said Saswato das, global head for corporate affairs at Syngenta, a producer of seeds and pesticides. Even if they miss a season, many U.S. growers can still achieve average yields. This year, thousands of farmers have taken this approach. Potash and DAP are only used for one season on many Brazilian farms. Marshall Lee Davis, a farmer of peanuts and cotton who lives in Georgia, the southern U.S., says that U.S. farmers "just skimp out" on DAP. The price of DAP has roughly doubled since Iran's war began. Davis stated that even U.S. Farmers who could skip one application were concerned about the high prices of fertilizer when they started buying in advance of their spring planting 2027 next March. Since the Iran War began late February, Brazilian farmers have faced high fertilizer prices. They still need to complete their spring planting for?2026 this September and prepare for second-crop plantings in?early?2027. Murphy Campbell, an Expana analyst, said that North American farmers were in a much better position than Brazilian farmers because of seasonality. FERTILIZER, FARMER PROTECTIONS Brazil imports a large amount of DAP and urea-based nitrogen, which is the most commonly used fertilizer in the world. Petrobras, Brazil's state oil company, is restarting some of its less profitable fertilizer plants that were idled by former president Jair Bolsonaro. It hopes to satisfy 35% of the country's nitrogen fertilizer needs within the next few years. The price that farmers can charge for soybeans and corn has not increased much since the beginning of the war, despite the high cost of fertilizer. This is because large harvests have been allowed to accumulate in the last few years. The result has been a squeeze on farmer margins around the world, particularly for those who depend on fertilizer imports. Campbell, from Expana, stated that Brazil's soybean producers had purchased, by late May, about half of their total 2026/27 fertiliser needs. Campbell noted that "in the past, over 60% of fertilizer is purchased by late May". Farmers with increasing debts will suffer from lower yields, lower profits and even outright losses if they reduce their fertilizer application. Bruno Fonseca is an analyst at Rabobank Brazil. He said that the farmers of Brazil are "overleveraged". Expana's Campbell says that the price of fertilizer will remain high for at least six more months, even if a peace agreement is reached in the Middle East. Pereira, a Brazilian farmer, has to make tough decisions because of the grim future. He said, "We planned to replace our harvesters this year. They are very old." "We decided to not go ahead." Reporting by Ed White and May Angel. Oliver Griffin. (Editing by Emily Schmall, David Gregorio and David Gregorio.)
Oil prices drop after Trump's Iran remarks, but shares and bonds remain steady
The global stock market was mixed on Tuesday, and bond markets were stable after U.S. president Donald Trump postponed an attack against Iran. He also said that there was a high chance of a nuclear deal. This sent oil prices down.
Trump announced on Monday that he had halted the planned resumption in attacks against Iran, to give time to negotiate a peace deal after Tehran sent Washington a new proposal.
The U.S. has a "very high chance" of reaching an agreement with Iran that would prevent Tehran from getting a nuclear bomb.
European stocks gained 0.7% on Monday, regaining ground they lost last Friday when they fell 1.5% due to bond market volatility.
Stocks in Europe are still below their pre-war level and lag behind the U.S. counterparts.
Futures for U.S. S&P 500 fell 0.3% in pre-market trade as memory chip and storage companies declined. These companies had helped push U.S. stocks to record highs over the past few weeks, as part of a?AI boom.
"We've already seen a lot back and forth," said Fabien YIP, a market researcher at IG about the Iran negotiations.
"Until we see real action (in the Strait of Hormuz), in which?ships pass through safely, and we see material rebound in traffic through the Strait I think that?the general market is shrugging?off?the comments from either side."
Brent crude futures dropped 1.1% to $109.90 per barrel, on the backs of Trump's remarks. U.S. crude fell 0.4% at $108.30 a barrel. Both were still more than 50% higher than their pre-war level.
Overnight, MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific index outside Japan dropped 1.2%.
Earnings from Nvidia, the world's largest chipmaker, are expected to be released on Wednesday. Expectations for this company are sky-high.
Richard Reyle is chief investment officer of Questar Capital Partners. He said that "Nvidia" was the shorthand used by the market for all things AI. The market has seen a lot of growth in the last few years, largely due to AI.
BOND SELLOFF ABTENS
Oil prices fell on Tuesday and helped to stop a massive sell-off of global bonds, but there are still concerns about a possible inflationary shock caused by the?Iran war.
The yields on the benchmark U.S. Treasury 10-year note have fallen from a high of more than 4.63% to just 4.61%. Yields are inversely related to prices.
British bond yields dropped after reports that the most likely candidate to succeed Prime Minister Keir?Starmer would not change the country's borrowing regulations.
The markets are pricing in major central bank rate increases?this coming year, on the expectation that policymakers will need to tighten their policy to combat an inflation resurgence driven by high energy prices for longer.
Florian Ielpo is the head of macro investment at Lombard Odier Investment Managers.
He said that the micro story was still strong and AI remained the main supporter of US?equities. However, the macro story has become less forgiving, referring to rising oil prices, bond yields, and other factors.
The dollar, which has been a safe-haven since the start of the war, was up by 0.15% to 159.10yen. This puts traders on high alert for any Tokyo intervention in order to support its currency.
The euro fell 0.3% to $1.162. The dollar fell by 0.2%, to $1.341. Rae Wee and Harry Robertson reported from Singapore and London, and Jamie Freed and Tom Hogue edited the article.
(source: Reuters)